RedSky Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Nobody's mentioned the 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: Nobody's mentioned the 18z NAM Look better? I am watching for tomorrow and the periods around the 4th and 10th and if nothing by then, just moving into spring mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, mattinpa said: Look better? I am watching for tomorrow and the periods around the 4th and 10th and if nothing by then, just moving into spring mode. Looks good on tidbits, problem is how much mix is involved on pivotal it's still lame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Still liking mainly sleet south of I78 with the accumulating snow remaining North of there. The NWS now says the Sleet could be heavy at times across Western Chester County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 4 hours ago, Newman said: Latest HRRR... Mount Holly has issued a WWA for Lehigh County on north with only 1-3" Meant to follow up on this because I had remembered seeing the criteria depending on where you are in the CWA and I did finally find it - https://www.weather.gov/phi/criteria-winter So for up that way you have this for WWAs & WSWs - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 33 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Meant to follow up on this because I had remembered seeing the criteria depending on where you are in the CWA and I did finally find it - https://www.weather.gov/phi/criteria-winter So for up that way you have this for WWAs & WSWs - I have constantly stated that the winter storm warning criteria for the LV for snowfall is set too high. It should be at 5 in too because of the truck traffic alone warrants it. LV metro has now almost million people and has major arterial interstate /road networks in place. Its time for MT Holly to wake up. You would think after the 2007 Valentines Day disaster they would lower the snowfall criteria. Wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 27, 2023 Author Share Posted February 27, 2023 Hr³ went colder again. Not accounting for any sleet has c-1 or 2" in my area. Biggest event of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 27, 2023 Author Share Posted February 27, 2023 Wrf for tomorrow pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 The 0z NAMs got alot worse though, HRRR and some of the other mesos better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 The 0z NAMs got alot worse though, HRRR and some of the other mesos betterFor who?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Wrf for tomorrow pmThat’s all sleet, snow map very different . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Canadian smoke job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Canadian holds suit for end of week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 27, 2023 Author Share Posted February 27, 2023 Hr³ now has the 2" totals on positive snow depth nap over my house. Went colder again for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Here is to hopefully getting the biggest snow of the season tonight in Bethlehem. Think we only need like 1.9in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Here is to hopefully getting the biggest snow of the season tonight in Bethlehem. Think we only need like 1.9in? We didn’t brine, so we are gonna get hammered, where are you located in the city?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 6z GFS dried up the SE area the 3/4 storm but I would agree with Mt. Holly's take that it will probably manifest similarly to how this 2/28 storm does... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Ended up with a high of 50 yesterday and a low of 30 this morning. Currently partly sunny and 36 with dp 21. 6z EC brought some frozen all the way down to the MD border for tomorrow's storm. Will have to see where the freezing line sets up regarding whether that pans out or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Increasing clouds today with highs in the low 40's. Rain or sleet should start during the 7pm hour with sleet becoming the main precipitation type across NW Chester County before transitioning to all rain before ending overnight. The NWS has a small sleet accumulation possible across NW Chesco tonight. Seasonably cool tomorrow in the low 40's before warming again by Thursday with showers. Could see another wintry mix by Friday. Records for today: High 73 (1997) / Low 2 (1934) / Precipitation 1.33" (1958) / Snow 3.0" (1907) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Expecting nothing more than a car topper/grass only. Wouldn't have to travel far (road trip) to see some real snow... 33F currently and you guessed it 33F and mainly rain tonight. This winter, the gift that just keeps on giving... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: Expecting nothing more than a car topper/grass only. Wouldn't have to travel far (road trip) to see some real snow... 33F currently and you guessed it 33F and mainly rain tonight. This winter, the gift that just keeps on giving... HRRR looking better for us than the NAM, but that's not saying much. To quote Paul, "Could be the biggest event of the season." 37F/DP 21F (Will be watching those DPs today.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 13z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Friday is looking worse by the hour…looks like tonight is our best hope here in the LV. Haven’t had an event over 2” all season, will tonight’s system finally be the one to pass that mark? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 50 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Friday is looking worse by the hour…looks like tonight is our best hope here in the LV. Haven’t had an event over 2” all season, will tonight’s system finally be the one to pass that mark? Wouldn't surprise me if Friday turns out to be nothing more than a glorified frontal passage...like the way most of our "events" ended up this winter. 44F/DP 21F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 12z GFS & NAM seem to agree about tomorrow's storm. The GFS also wants a similar setup for the 3/4 event and shows some definitely Warning level snow up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 27, 2023 Author Share Posted February 27, 2023 It looks like if SE PA is going to pickup any accums tonight (south of i78 at least) it would be between 8-10pm. Looks to start as rain or rain with pingers then the heavier convective band rolls thru after 8pm flipping to snow before transitioning to sleet and sleet/rain mix after 10pm ending as plain rain early Tuesday. Beggars can't be choosers....my yard spotlights will be on full lumen tonight. If we can top .25" here tonight it would be the largest snowfall of the season imby. LFG! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 27, 2023 Author Share Posted February 27, 2023 Hr³ is slowly backing down positive snow totals for tonight S of i78. Hope to get a dusting at least. Beware the Ides of March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 FWIW it looks like this system is colder than modeled already in NW PA. Lots of sleet reports from Erie down to I-80 when every model had rain there at this time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 HRRR with it's view of snow and sleet this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 27, 2023 Share Posted February 27, 2023 Expectations set at 2.5" snow/ice mix total these come in under the clown map numbers most of the time except if they start early. Would match the season's largest event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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