STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 0z nam out to 6hr , looks East 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Yikes the mothership over Wisconsin is much stronger on the 0z NAM, can't be a good thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Yikes the mothership over Wisconsin is much stronger on the 0z NAM, can't be a good thing. Zero snow in my part of nj on the Nam , gfs showed 8 plus lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Nam toast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Snow to glop up here. Mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 This one never was for us on the edge... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Nam track about same as 18z euro now and 925 a shade cooler than euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 It’s nice to know models are capable of locking in a fairly tight range of a solution from D5 inward at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 I think that front end thump still holds most of the promise for those in CT outside NW hills . If rates are there , could see a surprise even at lower elevations off the S coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Yes please. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes please. Acceptable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 3k is nice here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Bury North Conway please 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 Despite all the smaller incremental trends … one run wipes it all out. It’s an odd circumstance to have big cold vortex parked over the lower Maritime, with -NAO block over Baffin Island and have the Great Lakes control everything. Interesting. Guess no one trusts the GFS huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 I wish it were right, but it’s on an island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: I wish it were right, but it’s on an island. 18z Euro headed towards the GFS though. Where’s it going at 0z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: I wish it were right, but it’s on an island. There’s reasons to believe it’s more right. I’ve outlined those … it seems people sans anything other than the worst possible model cinema. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Despite all the smaller incremental trends … one run wipes it all out. It’s an odd circumstance to have big cold vortex parked over the lower Maritime, with -NAO block over Baffin Island and have the Great Lakes control everything. Interesting. Guess no one trusts the GFS huh Well I certainly dont trust the NAM. I dont want the GFS where I am but I trust it way more than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Where’s it going at 0z? About the same as previous. It’s not interested in deviating from a track just S if LI. Looks like a 4-6” of wet snow in the deep interior as a low risk correction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, dmcginvt said: Well I certainly dont trust the NAM. I dont want the GFS where I am but I trust it way more than the NAM. Yeah it’s sarcasm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Man, I wish I could trust that 0z GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: There’s reasons to believe it’s more right. I’ve outlined those … it seems people sans anything other than the worst possible model cinema. Lol I hear you and I saw those reasons, I’d just like to see more consensus, especially at this range. I’ll acknowledge again that I’m bearish on this one imby and much of CT. Still think it’ll be a significant event to my north and at elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, Thunderblizzard said: Man, I wish I could trust that 0z GFS run. Well can we trust anything at this point? It’s making the most sense currently with all the other tele’s lined up. It makes synoptic sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 And yes, I love the cinema Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 It actually flips a lot of us over to a period of moderate snow in the latter half of the storm as the CCB lingers in the area coming in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Gfs full on weenie run for storm and extends it for ray and pope w Saturday fun. Not gonna happen but nice to see lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 I’ll take my 8+ on the GFS. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 0z GFS finally comes around, More juiced up this run to line up with the other models now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 prob not done tending NW on gfs , maybe meet in middle with euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Gfs full on weenie run for storm and extends it for ray and pope w Saturday fun. Not gonna happen but nice to see lol So why is that not gonna happen? It makes the most sense with what we have on the field. Strong West based -NAO, nice high pressure north of Maine, decent airmass..makes more sense to be quite honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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