CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: 8” please in and on Fanny It would be paste too. But it would need to come down heavy. Rates will be vital there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 FWIW the icon is coming in colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 I feel like the early Dec 96 event had winds more out of the NE and just a smidge cooler aloft. Also dynamics were insane as Will said. I wish this would just bomb and consolidate vs elongate into LI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 I hope Tip is writing up some diatribe about how his correction vector is pointed in my direction. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I hope Tip is writing up some diatribe about his his correction vector is pointed in my direction. It’s either that or fox hall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s either that or fox hall My money is on his account of the "Stay Away" order being served as the rain/snow line swept through the campus under the din of Hustler mags. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Remember you have the Papal forecast going for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 So long as the 700 mb… and probably 850 as well, stay below Worcester to Logan axis this scenario has probably got about the best shot at a marginality surprise/blue snow event as can be set up around here. classic December of lore… Really. Now whether that happens or not comes down to I don’t know micro scale permutations that can’t really be predicted or seen. probably not a total analog? but I do agree that the first of the duel events in 1996 reminds me of this. I remember when that thing flipped over to aggregates I was between Acton and UML making the commute back up to school when that happening and I never saw the roads deteriorate so fast. Shows when you’re raining at sultry mid 30s how cold surfaces are. Right as the rain flipped to cotten balls … everything was white and there were slush ruts on the roadway sfc very quickly 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: My money is on his account of the "Stay Away" order being served as the rain/snow line swept through the campus under the din of Hustler mags. @CoastalWx @STILL N OF PIKE 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: So long as the 700 mb… and probably 850 as well, stay below Worcester to Logan axis this scenario has probably got about the best shot at a marginality surprise/blue snow event as can be set up around here. classic December of lore… Really. Now whether that happens or not comes down to I don’t know micro scale permutations that can’t really be predicted or seen. probably not a total analog? but I do agree that the first of the duel events in 1996 reminds me of this. I remember when that things flipped over to aggregates I was between Acton and lol making the commute back up to school when that happening I never saw the roads deteriorate so fast. Shows when you’re raining at sultry mid 30s how cold surfaces are. Right as the rain flipped to cotten balls … everything was white and there were slush rut on the roadway sfc very quickly 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Finally a Miller B with plenty of qpf but now it's too warm...how to get this same set up with temps 20s to low 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s either that or fox hall Ha … No I’m battling with my phone’s unrelenting attempt to turn whatever I write into utter twaddle that’s unintelligible ..,while sitting in a droning code meeting that I struggle to find so much as a modicum of passion for 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 51 minutes ago, dryslot said: Maybe I'll have to take 'em up from yesterday's map? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: Finally a Miller B with plenty of qpf but now it's too warm...how to get this same set up with temps 20s to low 30s hoping being out of the valley pays off for me now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe I'll have to take 'em up from yesterday's map? That's a possibility actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe I'll have to take 'em up from yesterday's map? I think that map looks pretty damn good Now . We need some rates in this so I think this is a good middle ground 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 GFS suggesting NE MA reach around with flip to paste. Even maybe some acc into BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think that map looks pretty damn good Now I agree.....I was tongue in cheek. The NAM usually goes a little apeshit with QPF for a run or two. We'll see.... I'll check tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: GFS suggesting NE MA reach around with flip to paste. Even maybe some acc into BOS. Definitely interesting looking on Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GFS suggesting NE MA reach around with flip to paste. Even maybe some acc into BOS. Its been consistent with that since yesterday...an inch or two at the end would really be great. Something like that can flip the luck index. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GFS suggesting NE MA reach around with flip to paste. Even maybe some acc into BOS. RGEM was showing it too. Those mid-level tracks are mouth-watering for elevated interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 I just looked at 925 loop only of gfs and that looks yummy and slow . i mean ...if only that Saturday period would do that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 That run was great for western CT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Tunafish and PWMan will like the 12z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Good luck to Mets in interior mass forecasting this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I just looked at 925 loop only of gfs and that looks yummy and slow . i mean ...if only that Saturday period would do that 20-burger in ORH county with that look....not forecasting that right now, but these slower "meandering eastward" type solutions have some pretty high positive bust potential in those areas...and maybe positive bust too for eastern MA coastal plain too if that collapse SE during CCB overnight Friday night happens....still a big if on that part. NAM didn't really show that, but GFS/RGEM did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM was showing it too. Those mid-level tracks are mouth-watering for elevated interior. I know it. Shit it's mouth watering here, but boundary layer too warm for a big part of it on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Maybe I'll have to take 'em up from yesterday's map? Couple of nice saggy boobs there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: That run was great for western CT. I'm right on the Farmington line in Plainville. I'm also up about 550'. These trends are definitely my friend here. But, I'm going in cautiously. I'd rather be surprised on the flip to snow Friday and not disappointed if it does not flip over. I do love these scenarios though... Kind of keeps us in suspense ( not that I don't like knowing we are getting 2' as an absolute ). We shall see. There is plenty more Winter to come over the next months. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 If that 3z to 12z Saturday am period played out like that I find it hard to believe that 495 toward 128 didn’t flip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Oh i remember the 96 event now. Wasn’t that a two part or two storm deal that happened like back to back days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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