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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread


Ralph Wiggum
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13 hours ago, JTA66 said:

Yesterday's tornado has been classified an an EF2.

And there are blizzard warnings in Southern CA. 

Fpmd3yUaAAAFvo9.jpg

Zooming in on that map, I can sortof see where stemwinder would be north of that path.  Still too close!!!

And the 6z GFS has a coastal thing for that March 4 - 5 frozen.

 

floop-gfs-2023022306.prateptype_cat-imp.conus-02232023.gif

floop-gfs-6z-snow-2023022306.sn10_acc-imp.us_ne-02232023.gif

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Ens means don't like the early March threat. Means have the low passing N and W with redevelopment too late/far N. Likely looking at a thump to something sort of deal if the looks at HL hold. Pretty certain the HECS depicted on yesterday's 12z gfs was a one and done blip. Still signals across the means going thru mid March that we aren't done tracking and the weeklies keep hope alive thru early April. Pretty much playing out as expected...backloaded if we are going to score with a delay in spring arriving. Never a doubt lol.

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Wow,  I think maybe the warm front is on the move and although the temp here hasn't gone up yet, the fog has rolled in like mad from the north.  Vis down to about 1/10th of a mile.

I ended up with a high of 44 and 0.02" of precip yesterday despite all the stuff that blew overhead.

Currently a damp and foggy 40 after a low of 39 and with dp 40.

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29 minutes ago, Newman said:

If the 6z NAM is right about temps today, then ChescoWx and Kamu might see mid-60s to near 70 while Redsky and Birds69 don't get out of the upper 40s

namconus_T2m_neus_15.png

Forecast was for the front to finally pop up and off the mountains by the early afternoon.

Currently still in the 30s/40s in the CWA.

current-temps-9am-02232023.gif

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1 hour ago, The Iceman said:

I lived right where this hit about 6 years ago. Went right over my old condo. Good thing I moved!

Wow.  Small world.  I found a video someone posted showing some of the damage.

 

Adding updated PNS issued yesterday afternoon.

Quote
000
NOUS41 KPHI 222053
PNSPHI
NJZ015-230900-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
353 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2023

...NWS Damage Survey for 02/21/23 Tornado Event ...

Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front developed rotation
over Mercer County. In addition to wind damage and hail reports,
a tornado occurred in Mercer County.

.Lawrence Township and West Windsor Township Tornado...

Rating:                 EF-2
Estimated Peak Wind:    110-115 mph
Path Length /statute/:  5.8 miles
Path Width /maximum/:   200 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             February 21, 2023
Start Time:             3:35 PM EST
Start Location:         Lawrence Township, Mercer County, NJ
Start Lat/Lon:          40.2785/-74.7028

End Date:               February 21, 2023
End Time:               3:41 PM EST
End Location:           West Windsor Township, Mercer County, NJ
End Lat/Lon:            40.2701/-74.5931

Sporadic minor tree damage was observed west of Interstate 295. A
continuous path of tree damage was observed near Lawrence Station
Road, particularly in a housing development along Fountayne Lane.
Additional tree damage and damage to roofing occurred in a housing
development at Lawrence Square. Estimated maximum wind speeds in
this area were 105 to 115 mph. In a straight line from this
damage, there was roofing damage at a residence and a commercial
building as well as additional tree damage along Quaker Bridge
Road. Tree damage continued at a park across the street and
through the 2nd and 11th holes at the adjacent golf course.
Additional sporadic tree damage occurred in residential areas east
of the golf course in West Windsor Township. The last tree damage
was observed near the intersection of Old Trenton Road and Village
Road.

The National Weather Service would like to extent our
appreciation to New Jersey State Police, Mercer County Office of
Emergency Management, and Lawrence Township Police Department for
their help with the survey.


&&

EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the
following categories:

EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph
EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph
EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph
EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph
EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph
EF5...Violent...>200 mph

NOTE:
The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS
Storm Data.

$$

Brudy/Lee/Johnson

Right now  I'm up to 59 with dp 49 and sunny.

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