SJonesWX Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: You guys do this for work and you still suck at it. immensely. Society gives you a zero-value contribution. Do better. Find something more productive to do with yourself. so are you saying that the pattern hasn't changed since the first half of Novie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: You guys do this for work and you still suck at it. immensely. Society gives you a zero-value contribution. Do better. Find something more productive to do with yourself. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Precip hitting a wall of dry air over my house. A good sign for some quick evaporational cooling at the outset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: What's your elevation and how far west of 91 are you.? Also https://wildcardweather.com/2015/02/21/learn-to-read-a-skew-t-diagram-like-a-meteorologist-in-pictures/ About 14 miles, and approximately 350 feet. And thank you for the info Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeppy Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 54 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ball bags and boob sags all over that map.. Ball bags even on top of saggy boobs in one case . There's a dong or two in there also 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, jbenedet said: You guys do this for work and you still suck at it. immensely. Society gives you a zero-value contribution. Do better. Find something more productive to do with yourself. Do your customers get mad when your CDDs turn into HDDs and vice-versa? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, tunafish said: Appreciate the explanation! Trying to figure out when, and how incessantly, I need to be watching for changes to snow Friday evening for official obs purposes. No problem, just my quick assessment. I'm leaning towards a flip back over to snow during the very late afternoon or early evening there. It will be super interesting there, especially since the depth of the warmer layer is quite shallow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Pope on a rope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 I never knew the Papal Prodigy could turn so violent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Euro looks just like 0z thru 30 hrs thou more of W CT gets in on thump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Euro is a torch. This will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Ha even warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Euro looks just like 0z thru 30 hrs Looks a smidge colder on the front end than 00z, but it looks a bit warmer than 00z for friday night. 06z looked a bit colder than both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Low is over my fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 So much for it moving towards the GFS and NAM etc... Still gives me 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 925mb is not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Dryslot tossed his computer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 57 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Yea no kiddin' on northeast winds. Quebec City with a high of 37F today, 32F tomorrow, December 16. But it's a "-NAO" to the model huggers. You’re a nice guy and we’ve chatted before. I’m not sure why you’re turning yourself into a troll. I say that with good intent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Any CT thump like GFS/ NAM/ RAP? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Low is over my fanny. After it took the low about 100 miles south from it's interior SNE days, it's been pretty stubborn tracking it from E LI to SE MA for the last 5-6 runs.....06z was maybe the furthest south....it did get the low kind of close to you, but it did it in a colder manner tracking it south of BID and just S of MVY before it hooked it left. 12z run doesn't take as wide of a turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 euro track is pretty locked In Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Any CT thump like GFS/ NAM/ RAP? Yeah it has some snow pre-dawn for your 'hood. Maybe a couple inches. Not as good as GFS though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it has some snow pre-dawn for your 'hood. Maybe a couple inches. Not as good as GFS though. Based on what I’ve seen it’s likely to start as rain or a mix and if the dynamics change lay out as modeled.. it would switch to snow in the pre dawn hours and then flip back to rain once heavy precip moves north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Based on what I’ve seen it’s likely to start as rain or a mix and if the dynamics change lay out as modeled.. it would switch to snow in the pre dawn hours and then flip back to rain once heavy precip moves north? Yeah you'll prob get a period of parachutes when the lift is good predawn and then you lose them as lift moves on and/or 925 warms too much to support snow any longer. Whichever happens first. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 27 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Dryslot tossed his computer If its right, Those snow totals will get chopped in half anyways, Not sure it is though, Its the warmest model out there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: If its right, Those snow totals will get chopped in half anyways, Not sure it is though, Its the warmest model out there right now. In the past when it’s been warmest .. how has it turned out? Good or bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: In the past when it’s been warmest .. how has it turned out? Good or bad In the past, It would've been bad, But i'm not so sure for this one, Its been pretty stubborn, As well as not a sure bet like it use to be, The other guidance had waffled around a bit but has come in colder for many, Its will come down to that SLP track and where it actually ends up tracking, As many others have mentioned, Would like to see it go a few tics further SE, So i'm not sure if i would hang my hat on it exclusively right now but would have to give it some weight until it blinks if it does at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 BOX FTW it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 14 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: BOX FTW it looks like I'm not at all comfortable yet for your 'hood on just going borderline advisory snow. I've been noticing the RAP cooling all day today....Euro continues to be an issue obviously, but we'll keep tracking. RAP has you with this sounding at 15z tomorrow with already 6+ fallen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 hour ago, jbenedet said: You guys do this for work and you still suck at it. immensely. Society gives you a zero-value contribution. Do better. Find something more productive to do with yourself. Thanks, raindance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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