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Preliminarily ... a medium impact partial Miller B, Friday


Typhoon Tip
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3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

0z GFS finally comes around, More juiced up this run to line up with the other models now.

It actually trended pretty significantly westbbetween 84 and 96 hours… Seems to stall there and it really pummels northeastern mass coastal New Hampshire and coastal Maine pretty good, comma head

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Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

It actually trended pretty significantly westbbetween 84 and 96 hours… Seems to stall there and it really pummels northeastern mass coastal New Hampshire and coastal Maine pretty good, comma head

It had been on the weaker side of guidance up to now.

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6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

18z Euro was basically noise at this juncture, I don't see it making any wholesale changes at this point, Not that it usually does when we get this close in, It has ticked colder up here but everything tonight so far at 0z has too.

It made a big wholesale change in late Jan 2015..when it brought back the big storm idea at 2 days out. so It happens.
 

And it ain’t the old steady Euro of old anymore…more like a nervous Nellie now than anything else.    

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1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Oh yes for sure..but that was a major shift change on that 0z GFS all around…that’s the bigger takeaway. 

For sure, No doubt. Just hesitant to think 6+ is doable until more solutions slide se while not losing dynamics. Seems like two corrections are needed, an uphill battle. 

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8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

For sure, No doubt. Just hesitant to think 6+ is doable until more solutions slide se while not losing dynamics. Seems like two corrections are needed, an uphill battle. 

Agree.
However 18z Euro was more dynamic and ticked S and E…according to Will. Now we have another major global really jump and get juiced/more dynamic at the same time. Oh and also the CMC(if we can quantify that as a major lol) 
 

If the Euro tics again in 90 minutes…I think we are seeing the models picking up on these big teles that are on the field, and correcting as Tip explained. 

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Just now, WinterWolf said:

Agree.
However 18z Euro was more dynamic and ticked S and E…according to Will. Now we have another major global really jump and get juiced/more dynamic at the same time.
 

If the Euro tics again in 90 minutes…I think we are seeing the models picking up on these big teles that are on the field, and correcting as Tip explained. 

Listening to smarter folks in the field is a sound strategy..excluding the pope. They maybe onto something but yea we’ll need improving solutions to continue the next 24hrs or so. 

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