"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 12/21/2022 at 4:11 PM, Cyclone-68 said:

All I want for Christmas is an EF3 under my tree 

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busta rhymes

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 12/21/2022 at 2:55 PM, Modfan2 said:

BOX wind forecast 

 

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I'll take the under for my area.

[Damage In Tolland]

GFS says Damage on Damage Incorporated 

 

[kdxken]

  On 12/21/2022 at 3:38 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

That’s the song playing as I usher my family into the suv, trunk full, heading south to warmer pastures and electricity.
 

Deep winter of 22/23… 

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What? You don't want to live like a refugee?

[40/70 Benchmark]

One jackpot I will be happy to concede is a grid-threatening, warm wind event the day before Xmas eve.

[Cyclone-68]

Wasn’t there a small town in ME that had a weak tornado Christmas Day several years back?

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/21/2022 at 4:32 PM, Cyclone-68 said:

Wasn’t there a small town in ME that had a weak tornado Christmas Day several years back?

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Thanksgiving 2005? Snow OTG too. lol.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 12/21/2022 at 4:33 PM, CoastalWx said:

Thanksgiving 2005? Snow OTG too. lol.

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I think it was a waterspout that made landfall

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/21/2022 at 4:34 PM, ORH_wxman said:

I think it was a waterspout that made landfall

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Yeah came ashore and did minor damage. Pretty wild, but was on SE side of the low so you had enough shear and some low level CAPE.

[weatherwiz]

I think there was also one in the 1950's or maybe 1960's (maybe not Christmas Day) but late in December. Think it might have been an F1 or F2 too.

[wokeupthisam]

  On 12/21/2022 at 3:23 PM, dendrite said:

Peak gust O/U for mby is 25mph

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I'll ante your 25mph, and raise my peak gust O/U here to 30mph ; )

Might grab a 35 post-fropa but selling anything over 40 here...

[Snowcrazed71]

  On 12/21/2022 at 4:42 PM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah came ashore and did minor damage. Pretty wild, but was on SE side of the low so you had enough shear and some low level CAPE.

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Imagine, a snownado mixed with a Sharknado. That's the makings of a sci-fi movie. Lol

[kdxken]

  On 12/21/2022 at 2:55 PM, Modfan2 said:

BOX wind forecast 

 

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Let's get 'em up. Move some product.

[TalcottWx]

Hello.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Goodbye.

[Whineminster]

This could be way more memorable than another run of the mill 1' snow storm. 

[Chris12WX]

  On 12/21/2022 at 4:22 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'll take the under for my area.

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Always take the under in wind events.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 12/21/2022 at 5:23 PM, Chris12WX said:

Always take the under in wind events.

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At least for out area, anyway...

[TalcottWx]

Since everyone is so dedicated to remaining responsible and accountable for their personal expectations:

I think I might not have power until January. Simsbury might look like Bakhmut or Bucha after this thing rips through. 

I'm a masochist, punish thy knickers.

[wx2fish]

  On 12/21/2022 at 5:25 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

At least for out area, anyway...

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Yeah. I do think there's a window near and around fropa for higher gusts, but I'm not sold on widespread damaging winds locally. 

[FXWX]

  On 12/21/2022 at 2:55 PM, Modfan2 said:

BOX wind forecast 

 

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I've lost the link to this product; would you be kind enough to send url?  Don't see the link on main BOX page?

[KTBFFH1905]

  On 12/21/2022 at 5:26 PM, TalcottWx said:

Since everyone is so dedicated to remaining responsible and accountable for their personal expectations:

I think I might not have power until January. Simsbury might look like Bakhmut or Bucha after this thing rips through. 

I'm a masochist, punish thy knickers.

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Yep our grid area does not handle wind well. Both wood stoves will be screaming on Friday along with the genny prepped. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Peak gust O/U at blue hills 71 mph 

[Modfan2]

  On 12/21/2022 at 5:52 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Peak gust O/U at blue hills 71 mph 

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Take the under at 63 mph 

[DavisStraight]

  On 12/21/2022 at 5:06 PM, kdxken said:

Let's get 'em up. Move some product.

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Is that the black locust?

[ORH_wxman]

Euro looks like a snoozer over the interior. Cape and south coast though could get it really good. There's like this micro-low that runs near the Cape that we'll have to watch.

[kdxken]

  On 12/21/2022 at 6:04 PM, DavisStraight said:

Is that the black locust?

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Half of it is. The other half is red oak.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/21/2022 at 5:52 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Peak gust O/U at blue hills 71 mph 

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Way over 

[Spaizzo]

So I thought it was just going to be breezy and windy… then was notified Seymour closed schools Friday due to impending weather….how bad is it supposed to be??? lol


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[dryslot]

The hefty qpf totals that models were projecting over a broad area also are starting to drop off some so that's a plus as well.

[Damage In Tolland]

Can someone post the sounding from GFS for HFD. I heard it’s wild