Chicago Storm Posted December 5, 2022 Share Posted December 5, 2022 Part of a trough currently along the West Coast will translate east across the CONUS mid to late week. Should have the opportunity for a corridor of snow on the northern end of the system. Track and strength still tbd, dependent on shallow ridging ahead of wave and blocking north, in the wake of the departing Canadian PV lobe. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 5, 2022 Share Posted December 5, 2022 dab with the miss south and lake influence, final call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 5, 2022 Share Posted December 5, 2022 1" here but southside wins again. Lakefront just a mixy mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 5, 2022 Share Posted December 5, 2022 Good model agreement of "something" in this timeframe. GFS seems to be the warm/north outliner at the moment, but run to run consistency is abysmal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 5, 2022 Share Posted December 5, 2022 3 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: run to run consistency is abysmal. A definite theme lately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 5, 2022 Share Posted December 5, 2022 DTX warmed to the idea over-night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 5, 2022 Share Posted December 5, 2022 No surprise to see the gfs warmer and further north at this range. Didn't track many storms last year but the few I did, it had the same bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 5, 2022 Share Posted December 5, 2022 Gonna be a buttcheek clencher either way, hopefully next week's storm -if it actually occurs- will not be 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 5, 2022 Share Posted December 5, 2022 Half an inch of rain coming here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 5, 2022 Author Share Posted December 5, 2022 13 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: dab with the miss south and lake influence, final call 13 hours ago, Cary67 said: 1" here but southside wins again. Lakefront just a mixy mess Re: Lake... Whether this event ends up in WI or IL, lake water temps are down in the low 40°'s now. A good 10° lower than was in place with the event from a few weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 5, 2022 Author Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Stevo6899 said: No surprise to see the gfs warmer and further north at this range. Didn't track many storms last year but the few I did, it had the same bias. The GFS has actually done fairly well in recent times. However, with the recent upgrade that's in limbo now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 6, 2022 Author Share Posted December 6, 2022 13 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: dab with the miss south and lake influence, final call somehow i missed this earlier, but not so hot looking. really surprised you didn't go miss north/rainer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 Looks like a nice rainer for this area. We def need the moisture so not a bad thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 14 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: The GFS has actually done fairly well in recent times. However, with the recent upgrade that's in limbo now. There were more upgrades in the last year?....the euro looks good for Iowa/Wisconsin, but the Ole precip weakens as it heads east crap again... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 Liking where I sit for this. Will actually have to do a deeper dive into the models today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 4 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: There were more upgrades in the last year?....the euro looks good for Iowa/Wisconsin, but the Ole precip weakens as it heads east crap again... November 29 gfs upgrade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 6, 2022 Author Share Posted December 6, 2022 9 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: There were more upgrades in the last year?....the euro looks good for Iowa/Wisconsin, but the Ole precip weakens as it heads east crap again... Josh already answered the first portion, but as for the second portion... It has to do with the wave dampening/shearing out as it encounters blocking/confluence off to the NE/E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 The Euro is trying to bang out a couple inches of snow around here on Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 From Hoosier Quote Here's a NAM forecast sounding from northeastern IL on Friday. Nice lift with good omega present in the region of steep lapse rates aloft, and this also resides in the DGZ. I think it's going to rip for a while, especially out around O'Hare and northward but perhaps even south of there. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Euro says to the Metro UHI "ewe! don't want no part of that" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 time 2 ride 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 23 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: time 2 ride 1" on grassy surfaces in play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve23guy Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Not sure if this is a joke or note ALEX LOL... cuz im right in beloit WI on that 7.7 mark. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: time 2 ride I'll take the 15Z Rap and the Kool-aid it's sipping. Nevertheless, looking more likely that it'll at least thump for a little bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 update from the Land of Palms: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 910 AM CST THU DEC 8 2022 UPDATE (ISSUED 910 AM CST THU DEC 8 2022) TODAY'S FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORING INCOMING 12Z GUIDANCE THIS MORNING FOR TOMORROWS WINTER WEATHER EVENT. WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT A QUICK MOVING BAND OF ACCUMULATING SNOW TO LIFT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER THE SNOW MOVES OUT AND WE LOSE CLOUD ICE. ACROSS SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN SNOWFALL RATES MAY STILL BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS BEFORE SWITCHING OVER TO ALL RAIN AS EAST WINDS PULL SOME RELATIVELY WARMER AIR OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Baum said: update from the Land of Palms: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 910 AM CST THU DEC 8 2022 UPDATE (ISSUED 910 AM CST THU DEC 8 2022) TODAY'S FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORING INCOMING 12Z GUIDANCE THIS MORNING FOR TOMORROWS WINTER WEATHER EVENT. WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT A QUICK MOVING BAND OF ACCUMULATING SNOW TO LIFT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER THE SNOW MOVES OUT AND WE LOSE CLOUD ICE. ACROSS SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN SNOWFALL RATES MAY STILL BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS BEFORE SWITCHING OVER TO ALL RAIN AS EAST WINDS PULL SOME RELATIVELY WARMER AIR OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN. rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 On 12/5/2022 at 5:46 AM, A-L-E-K said: dab with the miss south and lake influence, final call looking like a good call for suckville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 35 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: looking like a good call for suckville I heard the south side of Chicago is nice. Englewood and South Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 NWS just issued WWA for 2-4"for northern row of counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 4 hours ago, Baum said: update from the Land of Palms: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 910 AM CST THU DEC 8 2022 UPDATE (ISSUED 910 AM CST THU DEC 8 2022) TODAY'S FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORING INCOMING 12Z GUIDANCE THIS MORNING FOR TOMORROWS WINTER WEATHER EVENT. WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT A QUICK MOVING BAND OF ACCUMULATING SNOW TO LIFT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER THE SNOW MOVES OUT AND WE LOSE CLOUD ICE. ACROSS SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN SNOWFALL RATES MAY STILL BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS BEFORE SWITCHING OVER TO ALL RAIN AS EAST WINDS PULL SOME RELATIVELY WARMER AIR OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN. That's a questionable statement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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