"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[WxWatcher007]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:10 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ozone destroying blizzard or bust. 

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I’ll take a warning event if absolutely necessary, but I want a thermonuclear detonation over my backyard.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:12 PM, brooklynwx99 said:

S/W also coming in more meridionally, allowing it to dig more and have a chance at passing S.

TPV also nudging into NE more than the last run... look at the more zonal orientation of the wind barbs in PA, for example

this run will produce another monster storm

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Monster is a foregone conclusion but for whom is the question…

[MJO812]

Gfs looks more amped and should be west this run

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:15 PM, MJO812 said:

Gfs looks more amped and should be west this run

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I think so too.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:09 PM, brooklynwx99 said:

prepare for takeoff

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Looks too diggy too early. It’s gonna be a huggie.

[MJO812]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:15 PM, CoastalWx said:

I think so too.

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Going to be an interior crush job

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:17 PM, MJO812 said:

Going to be an interior crush job

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I can't even when in the world of make believe...man

 

[weathafella]

Holding high.

[brooklynwx99]

we're seeing better confluence downstream. might be more amped, but this is also nice to see. heights are much more zonal into New England

I'm happy with this run overall

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Congrats Kentucky

[40/70 Benchmark]

Yea, point is it didn't run it over Chicago...Luke and I can battle over jack proxy next week

[weathafella]

It's gonna try to cut hard west of us.  Let's see if it can.  SWFE?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

This isn’t going to be good. She’s gunna cut 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:18 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Congrats Kentucky

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Yeah, it’s not the euro, but it ain’t a good run either 

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:19 PM, weathafella said:

It's gonna try to cut hard west of us.  Let's see if it can.  SWFE?

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Storm Will Fuck Everyone? 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:20 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah, it’s not the euro, but it ain’t a good run either 

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Awesome. At least the NAO is negative. 

[brooklynwx99]

I'll take this at 7 days out. the good thing is that the evolution is absolutely nothing like the ECMWF

there's going to be a lot of noise at this range, which is expected anyway

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:19 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, point is it didn't run it over Chicago...Luke and I can battle over jack proxy next week

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Yeah, it’s over Pittsburgh instead, much better.

[weathafella]

It sure looks like it's trying for a SWFE.  NNE looks fine-ski areas rejoice.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

If only we had a stout 50/50 to shunt the earlier close off east. 

[NorEastermass128]

Oh well. This one stings more due to the date. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:21 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

If only we had a stout 50/50 to shunt the earlier close off east. 

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It flies east. That needs to hang tight. 

[MJO812]

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

So now “it’s not the euro” is a win? That was a garbage run for snow prospects in New England. Sure, it didn’t cut to Carmel Indiana like the euro, but it cut nonetheless 

[TheBudMan]

nothing better than the PBP 6 days before a major winter storm.   We need this in May before one of @weatherwiz showery cold frontal passages with two bolts of distant lightning 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:21 PM, weathafella said:

It sure looks like it's trying for a SWFE.  NNE looks fine-ski areas rejoice.

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Lot of CAD that run. Would be a large area of icing with that high. 
 

Regardless, the details are irrelevant…larger point was the TPV getting tucked into SE Canada. That’s all we can really take from the run. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

SNE gonna need a bigger…boat.

[mahk_webstah]

This 

This is an op run 6 days out.  Lets see what direction the GEFS head.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:22 PM, CoastalWx said:

It flies east. That needs to hang tight. 

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I mean...I get there are limitations...but the block can't stop storms from cutting, and it can't hold a 50/50 low..the question begs to be asked...

[wx2fish]

  On 12/16/2022 at 10:23 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Lot of CAD that run. Would be a large area of icing with that high. 
 

Regardless, the details are irrelevant…larger point was the TPV getting tucked into SE Canada. That’s all we can really take from the run. 

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Yeah Dendy is losing power for Xmas that run.