RedSky Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 So 3 cold rainstorms over the next week then dry and cold the following week. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Then it's groundhog day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Figures the overnight runs would go to crap. I understand we can't hang on op runs, but have we even had one instance of consecutive runs that give us snow all winter? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 German FTW!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 GFS not so much.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 A chilly wet day on tap today across the area. As of 8am we had already received 0.15" of rain and look for another 0.25" to 0.50" during the day today. Tomorrow looks like the warmest day of the week with highs in the mid-40's. Slightly above normal temps should continue for the next 7 days. Of note this is on average the coldest 7 day stretch of the winter season across Chester County. It looks like we still could see some wet snow arriving on Sunday afternoon especially across the higher western spots in the county. This should change to a cold rain before ending toward midnight. Another storm could start as snow on Tuesday night before mixing with and changing to a cold rain before ending on Wednesday. The record high for today is 67 degrees set in 1951. Our record low occurred on what was also the coldest day in Chester County history with a high temperature of 1 below zero after a record AM low of 11 degrees below zero back on this date in 1994. Daily precipitation record is the 1.91" that fell in 1996. Record daily snow is the 13.0" that fell on this date in 1961. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Looks like Redsky’s punt landed inside the two and winter may have just been flagged for another false start. Drizzle, 38F 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Shower, 39F. Blinds are closed. Can't take much more of the damp and dreary. I'm in the suicidal scenes of Groundhog Day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 I see I didn't miss much the last 5 days... I guess I'll check back in another 5 days and see if anything has changed for the better. I've basically punted on this winter at least down here around 95, hoping to see at least one WWA level event, but not holding my breath. If you live in the N and W burbs though, there's a solid chance 1 of the next 3 storms delivers though at least a decent thump. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, ChescoWx said: German FTW!! Well I appreciate the Icon giving a smidgen of hope, even though there is no question whatever the least snowy solution being modeled is what will happen. Trend of this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 10 minutes ago, Blizzard Hunter said: Well I appreciate the Icon giving a smidgen of hope, even though there is no question whatever the least snowy solution being modeled is what will happen. Trend of this winter. Even the “least snowy solution” would suggest snow. Stick with the “no snowy solution”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Even the “least snowy solution” would suggest snow. Stick with the “no snowy solution”. Yes, fair point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 I’m close to throwing in the towel myself, the first week of February is my limit, seasonal trend is mild rain cold dry. I don’t mind cold and dry but 4 days of cold and 2weeks of mild doesn’t cut it for me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 12z NAM 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 10 minutes ago, Newman said: 12z NAM Was about to throw in the 6z Euro at its last frame... Also as an obs, have so far had a 39 low this morning and it's 40 with light rain, dp 39, and 0.15" in the bucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 NAM delivers the largest snow event of the season and saves winter!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: NAM delivers the largest snow event of the season and saves winter!!! As skeptical as I remain, the fact that ICON and Nam both have snow is not something to ignore. If I had to guess now, we may get a period of wet snow but little to nothing will stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 hours ago, Newman said: Figures the overnight runs would go to crap. I understand we can't hang on op runs, but have we even had one instance of consecutive runs that give us snow all winter? Simply put, no. And have we ever had an ens blip that reverted back to the good looks in the LR? Again, no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 4 hours ago, Lady Di said: Shower, 39F. Blinds are closed. Can't take much more of the damp and dreary. I'm in the suicidal scenes of Groundhog Day. Historic dreary winter it is. Just had two and a half sunny days and somewhat mild temperatures and it's not even registering on the feel good meter after being back in the soup today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 So where are we? March will rock? It can still snow in April? A SSW event will save us? Asking for a friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Winter again saved by the Euro for the NW philly burbs!! "biggest" snow week of the winter so far!! 6" for East Nantmeal - lock it up!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 FWIW Weather Sentry is trying to sniff up something around the first. Not sure what the LR models are showing... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Winter again saved by the Euro for the NW philly burbs!! "biggest" snow week of the winter so far!! 6" for East Nantmeal - lock it up!! Yet trending the wrong way. Hanging on by a thread and the needle got lost 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 25 minutes ago, JTA66 said: So where are we? March will rock? It can still snow in April? A SSW event will save us? Asking for a friend. You forgot Nina is waning and MJO is headed into a favorable progression. What else? PAC looks less hostile, solar flares are numerous, and the WDI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 I'm still hanging in, but if I were to punt today this is probably how it would play out 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 went up to the Pocono cabin. The only sign of snow (outside man made at BB) is the pile of stone pushed up from plowing in Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Picked up 0.38" of rain so far today. Current temp 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 hours ago, ChescoWx said: Winter again saved by the Euro for the NW philly burbs!! "biggest" snow week of the winter so far!! 6" for East Nantmeal - lock it up!! I fully expect that 1.1 line to be West of Berks by tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, penndotguy said: I fully expect that 1.1 line to be West of Berks by tomorrow Would be a shock if it wasn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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