"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[MJO812]

Nam looks more like a frontal passage than a storm for the midwest. 

The secondary low might be stealing all the energy from the main low.

[tunafish]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

65-70 for Dover?

oh real original.  you suck at your job!  Congrats on being wrong ALL the time.

 

how'd I do?

[MJO812]

[dryslot]

12z Nam is a disaster.

[jm1220]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nam looks more like a frontal passage than a storm for the midwest. 

The secondary low might be stealing all the energy from the main low.

If we were all in Chicago we'd be getting pissed at this development of these secondary "convective feedback" lows along the wave/vorts pushing out ahead of the main trough that seems to be stealing from the heavy snow CCB they would be getting. Looks like this might be real again but it wouldn't mean snow for us-but it could mean a nastier time in terms of wind and heavy rain. 

Sound familiar-like a certain storm on 1/29 this year where that happening probably cost NYC 12" of snow?

[CoastalWx]

Unmitigated violence for BUF perhaps. Wow.

[MJO812]

Just now, jm1220 said:

If we were all in Chicago we'd be getting pissed at this development of these secondary "convective feedback" lows along the wave/vorts pushing out ahead of the main trough that seems to be stealing from the heavy snow CCB they would be getting. Looks like this might be real again but it wouldn't mean snow for us-but it could mean a nastier time in terms of wind and heavy rain. 

Sound familiar-like a certain storm on 1/29 this year where that happening probably cost NYC 12" of snow?

I had 10 inches of snow from that but the lack of negative NAO hurt us 

[MJO812]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Unmitigated violence for BUF perhaps. Wow.

It's getting tiring at this point 

They don't need anymore snow

[ORH_wxman]

32 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Looks like euro gives several inches to some NNE Resorts friday am and the mild up lasts about 12 hours . This doesn’t really seem like a big disaster to me for nne ski areas or cne really 

It doesn't....the Dec 25, 2020 comps are not going to pan out. I don't see a prolonged mega-warm sector residence time with the CAD showing up. It will rain and be mild for a time, but it seems like less than 12 hours in the true warm sector....prob closer to 7-8 hours in NNE. Seems like the warm sector hits late morning/midday for NNE and by early evening, Powderfreak is already posting pics of parachutes falling in Stowe as the front passes through.

[Damage In Tolland]

No upslope with this to help bring them back online . Just icy trails 

[CoastalWx]

There will be a shit ton of rain in NH and Maine, but they probably start as snow too and will be more wedged. But it will be like skiing on a glacier after this one lol.

[greenmtnwx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No upslope with this to help bring them back online . Just icy trails 

Plenty of snowmaking time for those arriving after Christmas 

[Ginx snewx]

14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It doesn't....the Dec 25, 2020 comps are not going to pan out. I don't see a prolonged mega-warm sector residence time with the CAD showing up. It will rain and be mild for a time, but it seems like less than 12 hours in the true warm sector....prob closer to 7-8 hours in NNE. Seems like the warm sector hits late morning/midday for NNE and by early evening, Powderfreak is already posting pics of parachutes falling in Stowe as the front passes through.

Yea I could see Phins region to Saddleback coming out ahead.

[TheBudMan]

If you guys keep being mean to the Pope he will touch this kids nose and that will mean the geese eat for free at the 99 and no more snow for SNE

 

[weathafella]

Poor chicago weenies but we’ve been there..

[Amped]

It keeps trending northeast and more positively tilted.

[rimetree]

I wish Stein was there when you need him...don't need the basement puddling up again. Maybe we'll have some dry slotting to temper the flood.

[Go Kart Mozart]

41 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nam looks more like a frontal passage than a storm for the midwest. 

The secondary low might be stealing all the energy from the main low.

Yup, I mentioned the secondary as a possible TITPB on Sunday night.  That run is a full Justin Tucker 60 yard field goal kick to the balls for the Midwesterners!  

[Go Kart Mozart]

There are some good posters on the Midwest board, but my God, only 31 pages?  We have 64 pages and it has been a clear whiff for 5 days, lol.

[SnowGoose69]

Evidently this storm broke the GFS model

[WinterWolf]

21 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

There are some good posters on the Midwest board, but my God, only 31 pages?  We have 64 pages and it has been a clear whiff for 5 days, lol.

That’s why everyone wants to come to our New England forum..

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Evidently this storm broke the GFS model

It’s confused..doesn’t know what to show now, so it’s pausing for a moment. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

well we will have to settle for the Canadian 

[alex]

55 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

No upslope with this to help bring them back online . Just icy trails 

That’s where good resorts like Bretton Woods shine. Give them 2 rounds of grooming and that ice will be turned to a fast packed powder that’s really fun to ski on. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

CMC shifted couple hundred miles east for sat position . That looks like some upslope resurfacing to me 

[jbenedet]

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

65-70 for Dover?

We got tropical tidbits; your job(?) has been supplanted.

[jbenedet]

This is already hideous for front end snows, outside of VT Upstate NY and PA.

 

 

[CoastalWx]

Mtns of NH and ME will get some front end, Even VT too on NAM.

[dryslot]

Its coming down to wind and rain outside of the mountains starting as some frozen precip, Maybe something on the back end but i would never rely on that,  I think nothing has changed on that front for days, Looks to flash freeze thereafter.

[MJO812]

Gfs is bad for the midwest