"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[Damage In Tolland]

See how much better December storms are vs Morch? Holidays , spirits, snow already OTG, early sunsets, low sun angles.. these are the special ones. Not Morch 

[MuddyWx]

Canadian ens still hugs but it's an improvement from 0z

[brooklynwx99]

this is really all you have to see about the EPS. bonkers for this far out

[Snowcrazed71]

10 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

We chuck. 

 

 

Ya know you're on the hook now! But.. that's ok .... We've got your back! 

[Hoth]

Ray always talks about regression. Well, we’ve had a lot of warm, wet, shitty Christmases in recent years. Perhaps we’re due to regress via a blizzard this year. The Grinch will learn the true meaning of Christmas  and chuck tropopause folds and thundersnow and snow to thy knickers from his sleigh. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

See how much better December storms are vs Morch? Holidays , spirits, snow already OTG, early sunsets, low sun angles.. these are the special ones. Not Morch 

Snow is gone here.  

[Great Snow 1717]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

See how much better December storms are vs Morch? Holidays , spirits, snow already OTG, early sunsets, low sun angles.. these are the special ones. Not Morch 

hey you're right!! March 2018 really sucked in comparison to recent Decembers...

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Ray always talks about regression. Well, we’ve had a lot of warm, wet, shitty Christmases in recent years. Perhaps we’re due to regress via a blizzard this year. The Grinch will learn the true meaning of Christmas  and chuck tropopause folds and thundersnow and snow to thy knickers from his sleigh. 

He’s going on like 4 years since a 24+ event while we are going on 10 years so hopefully his regression prayers make it far enough west…should this one evolve favorably for the region of course.

[Cold Miser]

12 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Snow is gone here.  

Salt air rotting it away. lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Looks like euro had something cooking in the gulf behind this too. The Ginxy train is leaving the station…

[MuddyWx]

12z EPS looks pretty similar to 0z, maybe a bit east. Continued good signal regionwide

[Hoth]

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

He’s going on like 4 years since a 24+ event while we are going on 10 years so hopefully his regression prayers make it far enough west…should this one evolve favorably for the region of course.

It has been a minute in these parts. I think we’ll be spreading the wealth before this pattern breaks down. 

[powderfreak]

Sign on the dotted line for Xmas gift…

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Sign on the dotted line for Xmas gift…

I think almost everyone on this forum would sign for this right this minute. Cold behind it too

[Typhoon Tip]

Wow wtf

[George001]

Great trends today. It’s insane that we have a 990mb MEAN on the EPS this far out. I even saw one or two 940s!

[wxsniss]

Just looked at Euro OP... piecemeal phasing that spreads the wealth in space and time, but close to a much bigger hit if that shortwave diving to Carolinas caught up

GEFS+EPS look great

Obviously the best signal we've had this season...

Gonna be alot of distracted folks at upcoming holiday parties  

[Snowcrazed71]

Since we're waiting a bit. If we look back on some of our larger storms in the past. If we had similar output 7 days prior to the actual date of the storm? 

It a very good amount of agreement with several of the models. Definitely not something we see often. And we are one week out from it, so definitely more substance to what we're seeing today.

[dryslot]

Sitting on the john with cell phone in hand watching model panels come out while folks are lined up waiting for the bathroom.

[George001]

The strength of the signal this far out reminds me of the epic late Jan blizzard last year. All 3 major model ensemble suites are honking for a Miller B Christmas eve, nothing is a guarantee but that’s a great sign and is quite unusual this far out.

[ariof]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Sitting on the john with cell phone in hand watching model panels come out while folks are lined up waiting for the bathroom.

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Sitting on the john with cell phone in hand, swallowing another tincture drop, watching model panels come out while folks are lined up waiting for the bathroom.

 

[Typhoon Tip]

What the operational euro is doing from what I’m seeing is it’s stalling in the Gulf of Maine …generating new subsidiary lows within that general pan and then bouncing the circulations around the common center kind of Fujiwara. 

Somebody in northern Maine probably get about 40 inches of snow out of that a single dose but whatever that thing is doing at this range I find it hard to believe that a 975 MB is going to go over the other half of Cape Cod and we only get 9 inches of snow west of Boston. There’s some intra-trough negative interference going on. 

… All silly details it’ll be completely different inside of a couple of runs. 
 

 

[tunafish]

13 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Sitting on the john with cell phone in hand watching model panels come out while folks are lined up waiting for the bathroom.

we've all been there before and you know it!

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, tunafish said:

we've all been there before and you know it!

Just used to have a laptop instead and was asked why i need that in the bathroom..........

[MJOatleast7]

Just looked at Euro OP... piecemeal phasing that spreads the wealth in space and time, but close to a much bigger hit if that shortwave diving to Carolinas caught up
GEFS+EPS look great
Obviously the best signal we've had this season...
Gonna be alot of distracted folks at upcoming holiday parties  

I was that way at Thanksgiving about 8-10 years ago. Comet ISON was due to pass close to the Sun (less than a million miles) that day and be the brightest comet ever a couple of days later. Instead, it completely disintegrated when closest to the Sun. I was inconsolable and not much fun to be around during T day. Astro geek instead of weather geek, but yeah, same idea.


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[cleetussnow]

29 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Sitting on the john with cell phone in hand watching model panels come out while folks are lined up waiting for the bathroom.

They can wait.  We are.  For 200 more hours.

[mreaves]

31 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Sitting on the john with cell phone in hand watching model panels come out while folks are lined up waiting for the bathroom.

Good thing your pants are already down

[Typhoon Tip]

We will also have to keep an eye on that lead bundle of mechanics that gets inserted into southern Canada between 120 and 144 hours… As is it’s not bad as it’s dangling precipitously capable of hooking in, but if it gets any stronger it will change the entire landscape of the mid range.

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

59 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

hey you're right!! March 2018 really sucked in comparison to recent Decembers...

I agree that it's better in December, but unfortunately March gets more snow here.