"We're gonna need a bigger plow..." Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd

[40/70 Benchmark]

That looks like a phase gone wrong on the GEM...nothing to worry about at this range, aside from the fact that the model blows.

Its similar from a synoptic standpoint.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, cleetussnow said:

We are here to win it!

Damn right we are!

Let’s F’n GOOOOOOO!  What a good mood… until 1:15 or so 

[ROOSTA]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We get at least one of these runs a year. 

 

That's what you call a tease.
Verify every decade or so.
Pattern looks locked in, expect miracles  

[brooklynwx99]

i thought the can was being kicked

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

i thought the can was being kicked

May wanna give that sentiment a week, big boy....lol

[WxWatcher007]

Deadbeat parents looking for last minute gifts spending Christmas in their buried cars on I-95. Oceanfront properties in Taunton encased in ice from sea spray blown in off the Atlantic like ICBMs. Jerry absolutely sloshed from a Crown bender and falling into snow banks on his walk through the neighborhood. TBlizz meh’ing the blizzard while on his toilet and then screaming for his wife as the ceiling caves in and buries him in slate shingles and paste. Police departments inundated with calls of middle aged men disrobing and shoveling driveways mumbling “is this what it feels like to live at 500mb”.

We hope to see it. We pray to see it. We need to see it. 

[brooklynwx99]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

May wanna give that sentiment a week, big boy....lol

idk. i think the pattern supports this kind of outcome. we'll see where we're at on Monday but I don't see this vanishing into thin air

[dryslot]

19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You're right...let me salivate over the snow that you will get tomorrow and I assuredly will not, instead.

I get it, No one has been shafted the last few years more then you but I am a close second.

[dryslot]

24 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s all we got right now Jeff.  You got a foot plus coming, we have cold rain.  So unfortunately we look ahead. 

Ok George, Have at it.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Ok George, Have at it.

C’mon…low blow lol. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

idk. i think the pattern supports this kind of outcome. we'll see where we're at on Monday but I don't see this vanishing into thin air

Sure, it supports a big storm....but the devil is in the details. If this somehow fails to bury SNE, then no one will want to hear or care that we were right about the general synoptic evolution. Hell, I wouldn't care.

[Hoth]

Saw “12z GFS” trending on Twitter and figured something must be up. Yep!

[TheMainer]

12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We get at least one of these runs a year. 

Lock in the 62.5 inches right over my head, haha

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I get it, No one has been shafted the last few years more then you but I am a close second.

I understand the risks, but this is about as a high of a percentage relative to the range that you will see.

[bristolri_wx]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

   Go years without a double digit storm like I did when I was a kid and see what happens. 

You end up a meteorologist? This is why support systems are in place, to keep our world safe from this result. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

9 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

i thought the can was being kicked

[brooklynwx99]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Sure, it supports a big storm....but the devil is in the details. If this somehow fails to bury SNE, then no one will want to hear or care that we were right about the general synoptic evolution. Hell, I wouldn't care.

i get what you mean. I just meant that the favorable pattern is here right when everyone said it would be minus like 2-3 days. lots of people did a great job with that

and now we have a system with nuke potential to track

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I understand the risks, but this is about as a high of a percentage relative to the range that you will see.

Relatively stable patterns will have storms show up in longer lead times.  This one is no different.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

i get what you mean. I just meant that the favorable pattern is here right when everyone said it would be minus like 2-3 days. lots of people did a great job with that

and now we have a system with nuke potential to track

Yes, we’re in a good place coming up pattern wise, and the potential storm is extremely interesting…feels good to have a decent shot at something significant. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Yes, we’re in a good place coming up pattern wise, and the potential storm is extremely interesting…feels good to have a decent shot at something significant. 

Beats that hell out of last December with the -8SD RNA devouring all weather.

[bristolri_wx]

21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We get at least one of these runs a year. 

I weenied you for that post only because I can’t weenie myself for being excited about that map lol!

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Beats that hell out of last December with the -8SD RNA devouring all weather.

Oh For Sure. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Beats that hell out of last December with the -8SD RNA devouring all weather.

What's nice about this pattern is that this is just the first major threat....it appears we will multiple reloads on the western ridge with the decaying NAO block through end of the month and into early Jan.

[bristolri_wx]

Bing Crosby has entered that chat.

[Ginx snewx]

21 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Deadbeat parents looking for last minute gifts spending Christmas in their buried cars on I-95. Oceanfront properties in Taunton encased in ice from sea spray blown in off the Atlantic like ICBMs. Jerry absolutely sloshed from a Crown bender and falling into snow banks on his walk through the neighborhood. TBlizz meh’ing the blizzard while on his toilet and then screaming for his wife as the ceiling caves in and buries him in slate shingles and paste. Police departments inundated with calls of middle aged men disrobing and shoveling driveways mumbling “is this what it feels like to live at 500mb”.

We hope to see it. We pray to see it. We need to see it. 

It didn't take you long to fit in. This is a riot.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

I weenied you for that post only because I can’t weenie myself for being excited about that map lol!

Lol here ya go. A triple bunner. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

What's nice about this pattern is that this is just the first major threat....it appears we will multiple reloads on the western ridge with the decaying NAO block through end of the month and into early Jan.

[Spanks45]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Love being in the less than 30" hole there in CT....I am sure it will somehow verify. That GFS run gives me 2015 vibes

[SJonesWX]

17 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I get it, No one has been shafted the last few years more then you but I am a close second.

4 years below normal for me

3 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

Bing Crosby has entered that chat.

Well, at least it's not Bill Cosby

[bristolri_wx]

Are people still pissed about the recent GFS upgrade?