STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: East slopes of ORH hills and Berks would clean up on that type of look Will does the 6z eps have 925 line past hour 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That's close to a pounding for the valley too around here. Might help being on the western side? I feel like any longitude helps. Hopefully you guys can grab some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 The nammy is a generous giver but we never seem to receive it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That's a Kev question frame lol Ha, no I’m confident Greenfield gets solid snow before any taint. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That's close to a pounding for the valley too around here. What do you think the valley needs to maximize potential? Is the key factor getting a further SE mid level low pass to allow for more cold in the column or is it getting slightly less easterly flow? 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hopefully Xmas isn't ruined snowwise...first holiday season that my oldest knows what is going on and I expected some snow. This is why I melted yesterday...not because I think the season is ruined or anything. Sucks. Absolute cannot catch a break Hopefully the next one works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: This isn’t that strong either just moist. GYX thinks its a rain or snow deal, not so much a complicated mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Will does the 6z eps have 925 line past hour 90 I don't have the ability to see 925 on the EPS....but my guess is it probably is north of ORH by 90h....EPS is still pretty amped up, even if less than 00z. I think we'd want it about 30-50 miles SE of there to feel good in places like ORH to maybe the smaller hills just W of 495 up by Groton/Shirley/Ayer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Might help being on the western side? I feel like any longitude helps. Hopefully you guys can grab some. Yeah you can see that on the model 2m temps... there's definitely a bit of longitude assist there. I think Litchfield Hills and Berkshires will do very well being a bit farther west plus some upslope assist/cooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 Even the 12z NAM gets 925 to NH border by 84h....but the damage is done by then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: I just finished putting in a manual 10 circuit gen switch at the house, Now just waiting on the generator, It suppose to be here friday. Then you know it is a heavy paste bomb Thursday night into Friday... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Yeah you can see that on the model 2m temps... there's definitely a bit of longitude assist there. I think Litchfield Hills and Berkshires will do very well being a bit farther west plus some upslope assist/cooling. I looked at 950 on weathernerds..just like seeing a horizontal projection, and you can see that even lower spots were just below 0C at that level. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 RGEM looked almost exactly like 06z....which was like 1C too warm for ORH hills except maybe up by NH border....Berkshires did ok on that run. ICON was also almost a carbon copy of 06z. So NAM is really the only one that moved in significant fashion so far at 12z. The NAM's move is almost certainly related to the ULL being compressed a bit E/W vs the 06z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 29 minutes ago, dryslot said: I just finished putting in a manual 10 circuit gen switch at the house, Now just waiting on the generator, It suppose to be here friday. Why didn't you go with an interlock kit? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hopefully Xmas isn't ruined snowwise...first holiday season that my oldest knows what is going on and I expected some snow. This is why I melted yesterday...not because I think the season is ruined or anything. Sucks. Absolute cannot catch a break the kid needs to learn about Christmas disappointment at an early age. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 Once the (initialization) on guidance digests the developing +NAO the marginal areas east of the CT river will be cooked. The bulk of the surface cold is to our west; not to our north, which naturally means a "backing" west occlusion. So once the UL confluence ebbs it will be "not even close" for us eastern folks. Good storm for the berks, Greens, and upstate NY though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Once the (initialization) on guidance digests the developing +NAO the marginal areas east of the CT river will be cooked. The bulk of the surface cold is to our west; not to our north, which naturally means a "backing" west occlusion. So once the UL confluence ebbs it will be "not even close" for us eastern folks. Good storm for the berks, Greens, and upstate NY though. 50F rain for Dover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Once the (initialization) on guidance digests the developing +NAO the marginal areas east of the CT river will be cooked. The bulk of the surface cold is to our west; not to our north, which naturally means a "backing" west occlusion. So once the UL confluence ebbs it will be "not even close" for us eastern folks. Good storm for the berks, Greens, and upstate NY though. The NAO is negative, not that it changes anything. The block recedes just enough to allow the primary to last into the Great Lakes, which not only advects mid level warmth more aggressively, but allows the secondary SLP to hug the coast more closely, which cooks the coastal plane with onshore flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 9 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Once the (initialization) on guidance digests the developing +NAO the marginal areas east of the CT river will be cooked. The bulk of the surface cold is to our west; not to our north, which naturally means a "backing" west occlusion. So once the UL confluence ebbs it will be "not even close" for us eastern folks. Good storm for the berks, Greens, and upstate NY though. Love that +NAO at -1.5SD 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 11 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: the kid needs to learn about Christmas disappointment at an early age. God, I can't wait for the opportunity to troll the ever-living shit out of other locales. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I don't have the ability to see 925 on the EPS....but my guess is it probably is north of ORH by 90h....EPS is still pretty amped up, even if less than 00z. I think we'd want it about 30-50 miles SE of there to feel good in places like ORH to maybe the smaller hills just W of 495 up by Groton/Shirley/Ayer This is hr81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 38 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Then you know it is a heavy paste bomb Thursday night into Friday... I also know that more of these storms the past few years have involved heavy wet snow or zr with a lot of wind and will continue going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 45 minutes ago, CT Rain said: That's close to a pounding for the valley too around here. Just curious.. do you feel the NAM has some worth compared to the GFS and Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 26 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Why didn't you go with an interlock kit? I could have, But still would have needed to run wire to the switch outdoors, I have 100 amp service with about 6 circuits open so i just added the 10 circuit sub panel with line-off-gen switches, The only thing it wont power is the dryer and stove which i really don't need, Besides, I'll have to train the wife in case i'm up north riding when we lose it........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: This is hr81 Do you have HR 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Do you have HR 87 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 Thank you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 Meanwhile Alta up to 186" on the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 29 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Once the (initialization) on guidance digests the developing +NAO the marginal areas east of the CT river will be cooked. The bulk of the surface cold is to our west; not to our north, which naturally means a "backing" west occlusion. So once the UL confluence ebbs it will be "not even close" for us eastern folks. Good storm for the berks, Greens, and upstate NY though. How much blood of Christ this morning? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: How much blood of Christ this morning? More then 1 chalice i presume. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now