EastonSN+ Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Hope my temps support accums. Precip will be there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 HRRR is a good event river west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Consensus has 2-4 loli 5 all of CT and then we’ll see where the IVT sets up shop for locally higher amounts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Consensus has 2-4 loli 5 all of CT and then we’ll see where the IVT sets up shop for locally higher amounts Not really. Best chance of river west. HRRR is borderline warning for Wolfie. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Not really. Best chance of river west. HRRR is borderline warning for Wolfie. ill take 8 plz HRRR 10:1, kuchera is double digits lmao 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Not really. Best chance of river west. HRRR is borderline warning for Wolfie. Everything has 2-4”. Great snow growth . Even Ginx is into the 2-4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Congrats SW SNE and CJ spots that are cold Enuf for frozen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Everything has 2-4”. Great snow growth . Even Ginx is into the 2-4 Everything does not have 2-4 for whole state. As every run has shown. River west has best shot for higher totals. Basically the areas that have not done well past several years overall. You’ll probably get 2-3. Maybe a tad more If that moves NE. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not really. Best chance of river west. HRRR is borderline warning for Wolfie. I’ll take my 3-4 and be happy. If the HRRR plays out we won’t complain . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 2 hours ago, wdrag said: Good Saturday morning everyone, Dec 10. Multiple winter impacts likely between tomorrow and Christmas. Sunday ending early Monday: am getting the snow blower ready (Wantage) just in case, along and north of i-84. Periods of snow will accumulate on all non-treated pavement especially Sunday night. Some melting occurs during midday Monday. The southern edge of this event is with marginal temps from Easton PA (I78-just south of I-80) into southern Warren County NJ and may be mixed with rain. However, am pretty sure it's all snow along and north of I-80. Plan for a bit of manageable slippery travel Sunday afternoon and night in the I84 corrdior to Old Forge NY. Snow amounts listed below are on grass/decks/roofs. Less on pavement everywhere with melting during the day. Snow intensity varies: briefly moderate at times. ne PA-nw NJ: Snow begins between 7A-1P Sunday (prelim burst of flurries is possible at 5am) Snow ends between 5A and 11A Monday. Expect 2 to 4" in the Poconos and 2-5" Sussex County with isolated 6 or 7" possible near Vernon-Highland Lakes. Overall heaviest northern part of Sussex County. Suspect plowing will be needed in some of this area Sunday night. Easton PA up into Great Meadows of Warren County NJ expect a coating to 1.5". Hartford-Ashford CT-Monson MA-Old Forge NY you begin Noon-4P Sunday with a solid 2-4" expected before it quits as flurries sunrise Monday. Could see some 5-6" amounts in the high terrain of nw CT and the southern Adirondacks-south of Old Forge. Plowing will be needed in parts of CT and western MA. Boston: you may see some snow showers later today or tonight and you're on the edge for 1/2 to 2" between 6P Sunday-6A Monday. One conservative ensemble map this morning shows the best chance for 1"+...you can see the probabilities have increased since yesterday. In the orange area of NYS is the best chance for 6-7" amounts. NWS amounts are less far Northwest NJ and should be considered as a posdsible but fit. I may have gone off the deep end in ne Sussex County NJ where the inverted trough interacts with elevation chill to permit some decent snowfall rates early Monday?? Middle of next week (Wednrsday-Friday). A large potentially higher impact winter storm is coming for the interior northeast USA ust northwest of I95 from VA up through to Canada. Model thinking is a bit colder today and so snow-ice looks predominant over the interior. There might even be snow along the coast. Ensembles still favor a closer track to the coast as proposed yesterday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: ill take 8 plz HRRR 10:1, kuchera is double digits lmao Luke with 6", 3" here.....I would still be ok with that. I was reading through the January 7/8 2011 inverted trough topic....has some similarities at least 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Everything does not have 2-4 for whole state. As every run has shown. River west has best shot for higher totals. Basically the areas that have not done well past several years overall. You’ll probably get 2-3. Maybe a tad more If that moves NE. Euro, Nam, Reggie , GGEM, GFS all do . That’s enough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 We put out our first call yesterday. Riding with it for now. Will issue a final call before it starts. 1-3 statewide, highest totals interior W CT and LHV. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Euro, Nam, Reggie , GGEM, GFS all do . That’s enough One day you’ll look at a model instead of a post from a retired Met 200 miles away. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 10 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: ill take 8 plz HRRR 10:1, kuchera is double digits lmao I really hope the temps support this for the coasties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 I like Drag. He's definitely got the weenie inside him thats for sure. I can remember some classic AFDs from him when he was at BOX from the 2005 and 2006 blizzards 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: One day you’ll look at a model instead of a post from a retired Met 200 miles away. I’ve seen all of them . Even the lightest HRRR has 4” here . He’s still one of the best ever working or retired 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ve seen all of them . Even the lightest HRRR has 4” here . He’s still one of the best ever working or retired The lightest? Torch Kevin is much more tolerable lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Nam is kind of a mess with this. Almost like two separate areas. Not much in between. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Seems like nam tries to get thrust of action into CEF area ESE into RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Seems like nam tries to get thrust of action into CEF area ESE into RI. Pike band there (at least until about it 495 when it slides a little south.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The lightest? Torch Kevin is much more tolerable lol. I’ve noticed when you’re not in line for much snow, you look for ways to take away from others who you don’t want to get snow. Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 I feel slightly more bullish this morning. Decent advisory event for much of CT I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 A little worried about temps here at the shoreline. It’s gonna be close. HRRR is quite encouraging though.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ve noticed when you’re not in line for much snow, you look for ways to take away from others who you don’t want to get snow. Interesting I’m doing what a Met would do and discussing. You love to default to that excuse lol. I just told you what I thought you were getting. You’re a trip. I may get lucky or I may not get much at all. I don’t have an issue with it. you can admit…you embellish a wee bit no? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 17 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I like Drag. He's definitely got the weenie inside him thats for sure. I can remember some classic AFDs from him when he was at BOX from the 2005 and 2006 blizzards It’s a real treat having him post in the interior thread in the NYC region section. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pike band there (at least until about it 495 when it slides a little south.) Yeah. I think it shows you that if this were to be more of a have and have nots vs blanketing a huge area with 2-4”…….that is possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: A little worried about temps here at the shoreline. It’s gonna be close. HRRR is quite encouraging though.. 3k NAM is colder than 12k with all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah. I think it shows you that if this were to be more of a have and have nots vs blanketing a huge area with 2-4”…….that is possible. You might get some enhancement there. If you can saturate the 850-700 layer then you might be able to rip for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: You might get some enhancement there. If you can saturate the 850-700 layer then you might be able to rip for a few hours. It will be nearby for sure. As usual a few miles means a lot. Some good flakes at my parents now even above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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