"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[dmcginvt]

5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

That’s some serious QPF on Reggie.

Whoa thats Irene level rain in York county.  Lalaland indeed

[Ginx snewx]

52 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Woof.

 

Crazy stuff

[powderfreak]

8 minutes ago, dmcginvt said:

Whoa thats Irene level rain in York county.  Lalaland indeed

Almost looks like a river moving northward SE of the mountains.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, powderfreak said:

Almost looks like a river moving northward SE of the mountains.

There's definitely going to be some actual rivers raging southward if those totals come to fruition. 

 

[dmcginvt]

GFS up to 4in

in at 84 hours in the Presidentials. 

[powderfreak]

16 minutes ago, dmcginvt said:

GFS up to 4in

in at 84 hours in the Presidentials. 

Just a wave of water moving in on S/SE flow off the Atlantic.  Crashing into the first huge barrier of terrain… S/C Greens and Whites. Get the sandbags, that’s a ton of QPF… in the warm season that gets eaten by vegetation. This time of year it’s either absorbed by snowpack or it all runs off.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Hoping we get a solution where WNE dryslots.

[dmcginvt]

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Hoping we get a solution where WNE dryslots.

Ha, that would be amazing hahah! thanks for the laugh.  first time I ever heard somone ask to be dryslotted but it makes so much sense!!

[HIPPYVALLEY]

29 minutes ago, dmcginvt said:

Ha, that would be amazing hahah! thanks for the laugh.  first time I ever heard somone ask to be dryslotted but it makes so much sense!!

Certainly on the table and I have no interest in prolific winter QPF if it is liquid for most.

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, dmcginvt said:

GFS up to 4in

in at 84 hours in the Presidentials. 

That's not good for Alex

[Amped]

EURO is different with the warm front this run. Keeps winds more southeasterly. Might be bad for wind and coastal flooding.

[moneypitmike]

Christmas present for Stein.

[Damage In Tolland]

Dogs ripping woofs all over New England 

 

[CoastalWx]

There is a pulse of very strong winds from about NYC to MHT on east after fropa. Strongest of these winds look to be eastern CT to maybe NE MA on east. I haven’t looked at bufkit yet, but based on the point and click soundings, looks pretty nuts. 

[Modfan2]

Box likes eastern areas of MA/NH for the highest winds.

 

 

[Whineminster]

45 mph? Meh

[HoarfrostHubb]

23 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

45 mph? Meh

Thursday Night

Rain, possibly mixed with snow, becoming all rain after 10pm. Low around 34. Breezy, with an east wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. 

Friday

Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 54. Windy, with a southeast wind 23 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Friday Night

Rain and snow likely before 8pm, then a chance of snow between 8pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 11. Windy, with a southwest wind 24 to 29 mph decreasing to 17 to 22 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

[SouthCoastMA]

This could out Grinch past Grinch storms if many lose power for Christmas Eve/Day.

Also, MV/Ack white Christmas?

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

There is a pulse of very strong winds from about NYC to MHT on east after fropa. Strongest of these winds look to be eastern CT to maybe NE MA on east. I haven’t looked at bufkit yet, but based on the point and click soundings, looks pretty nuts. 

Good lord 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

This is one EOR can have but hopefully no one loses power. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

[Damage In Tolland]

23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Good lord 

We Lord 

[dryslot]

We are in rare air for these up here,

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
259 AM EST Wed Dec 21 2022

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-033-NHZ001>006-009-010-012>014-212000-
/O.NEW.KGYX.HW.A.0004.221223T1200Z-221224T0700Z/
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Southern
Oxford-Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-Central
Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-Coastal
York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-
Interior Cumberland Highlands-Northern Coos-Southern Coos-
Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Southern
Carroll-Belknap-Strafford-Eastern Hillsborough-Interior
Rockingham-Coastal Rockingham-
Including the cities of Upton, Wilsons Mills, Andover, Byron, Middle
Dam, Roxbury, South Arm, Coburn Gore, Davis, Oquossoc, Rangeley,
Avon, Kingfield, Phillips, New Portland, Brassua, Long Pond,
Moosehead, Pittston Farm, Seboomook, Bingham, Jackman, Bethel,
Bryant Pond, Hanover, Locke Mills, Milton, Newry, Rumford, Norway,
Fryeburg, Oxford, Farmington, New Sharon, New Vineyard, Temple,
Wilton, Chesterville, Jay, Athens, Cornville, Skowhegan, Palmyra,
Pittsfield, Embden, Madison, Hollis, Alfred, Lebanon, Sanford,
Goodwins Mills, Buxton, Limington, Berwick, New Gloucester, Gray,
North Windham, Gorham, Greene, Lewiston, Sabattus, Wales, Minot,
Turner, Auburn, Livermore Falls, Augusta, Sidney, Windsor,
Vassalboro, Waterville, China, Palermo, Brooks, Jackson, Knox,
Liberty, Montville, Morrill, Waldo, Winterport, Unity, Biddeford,
Saco, Old Orchard Beach, Kittery, Portland, Cape Elizabeth, South
Portland, Westbrook, Yarmouth, Brunswick, Arrowsic, Bath,
Phippsburg, Bowdoinham, Topsham, Bowdoin, Whitefield, Dresden, Alna,
Bremen, Bristol, Damariscotta, Newcastle, Boothbay Harbor,
Wiscasset, Waldoboro, Owls Head, Rockland, Appleton, Camden, Hope,
Rockport, Thomaston, Belfast, Northport, Searsmont, Lincolnville,
Bridgton, Harrison, Naples, Errol, Millsfield, Colebrook, Berlin,
Dummer, Milan, York Pond, Lancaster, Bethlehem, Lincoln, Littleton,
Sugar Hill, Thornton, Waterville Valley, Woodstock, North Conway,
Albany, Conway, Chatham, Crawford Notch, Lyme, Ashland, Ellsworth,
Holderness, Plymouth, Rumney, Wakefield, Bridgewater, Brookfield,
Ossipee, Tuftonboro, Wolfeboro, Moultonborough, Laconia, Gilford,
Meredith, Barrington, Rochester, Dover, Rollinsford, Somersworth,
Durham, Madbury, Manchester, Pelham, Nashua, Salem, Atkinson,
Newton, Plaistow, Chester, Derry, Hampstead, Exeter, Greenland,
Portsmouth, Rye, Hampton, Hampton Falls, North Hampton, and Seabrook
259 AM EST Wed Dec 21 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of south central, southwest, west central, and
  western Maine. Portions of central, northern, and southern New
  Hampshire.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through late Friday night.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.

Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe location prior to
the onset of winds. This includes outdoor holiday decorations.

&&

$$

Tubbs

---

[MJO812]

What a bad turn of events for the Chicago weenies. 

At least we can  all weep in sorry.

They should still see a few inches given the ratios .

[CoastalWx]

Still might be inverted a bit ahead of WF. But any convection will help.

[Lava Rock]

15 minutes ago, dryslot said:

We are in rare air for these up here,

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
259 AM EST Wed Dec 21 2022

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-033-NHZ001>006-009-010-012>014-212000-
/O.NEW.KGYX.HW.A.0004.221223T1200Z-221224T0700Z/
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Southern
Oxford-Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-Central
Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-Coastal
York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-
Interior Cumberland Highlands-Northern Coos-Southern Coos-
Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Southern
Carroll-Belknap-Strafford-Eastern Hillsborough-Interior
Rockingham-Coastal Rockingham-
Including the cities of Upton, Wilsons Mills, Andover, Byron, Middle
Dam, Roxbury, South Arm, Coburn Gore, Davis, Oquossoc, Rangeley,
Avon, Kingfield, Phillips, New Portland, Brassua, Long Pond,
Moosehead, Pittston Farm, Seboomook, Bingham, Jackman, Bethel,
Bryant Pond, Hanover, Locke Mills, Milton, Newry, Rumford, Norway,
Fryeburg, Oxford, Farmington, New Sharon, New Vineyard, Temple,
Wilton, Chesterville, Jay, Athens, Cornville, Skowhegan, Palmyra,
Pittsfield, Embden, Madison, Hollis, Alfred, Lebanon, Sanford,
Goodwins Mills, Buxton, Limington, Berwick, New Gloucester, Gray,
North Windham, Gorham, Greene, Lewiston, Sabattus, Wales, Minot,
Turner, Auburn, Livermore Falls, Augusta, Sidney, Windsor,
Vassalboro, Waterville, China, Palermo, Brooks, Jackson, Knox,
Liberty, Montville, Morrill, Waldo, Winterport, Unity, Biddeford,
Saco, Old Orchard Beach, Kittery, Portland, Cape Elizabeth, South
Portland, Westbrook, Yarmouth, Brunswick, Arrowsic, Bath,
Phippsburg, Bowdoinham, Topsham, Bowdoin, Whitefield, Dresden, Alna,
Bremen, Bristol, Damariscotta, Newcastle, Boothbay Harbor,
Wiscasset, Waldoboro, Owls Head, Rockland, Appleton, Camden, Hope,
Rockport, Thomaston, Belfast, Northport, Searsmont, Lincolnville,
Bridgton, Harrison, Naples, Errol, Millsfield, Colebrook, Berlin,
Dummer, Milan, York Pond, Lancaster, Bethlehem, Lincoln, Littleton,
Sugar Hill, Thornton, Waterville Valley, Woodstock, North Conway,
Albany, Conway, Chatham, Crawford Notch, Lyme, Ashland, Ellsworth,
Holderness, Plymouth, Rumney, Wakefield, Bridgewater, Brookfield,
Ossipee, Tuftonboro, Wolfeboro, Moultonborough, Laconia, Gilford,
Meredith, Barrington, Rochester, Dover, Rollinsford, Somersworth,
Durham, Madbury, Manchester, Pelham, Nashua, Salem, Atkinson,
Newton, Plaistow, Chester, Derry, Hampstead, Exeter, Greenland,
Portsmouth, Rye, Hampton, Hampton Falls, North Hampton, and Seabrook
259 AM EST Wed Dec 21 2022

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of south central, southwest, west central, and
  western Maine. Portions of central, northern, and southern New
  Hampshire.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through late Friday night.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.

Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe location prior to
the onset of winds. This includes outdoor holiday decorations.

&&

$$

Tubbs

---

Brutal. Man the life rafts

[Baroclinic Zone]

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Still might be inverted a bit ahead of WF. But any convection will help.

Always the case in these storms.

[Cold Miser]

45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

We Lord 

Kevin in a few days, when those 50+mph gusts start ripping.
 

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

38 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

What a bad turn of events for the Chicago weenies. 

At least we can  all weep in sorry.

They should still see a few inches given the ratios .

Still rather have 2-4/3-6" then wind and extreme cold, then 50s and rain then wind like us. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

Congrats D.C.