WarrenCtyWx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 2:41 PM, Brian5671 said: And using analogs from colder times-say pre 1990-are largely worthless these days... Expand Could warmer winters from those days be used as analogs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 11:02 PM, Snowcrazed71 said: Any chance that we could get a bit of a change over at the end of the storm on Friday night? I'm starting to feel a touch of optimism that we could maybe get that. Even a coding would be nice. It would stay on the ground for Christmas with the cold temperatures Expand People wait 9 months out Of the year for snow , and our climo is such that we are begging for a torch Rainer to end as some flakes That leave a little snow dust . This is nothing to do with the poster and more just about me and why I need to chase snows or I would jump off a bridge accepting my climo as a snow lover Or I would need to delude myself consistently into thinking things will be Looking good around every corner . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 11:11 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: People wait 9 months out Of the year for snow , and our climo is such that we are begging for a torch Rainer to end as some flakes That peace a little snow dust . This is nothing to do with the poster and more just about me and why I need to chase snows or I would jump off a bridge accepting my climo as a snow lover Or delude myself consistently into thinking things will be Looking good around every corner . Expand Your expectations are higher than reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 11:13 PM, Ginx snewx said: Your expectations are higher than reality. Expand It’s not expectations thou , it’s not worth my time if I can’t get any satisfaction for something I really look forward to , so in Order to enjoy the winter , I travel and have found if I experience 100” + between my home location and travels than its worth it to be a weenie . Now I don’t have wife and kids so I got more time on my hands and less real life worries which Trump weather . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 11:16 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s not expectations thou , it’s not worth my time if I can’t get any satisfaction for something I really look forward to , so in Order to enjoy the winter , I travel and have found if I experience 100” + between my home location and travels than its worth it to be a weenie . Now I don’t have wife and kids so I got more time on my hands and less real life worries which Trump weather . Expand Part of the enjoyment is going through rough times makes the good times that much better. I get it though you need a constant fix. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just for fun… 6 1 23 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 11:18 PM, Ginx snewx said: Part of the enjoyment is going through rough times makes the good times that much better. I get it though you need a constant fix. Expand Yes , otherwise i start shaking and that’s a bad look for me lol . I’ve had years when I can’t Chase and the trade off was not favorable . It’s more enjoyable to simply enjoy more big snows . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 11:41 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Just for fun… Expand First I was like hmmm thats funny and well placed over Maine and I wanted to go to Fort Kent snow mobiling with WinterWolf and have him introduce me to his harem of milfs and gilfs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 11:10 PM, WarrenCtyWx said: Could warmer winters from those days be used as analogs? Expand The warmer winters from those years had really crappy patterns for the most part just like our warmest winters now have crappy patterns for the most part. Analogs are very useful. Just don’t take the temps verbatim…which you shouldn’t do anyway in analog forecasting. The anti-analog crowd has never explained how they know what a good or crappy pattern looks like…and if they cannot explain that, then they have zero ability to give an informed opinion. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 EC/GFS low and mid-level jet looks pretty fun for 12/23-24. 80-100kts to nearly 800mb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Oz NAM has a significantly different orientation to the SPV....now extending an arm well into Quebec. I know it's the end range of a NAM run etc. etc., but I am getting a feeling the final chapter has not been written here. Am I expecting an EC blizzard? No, but I am sensing some weird twists and turns are coming. Maybe ski country breaks even? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 2:57 AM, Go Kart Mozart said: Oz NAM has a significantly different orientation to the SPV....now extending an arm well into Quebec. I know it's the end range of a NAM run etc. etc., but I am getting a feeling the final chapter has not been written here. Am I expecting an EC blizzard? No, but I am sensing some weird twists and turns are coming. Maybe ski country breaks even? Expand The final chapter ends with all of us getting a knife driven into our back, and Mother Nature twisting. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 10:19 PM, weathafella said: In March? That’s insane. Some of the best snow months in my memory were March. Expand March 2018 was amazing. It can snow in December, but climo is really unfavorable for anything big. March is more prone to massive blizzards. People can say im exaggerating, but that’s what March 13th 2018 was. I got so much snow it caused a gigantic tree in my backyard to collapse under the weight of the snow. It was also extremely windy, that was no ordinary nor’easter, that was 12+ hours of blizzard conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 2:57 AM, Go Kart Mozart said: Oz NAM has a significantly different orientation to the SPV....now extending an arm well into Quebec. I know it's the end range of a NAM run etc. etc., but I am getting a feeling the final chapter has not been written here. Am I expecting an EC blizzard? No, but I am sensing some weird twists and turns are coming. Maybe ski country breaks even? Expand It's over 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 3:32 AM, MJO812 said: It's over Expand Yep even my snow goggles aren’t strong enough to make this look good. A strong low in Michigan just isn’t what we want to see when looking for snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 9:44 PM, SnoSki14 said: Not sure anyone outside of the ski regions really cares by then. Expand BS....I know you are butt-hurt like we all are, but this thread is just as humming leading up to a blizzard in March as it is in January. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 4:11 AM, MJO812 said: Expand Look at the temps at the same frame. 10 degrees in Nashville while it's 60 in Providence. Still not to far away from a solution where we might get an inch or two as the front comes through. Just need that squall line to hold up. Christmas Eve and Christmas Day look COLD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Last cold front like that? Dendrite? William? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Meanwhile 2 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 We’re gonna need a bigger sump pump and genny? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 At least we won't have frozen ground so the torrents an soak in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 10:44 AM, Damage In Tolland said: We’re gonna need a bigger sump pump and genny? Expand Yes, they compliment the larger toasters many will be ordering this week... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 10:48 AM, moneypitmike said: At least we won't have frozen ground so the torrents an soak in. Expand I still have 60npercent cover, but it surely won't make it til Thursday. And the ground sure isn't frozen. We must have a different plow operator this year, he gave our lawn quite a scalping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 3:28 AM, George001 said: March 2018 was amazing. It can snow in December, but climo is really unfavorable for anything big. March is more prone to massive blizzards. People can say im exaggerating, but that’s what March 13th 2018 was. I got so much snow it caused a gigantic tree in my backyard to collapse under the weight of the snow. It was also extremely windy, that was no ordinary nor’easter, that was 12+ hours of blizzard conditions. Expand Cheer up, chaim bloom signed the 38 year old justin turner to a 2 year contract... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 12:20 PM, Great Snow 1717 said: Cheer up, chaim bloom signed the 38 year old justin turner to a 2 year contract... FOR $20 million too Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 12:27 PM, 512high said: On 12/19/2022 at 12:20 PM, Great Snow 1717 said: Cheer up, chaim bloom signed the 38 year old justin turner to a 2 year contract... FOR $20 million too Expand Expand actually 22 million lol.....completely clueless run team.. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 On 12/19/2022 at 11:14 AM, UnitedWx said: Yes, they compliment the larger toasters many will be ordering this week... Expand The "wise ones" should seek out group discounts ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 I picked BDL,BOS, and PYM on BUFKIT. With minimal mixing, GFS BUFKIT is over 50-55kts for all. Impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 57kts BED LOL. Take em all down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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