Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well there went the good vibes We beer instead. Emperor Julius FTMFW. I'm going to enjoy my cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: She's a stubborn biatch. Even the stubborn ones eventually submit to the power of the interior hills on 925 tracks over the Cape. It's just a matter of time....tick tock. The only way out of embarrassment is to trend it back NW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 hour ago, masonwoods said: It would be funny if the only thing Tip got wrong was calling it a "Medium Impact" event. Lol but actually … if it snows prodigiously enough east of ~ HFD-ASH line the original assessment would have been off altho … I was pointing out that an eastward adjustment would not be altogether unexpected. Also … moderate vs minor vs major. Heh. Subjective. To me 10 inches is moderate and I don’t think we’re getting 10 inches because if we do it’s gonna be 8::3 1QPF hahaha would be almost 2 inches lol. actually … Ha. We could be trending towards CCB strike over the eastern part of the AFD In which case… we bring the 850 therm down to the surface and we end up with an iso thermal -1 Celsius …even get blowing snow off the eaves as a wtf’er event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 So am I getting a bit of redemption for being out of town 12/9/05? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Even the stubborn ones eventually submit to the power of the interior hills on 925 tracks over the Cape. It's just a matter of time....tick tock. The only way out of embarrassment is to trend it back NW. It's just weird to me. Usually Euro shows that kind of solution...it's like the warmest of all guidance now. I guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Are they asking? lol, I'll do one this afternoon to feed the hardcore sledders............. Lol. One guy did say he was going to wait to hear from you before getting excited. Claimed Channel hyped event for ratings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, mreaves said: Lol. One guy did say he was going to wait to hear from you before getting excited. Claimed Channel hyped event for ratings Eastmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 59 minutes ago, tunafish said: we could have total consensus and a forecast from GYX for a 20 burger and he'd still 'meh' it through the first 6 hours of the event. Maine's own TBlizz 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's just weird to me. Usually Euro shows that kind of solution...it's like the warmest of all guidance now. I guess we'll see. One thing I noticed on the Euro is that the vort max we see on most other guidance on the front side of the trough is a lot weaker. I wonder if that is playing a role...generally weaker dynamics (and weaker height falls)? See below....here's the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 25 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: No thump, just wet humps. better than dry humps, that's for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Connecticut Appleman said: Liking the general trends here. I'm heading into my 5th winter here and I'm at 1,000 feet which has not been much of factor since moving here. I came from Ellington to New Hartford and hopefully the elevation will pay off this time. More times than not it will. I lived in New Hartford between 2012 and 2014 and just those two winters there I saw it compared to Simsbury. Although definitely not as much as if you were up in say Granville MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, mreaves said: Maine's own TBlizz Doesn't every state have one or two? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, UnitedWx said: More times than not it will. I lived in New Hartford between 2012 and 2014 and just those two winters there I saw it compared to Simsbury. Although definitely not as much as if you were up in say Granville MA New Hartford at 1,000 feet should get crushed in this event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 hour ago, dryslot said: I didn't see any go up the hudson, Over LI-KEV and over PWM i saw, Somebody mentioned some where on here that box had tossed it in their AFD, No? Even a couple NAM runs...among others had it going up the Hudson, before transferring roughly off the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: New Hartford at 1,000 feet should get crushed in this event We did well in Westfield/Simsbury this last storm. I'm curious to see if this does as the GFS clown shows. It has that big dividing line between Granby and East Granby that I've mentioned too much lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 I grew up in Norfolk where cashing in is just the norm - we always beat everyone, but that has not been as prevalent in recent years for Norfolk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 43 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: That would be great. It’s been a rough go of it for local clubs outside of the county And it's pretty skinny even up there after several RA events, unless one can start above 1000'. Deepest depth on this morning's cocorahs was 3.5" at New Sweden. PQI was next with 2", all of which came from the retro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Was the 925 on 12z SE of 6z? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: New Hartford at 1,000 feet should get crushed in this event Fingers crossed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Still on the razor's edge here. This could be one of those deals where you can see the gradient driving from one side of town to the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, PWMan said: Still on the razor's edge here. This could be one of those deals where you can see the gradient driving from one side of town to the other. Definitely. 2" of glop at one end of Broadturn and 6" of paste on the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: New Hartford at 1,000 feet should get crushed in this event I agree. I think 6-12 is a good bet in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Even a couple NAM runs...among others had it going up the Hudson, before transferring roughly off the Cape Well, You do have a primary tracking thru MI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, PWMan said: Still on the razor's edge here. This could be one of those deals where you can see the gradient driving from one side of town to the other. A nightmare for my company trucks coming down 95 from Midcoast. Shifting freight to tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Well, You do have a primary tracking thru MI. True. However some surface maps had the low up the Hudson like Sully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 UK gives me 5-6". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Even the GFS gives me 3" now....nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Just looked at the 12z GFS. Looks like some good frontogenesis at the height of passage. Temps look a bit high at 850, 925 include surface out to about ORH, that could be where the CF sets-up. Surface reflection tracking a little too far N and W but might be enough time to correct for a score. Going to be close. haves to have nots with a huge gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Even the GFS gives me 3" now....nuts. Just gotta get Dr. No to finally cave....it's teetering, but not quite ready to give up yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Even the GFS gives me 3" now....nuts. In the last 36 or so hours my focus has shifted into getting this to be enough of a significant event across Mass that the governor punts work Friday. He’s out the door in a month anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now