Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: No room left for the Canadian to go north this would be worse then losing the super bowl. While there is truth that guidance trends N most of the time, that is never an absolute....especially with blocking building up top. If there was one that could reverse trends in a couple days, this is the one imho. Not a warm fuzzy feeling attm but optimistic that we wont see N ticks every single run from now thru Friday. I expect some dramatic changes in one form or another thru Wednesday at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 We lost the ukie not good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 8 minutes ago, RedSky said: We lost the ukie not good King GFS about to score Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 UKMET always does that. It thinks we're Great Britian 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: UKMET always does that. It thinks we're Great Britain Why can't somebody put in one line of freaking code to tell it we don't do bangers and mash 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: Why can't somebody put in one line of freaking code to tell it we don't do bangers and mash Though....we do like us some fish and chips!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 35 minutes ago, RedSky said: GFS isn't going to win this right? The GEFS is still hanging tough for 2/28 but has some SE-PA love for 3/4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 12 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: The GEFS is still hanging tough for 2/28 but has some SE-PA love for 3/4. GEFS ind members actually improved a fair amount for the area. Still has it's share of op looking members. Mean snowfall also ticked up vs last 2 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 GEPS ticked S for 3/4....better look up top wrt vort lobe moving SE providing better confluence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GEFS ind members actually improved a fair amount for the area. Still has it's share of op looking members. Mean snowfall also ticked up vs last 2 runs. Yup. But it's sortof getting into the mid-range now and we have seen this before as all of them start churning out options different from their long-range guesses, before deciding (or getting close to deciding) on a solution a few days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 I’ll be happy to eek out an inch imby tomorrow. Think the 95 area sees more sleet than anything. N and W of there should see a solid advisory event up to low end warning criteria in the LHV and Pocono’s. Feeling the same way in regard to Friday. I’m leaning towards 95 ending up with an advisory event that changes over towards the end but N and W sees a warning level event. Basically splitting the difference in the two camps of the models. I hope the Euro solution comes true though for both events, it would make this winter a D+ instead of a F-. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 38 minutes ago, The Iceman said: I’ll be happy to eek out an inch imby tomorrow. Think the 95 area sees more sleet than anything. N and W of there should see a solid advisory event up to low end warning criteria in the LHV and Pocono’s. Feeling the same way in regard to Friday. I’m leaning towards 95 ending up with an advisory event that changes over towards the end but N and W sees a warning level event. Basically splitting the difference in the two camps of the models. I hope the Euro solution comes true though for both events, it would make this winter a D+ instead of a F-. aren't we the optimistic one. LOL I expect Nothing and like it in the LV. Its been that way all year. If we get some, it all gone by Tuesday at lunch anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 ECM north late week snow to mix to rain All hail undisputed king GFS ceremony and parade Wednesday but will they grease the poles? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 GFS is undoubtedly the new King Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 What a win by the GFS. Present the crown 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 ECM still gives the best snow of winter to southeast PA tomorrow night can it get anything correct? Has 5" snow in this yard stay tuned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GFS is undoubtedly the new King It's a dark day Lord Sauron is about to win wtf is Frodo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Yeah the Euro is solid for areas tomorrow night 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: It's a dark day Lord Sauron is about to win wtf is Frodo? Him and Samwise are back in the Shire, they threw in the towel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Him and Samwise are back in the Shire, they threw in the towel. Hanging with Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 I wouldn’t give up off one run of the euro. Tomorrow’s storm was a glorified cold front two days ago and now we are talking snow. Still think there’s a shot Friday ends up further south than what’s currently shown. Lots of time to go… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Some things never change the damn euro always looking over the Ukies test paper getting the answers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 The Euro caved to the GFS for 2/28 but seems to be something like 18 hours faster for the 3/4 storm bringing the heaviest stuff in earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 hour ago, Hurricane Agnes said: The Euro caved to the GFS for 2/28 but seems to be something like 18 hours faster for the 3/4 storm bringing the heaviest stuff in earlier. Using only the 6hr ECM map though doesn't capture all the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: Using only the 6hr ECM map though doesn't capture all the snow Was looking at the timing - the final totals were the last ones posted to try to line up. I know at least for the 3/4 storm, it'll probably change a few times. Will have to see what they all look like on Wednesday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Latest HRRR... Mount Holly has issued a WWA for Lehigh County on north with only 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 So all what do we take from the short ranges? I am kinda surprised that things have honed in on the Lehigh Valley on NE for 3-5in+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, Newman said: Latest HRRR... Mount Holly has issued a WWA for Lehigh County on north with only 1-3" Could be if there is sleet/ZR in there too (heard on KYW about possible sleet up north - Steve Sosna). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 18z GFS stops the bleeding for now, has a front end thump for the late week storm 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 GFS a little better for tomorrow night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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