ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I agree with you. BOX on the other hand is still going 0-1” with almost all rain for my point n click ya seems low but we'll see what today brings I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 GYX first map, That looks reasonable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 25 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Yeah... I'm west of Hartford on the border of Farmington and plainville. We are about 550 feet up. If we were to get some more Tics SE today.. we could be in the game for something.. maybe even a flip back to something Wintry Friday Eve? I think the chance is there now. You are up even higher..so your chances are even better. If all else fails.. we do have a few chances next week. Time will tell. I'm not convinced that you're almost sort of in the game at least. Up at my office in Simsbury this looks like a situation where we could be snow while just over the ridge east its a different scene. We'll have to see the track and dynamics... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: I'm not convinced that you're almost sort of in the game at least. Up at my office in Simsbury this looks like a situation where we could be snow while just over the ridge east its a different scene. We'll have to see the track and dynamics... I don't disagree. We will either see a surprise on Friday, or it will just stay rain. Time well tell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Nam was still real warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 55 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I agree with you. BOX on the other hand is still going 0-1” with almost all rain for my point n click They will be taking those up a decent amount today unless there is a reversal in model trends. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Not looking good for the Lowell area. Not that it ever was. I used to hate these events, but now I look forward to the drive north guessing what mile marker I'll see it begin to flip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: They will be taking those up a decent amount today unless there is a reversal in model trends. REally?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, moneypitmike said: REally?? For Dave? If it's 0-1", absolutely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: For Dave? If it's 0-1", absolutely. I thought he was referring to his hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: For Dave? If it's 0-1", absolutely. has 1 to 2 for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 The 06z Euro looked a couple tics colder for the fence sitters. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: The 06z Euro looked a couple tics colder for the fence sitters. Congrats Dave—get off that fence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Enjoy the storm folks. Get to wash away the lbs of salt off the roads and vehicles here at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: REally?? Just about everyone from ORH west will need to be upped to varying degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Congrats Dave—get off that fence Yes, Looks better for Dave right down towards ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: has 1 to 2 for me Take em up. All the way up. Unless it goes to shit today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just about everyone from ORH west will need to be upped to varying degrees Should be 2-3 for you I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Hopefully this trends enough for the rest of the state to get a day off from work Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Should be 2-3 for you I think. This area is just so close . Borderline.These SE tics have helped. Looks like snow to mix/ rain back to accumulating snow? How did 6z Euro look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Bear in mind, This will probably be less then 10:1 ratios for a few of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 hour ago, dryslot said: GYX first map, That looks reasonable. Nothing at MHT, they must not be buying the cold trend for the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This area is just so close . Borderline.These SE tics have helped. Looks like snow to mix/ rain back to accumulating snow? How did 6z Euro look? Euro looked sloppy there. Best dynamics N of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 right on the edge of something special here, will take my couple though, already better than last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Nothing at MHT, they must not be buying the cold trend for the coastal plain. They may have to change that, This was the wildcard for here in there AFD this morning, If I had to pick an area with the most precip type uncertainty, it would be the interior ME locations from central Cumberland Co through Auburn/Lewiston towards Augusta. This area should receive plenty of QPF, and CAD could keep temps cool enough for wet snow to fall at a good clip...potentially falling on the northern end of an enhanced band from the coastal front. That said, this is a tricky mesoscale feature to pick out at this range and will be determinant on low track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: They may have to change that, This was the wildcard for here in there AFD this morning, If I had to pick an area with the most precip type uncertainty, it would be the interior ME locations from central Cumberland Co through Auburn/Lewiston towards Augusta. This area should receive plenty of QPF, and CAD could keep temps cool enough for wet snow to fall at a good clip...potentially falling on the northern end of an enhanced band from the coastal front. That said, this is a tricky mesoscale feature to pick out at this range and will be determinant on low track. Because it seems to be more or less rain or snow, without a lot of mixed precipitation, it could be that if it falls heavy enough for a while, it holds off the warming a bit and a lot of places could pile up several inches of snow pretty fast. And then rain mixes in during the lighter precip. This is when were you and Brian to be all snow, I could be back-and-forth between rain and snow, and areas are long the river like Concord could be mostly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Because it seems to be more or less rain or snow, without a lot of mixed precipitation, it could be that if it falls heavy enough for a while, it holds off the warming a bit and a lot of places could pile up several inches of snow pretty fast. And then rain mixes in during the lighter precip. This is when were you and Brian to be all snow, I could be back-and-forth between rain and snow, and areas are long the river like Concord could be mostly rain. Yeah, Its going to be either or for some down your way or a combination of both for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Take em up. All the way up. Unless it goes to shit today. with my luck it will.. good trends though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 24 minutes ago, dryslot said: They may have to change that, This was the wildcard for here in there AFD this morning, If I had to pick an area with the most precip type uncertainty, it would be the interior ME locations from central Cumberland Co through Auburn/Lewiston towards Augusta. This area should receive plenty of QPF, and CAD could keep temps cool enough for wet snow to fall at a good clip...potentially falling on the northern end of an enhanced band from the coastal front. That said, this is a tricky mesoscale feature to pick out at this range and will be determinant on low track. Seems like models are thinking less QPF up this way and down by you gets the better snow load even if it is a bit more sloppy. Aroostook county would be pretty salty with Lewiston getting 10 inches and they get 2, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 BTV has issued a watch and a map too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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