Ralph Wiggum Posted January 27, 2023 Author Share Posted January 27, 2023 6 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Le sigh… a suppression depression storm might be the icing on top of this boring winter cake that takes me out until December Looks like a few waves for now, but as I said this entire setup beyond Feb 1 could still morph. It is actually close to a morphed look as hints the TPV hauling ass out faster and the SER return flow pumping again. Could also slow down under a confluent flow and cause more suppression....it's a subtle detail that could have a major impacts. But with these waves they traditionally move the boundary around, so we could see the first setting up near our region and the followup more suppressed etc. Doubtful that we don't see ANY flakes but we just can't know yet how these waves are going to play out. Each one is interdependent on its predecessor so it is more of a 30 hr forecasting type week and not 120 hrs out. The pieces are there for 1 or 2 modest events (probably not a BIG storm tho that is subjective if we are relating this to the lack of any real snow so far), lets see what happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 25 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Le sigh… a suppression depression storm might be the icing on top of this boring winter cake that takes me out until December At this point i'll take a suppression depression rather than a Cleveland steamer and another 3/4" of rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Looks like the EC has sortof caved to the suppressed/slider idea that the GFS has been showing. I think it's gonna depend on the position and amount of amplification of the western ridge. I would wait for now since at least the 2/3 - 2/5 storm is still over a week away and we have seen these midrange undulations before. Looks like my low was 31 this morning and am currently 33 and partly cloudy with dp 25. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 this says it all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Today will be a near normal day today with highs in the mid to upper 30's. The weekend looks mostly cloudy with a slight chance of some showers on Sunday night (Go Birds!) It looks like we will start off February with below normal temperatures and maybe a couple shots at some snow....but the way this season has gone I would not hold my breath for snow! The record high for today is 71 degrees from 1916. Our record low is 2 below zero from 1987. Daily precipitation record is 1.46" from 1990. The daily snow mark is the 6.5" that fell today in 1941. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 2 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Looks like the EC has sortof caved to the suppressed/slider idea that the GFS has been showing. I think it's gonna depend on the position and amount of amplification of the western ridge. I would wait for now since at least the 2/3 - 2/5 storm is still over a week away and we have seen these midrange undulations before. Looks like my low was 31 this morning and am currently 33 and partly cloudy with dp 25. I think the ensemble suites offer more hope, which is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Seasonal Snow totals for Western Chester County PA from 1888 through 2022 - average seasonal snowfall = 36" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Has the ICON ever scored a coup?? It's all we got at 12z so far. I'm not big dog hunting, just want a 1-3"/2-4" to cover the grass and isn't washed away by rain in two hours time. Is that asking too much?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 6 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Has the ICON ever scored a coup?? It's all we got at 12z so far. I'm not big dog hunting, just want a 1-3"/2-4" to cover the grass and isn't washed away by rain in two hours time. Is that asking too much?? Sadly this year....it is!!! Next year will rock!!! buckle up!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 How about that sunshine today ladies and gents...extensive cloud deck for thousands of miles, same cloud deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Disastrous 12z runs. This winter needs to die. Go Birds . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Arctic intrusions cancelled and the GFS finds spring out toward 2/10, except for the spring sun that stays obscured in the bottomless Pacific wave train. Euro what say you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Arctic intrusions cancelled and the GFS finds spring out toward 2/10, except for the spring sun that stays obscured in the bottomless Pacific wave train. Euro what say you? And Dr. No comes north and changes us to rain. Glad that's settled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 24 minutes ago, JTA66 said: And Dr. No comes north and changes us to rain. Glad that's settled. Silver linings gives Philly and most 1" snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 In better news NCEP says we have received normal precipitation Dec-Jan. Could have fooled me but the numbers don't lie felt like 15" rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 27, 2023 Author Share Posted January 27, 2023 6 minutes ago, RedSky said: Silver linings gives Philly and most 1" snow We still have President's Day and all of March! Not over yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 A dark day pooched punt recovered after changing sides three times, and cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 I predict an elevation event in March....that will be similar to the 1958 event that left 50" in the NW burbs with temps never falling below freezing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: I predict an elevation event in March....that will be similar to the 1958 event that left 50" in the NW burbs with temps never falling below freezing I'll take the under 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 2019-2020 redux 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: We still have President's Day and all of March! Not over yet. Meh. I'm tired of crying wolf 8-9 days out to have it fold horribly. I should've bet money on my prediction in November. On the other hand, watching the MA forum meltdown after each run is entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 1 hour ago, RedSky said: I'll take the under a smart betting man would do so..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 Had some flurries earlier, now just cloudy and 37F. The Birds are the only thing keeping my morale up during this disastrous winter... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 OMG. I have to wipe the tears out of my eyes from laughing so much. The point forecast for my house tonight is literally a joke. No sunshine until Thursday. I edited it for your enjoyment too ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Tonight Increasing clouds, with a low around 30. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Saturday Increasing clouds, with a high near 46. West wind 10 to 15 mph. (So it is just cloudy enough for you in the LV yet so we will keep increasing the clouds until it is?) Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. South wind around 5 mph. Sunday A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 10am, then a chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. (Yep it is true, snow is not allow to accumulate for longer then 8 hours in the LV before melting away) Sunday Night A slight chance of showers before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Monday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Tuesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Tuesday Night A chance of snow after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Wednesday A chance of snow showers, mixing with rain after 10am, then gradually ending. Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. (whoopee -- ice to deal with on my car as the melted snow freezes- my favorite) Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 33. (Hot dam-- what the hell is that yellow ball in the sky that I see today?) Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 17. Friday Sunny, with a high near 33. (Finally all day sunshine but no again snow on the ground and now it is below freezing for a high -- typical screw job) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 We suck at this winter thing. Too bad most of us don’t enjoy high dew points and excessive heat warnings—that’s our wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 We lost the Tuesday sun ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 Imma head out. See you guys in March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 7 hours ago, RedSky said: We lost the Tuesday sun ouch We rarely see a sunrise and sunset these days. Pretty much just see the day becoming brighter then darker toward evening. I like cloudy days but they are the 2 parts I miss, sunset the most. 36F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 I've seen and had enough for the season. I'm sure things will start to look up now that Ive done this: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 4 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Imma head out. See you guys in March. This is not only bad- it is just outright disgusting. One run for the records. The LR thermals indicate us back into the 60's after the end of next week. This year will be aka "The little winter season engine that could" https://www.prindleinstitute.org/books/the-little-engine-that-could/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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