Preliminarily ... a medium impact partial Miller B, Friday

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I’ll take my 8+ on the GFS. Thanks.  

Anywhere close to that and we’re high fiving and popping bottles given what could have been 

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

0z GFS finally comes around, More juiced up this run to line up with the other models now.

It actually trended pretty significantly westbbetween 84 and 96 hours… Seems to stall there and it really pummels northeastern mass coastal New Hampshire and coastal Maine pretty good, comma head

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

prob not done tending NW on gfs , maybe meet in middle with euro 

Euro came East at 18z…And had some decent dynamics. 

[dryslot]

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

It actually trended pretty significantly westbbetween 84 and 96 hours… Seems to stall there and it really pummels northeastern mass coastal New Hampshire and coastal Maine pretty good, comma head

It had been on the weaker side of guidance up to now.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Euro came East at 18z…And had some decent dynamics. 

It came East like a hair when I looked 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

It came East like a hair when I looked 

Had better dynamics though. 

[ineedsnow]

canadian looks great here

[dryslot]

18z Euro was basically noise at this juncture, I don't see it making any wholesale changes at this point, Not that it usually does when we get this close in, It has ticked colder up here but everything tonight so far at 0z has too.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

canadian looks great here

Here we go…

[Snowcrazed71]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

canadian looks great here

Hmm?

[dryslot]

Add the canadien to the list too.

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

18z Euro was basically noise at this juncture, I don't see it making any wholesale changes at this point, Not that it usually does when we get this close in, It has ticked colder up here but everything tonight so far at 0z has too.

It made a big wholesale change in late Jan 2015..when it brought back the big storm idea at 2 days out. so It happens.
 

And it ain’t the old steady Euro of old anymore…more like a nervous Nellie now than anything else.    

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Had better dynamics though. 

That gfs clown map is overdone. Narcan will be much lower along 84.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

That gfs clown map is overdone. Narcan will be much lower along 84.

Oh yes for sure..but that was a major shift change on that 0z GFS all around…that’s the bigger takeaway. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Too bad f5weather runs on dialup, the site is slow.

[Snowcrazed71]

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Add the canadien to the list too.

 

What did it show?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Oh yes for sure..but that was a major shift change on that 0z GFS all around…that’s the bigger takeaway. 

For sure, No doubt. Just hesitant to think 6+ is doable until more solutions slide se while not losing dynamics. Seems like two corrections are needed, an uphill battle. 

[WinterWolf]

8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

For sure, No doubt. Just hesitant to think 6+ is doable until more solutions slide se while not losing dynamics. Seems like two corrections are needed, an uphill battle. 

Agree.
However 18z Euro was more dynamic and ticked S and E…according to Will. Now we have another major global really jump and get juiced/more dynamic at the same time. Oh and also the CMC(if we can quantify that as a major lol) 
 

If the Euro tics again in 90 minutes…I think we are seeing the models picking up on these big teles that are on the field, and correcting as Tip explained. 

[dryslot]

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Not bad….  Thanks for posting. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Agree.
However 18z Euro was more dynamic and ticked S and E…according to Will. Now we have another major global really jump and get juiced/more dynamic at the same time.
 

If the Euro tics again in 90 minutes…I think we are seeing the models picking up on these big teles that are on the field, and correcting as Tip explained. 

Listening to smarter folks in the field is a sound strategy..excluding the pope. They maybe onto something but yea we’ll need improving solutions to continue the next 24hrs or so. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That’s better than I thought down here tbh. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

That’s better than I thought down here tbh. 

Longitude lol.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Pretty good hit there for you Jeff. 

[ineedsnow]

8 minutes ago, dryslot said:

we take 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Pretty good hit there for you Jeff. 

Yes it is Luke.

[WxWatcher007]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Listening to smarter folks in the field is a sound strategy..excluding the pope. They maybe onto something but yea we’ll need improving solutions to continue the next 24hrs or so. 

Heretic?

[WinterWolf]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Heretic?

Pope is high on dope lately. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Yes it is.

Maybe get your trails open if you get it good.

[dryslot]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Maybe get your trails open if you get it good.

8" or so would make a good base, This will have some meat to it.