RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: That looks like a snow radar over central NJ It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 12z HRRR Initialized To t 49 Not much gain in the snow department. NEXT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
met_fan Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Wish we were there. 2 days of blizzard conditions 36" in Deadwood, S.D. 30" in Cheyenne Crossing, S.D. 29" in Finland, MN 26" in Hulett, WYHow do they even measure snow in a plains blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 9 minutes ago, met_fan said: How do they even measure snow in a plains blizzard? The same way they measure precip at KMWN. 6.66" for Irene IIRC, I was chatting with staff and they said "yeah that seemed like a pretty good guess." 29" on the North Shore and still coming down. A friend who works for NWS DLH has slept at the office the last couple of nights 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Right up to gametime, the Canadian has almost all rain in areas that are mostly snow on all the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 I am in Northampton and it is 42° with dim sun. Garbage air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, RDRY said: Right up to gametime, the Canadian has almost all rain in areas that are mostly snow on all the other models. I routinely toss the Canadian as far as it will fly We euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 58 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Honestly not sure....3km looked a bit more like the RAP on the soundings....but I've seen the 12km do better before too. Sometimes these SHARPpy soundings can also be a bit wonky with their outputs too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 This is 9z but showing potential for a decent thump at BDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/12/major-long-duration-winter-storm-likely_15.html 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 12z NAM bufkit for BDL. I kinda find it hard to believe ptype is rain around 6z. This also matches what the SREF has for a decent thump 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/12/major-long-duration-winter-storm-likely_15.html Ball bags and boob sags all over that map.. Ball bags even on top of saggy boobs in one case . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 What do Jerry's motherfukkas say for ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ball bags and boob sags all over that map.. Ball bags even on top of saggy boobs in one case . And a pink missle sneaking in from the left side. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: What do Jerry's motherfukkas say for ORH? 2 on MAV guidance. 0 on MET (though it has a 1 for early Sat) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 P&C shows sn/rn part of fri and sat. for our area. hoping the elevation keeps us mostly sn. 37.8F atm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 I think I’m going with a ride to wildcat manana , ski Friday stay at Glenn house (1600’) ski Saturday . I don’t see many ways they get less than 8-10” and probably more like 12-20 And I’m guessing they will keep power 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 GFS bufkit keeps Portland all snow with a dumping of it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 30 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/12/major-long-duration-winter-storm-likely_15.html map looks perfect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 I really wish I weren’t so far east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think I’m going with a ride to wildcat manana , ski Friday stay at Glenn house (1600’) ski Saturday . I don’t see many ways that get less than 8-10” and probably more like 12-20 Wildcat or Sunapee would be my two top spots in NH in this storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: GFS bufkit keeps Portland all snow with a dumping of it What's it locking onto that the others aren't? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Wildcat or Sunapee would be my two top spots in NH in this storm. Thanks , I was waiting for euro to book . Anything about Sunapee in particular that you like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 46 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I am in Northampton and it is 42° with dim sun. Garbage air mass. Yea no kiddin' on northeast winds. Quebec City with a high of 37F today, 32F tomorrow, December 16. But it's a "-NAO" to the model huggers. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Yea no kiddin' on northeast winds. Quebec City with a high of 37F today, 32F tomorrow, December 16. But it's a "-NAO" to the model huggers. 50s for Dover tomorrow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: 50s for Dover tomorrow? Might as well go record highs....nothing's changed since the first half of November 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, tunafish said: What's it locking onto that the others aren't? Looks to be eyeing on stronger lift within the DGZ zone. I don't totally buy an all snow-event for Portland though given some onshore flow and temps spiking up a bit, however, during bursts of stronger lift there could be flips to heavy snow or at least a mix. I think though rain could quickly flip to snow moving into evening as winds become more NE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 The ukie with dews in SE NH into the 40's by 12z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 50s for Dover tomorrow? You guys do this for work and you still suck at it. immensely. Society gives you a zero-value contribution. Do better. Find something more productive to do with yourself. 6 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Looks to be eyeing on stronger lift within the DGZ zone. I don't totally buy an all snow-event for Portland though given some onshore flow and temps spiking up a bit, however, during bursts of stronger lift there could be flips to heavy snow or at least a mix. I think though rain could quickly flip to snow moving into evening as winds become more NE. Appreciate the explanation! Trying to figure out when, and how incessantly, I need to be watching for changes to snow Friday evening for official obs purposes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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