Mikeymac5306 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 That 12Z Run Though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 GFS snow by 7am Christmas Eve morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 I know we're over a week out still, but I'm gonna need a good Euro run here in an hour to give me a little more hope. The GFS is wonderful, but it's on it's own. I'm really not looking forward to a model war for the next week if that's the case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 16, 2022 Author Share Posted December 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: Ridge backs west just a little and the CMC/ICON end up in Lake Superior Definitely a possibility. We'll know soon enough. Those subtle differences with TPV start at like 78 hrs give or take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 IDK about anyone else but I trust the GEFS on ridge placement 7 days out over the CMC and ICON. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Add the Ukie to the Lake Superior camp unfortunately 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Gefs look great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 16, 2022 Author Share Posted December 16, 2022 More chances on the gfs moving forward: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 16, 2022 Author Share Posted December 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, The Iceman said: IDK about anyone else but I trust the GEFS on ridge placement 7 days out over the CMC and ICON. And the ukie tbh. Need the euro to side with gfs soon. I mean, flash frozen glaciers are cool and all but at least whiten the ground ffs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 16, 2022 Author Share Posted December 16, 2022 GEFS want absolutely nothing to do with Red Sky's Lake Superior primary dream. Nary even a reflection. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Admit it you can hear Gordon Lightfoot singing about the Edmund Fitzgerald softly in the background 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GEFS want absolutely nothing to do with Red Sky's Lake Superior primary dream. Nary even a reflection. There are a couple individual members that cut it to Buffalo, but the mean and lean is certainly SE and off the coast. There's a couple cutters, bombs, and complete whiffs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 16, 2022 Author Share Posted December 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, RedSky said: Admit it you can hear Gordon Lightfoot singing about the Edmund Fitzgerald softly in the background As long as it isnt 36 hours prior to a locked-in MECS and the Hindenburg humanity thing is being played, I'm good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 16, 2022 Author Share Posted December 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, Newman said: There are a couple individual members that cut it to Buffalo, but the mean and lean is certainly SE and off the coast. There's a couple cutters, bombs, and complete whiffs Lost quite a few of the cutters this run fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 How tired would my snowblower be if it shoveled model snow output? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Lost quite a few of the cutters this run fwiw You are right, I went back and checked the 6z and there were more cutters than anything else. Good news there at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 16 minutes ago, RedSky said: Admit it you can hear Gordon Lightfoot singing about the Edmund Fitzgerald softly in the background A great song there with a weather influence....my personal weather inspired song is Rain by the Beatles....maybe the earliest rock song inspired by mind altering agents Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Dr No coming up like the most important moment since Danny beat Judge Smails on Caddyshack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 17 minutes ago, RedSky said: Dr No coming up like the most important moment since Danny beat Judge Smails on Caddyshack It should likely follow the ICON and GEM at this range - it will not be showing a hit IMHO - at least with this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Euro looks just like the GEM at hour 72, nothing like the GFS with it's handling of the PV lobe that acts as our confluence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 as expected Euro follows - the ex-US models. Still nice to see some relative high level consensus at this range as I am sure we will see some more big swings over the next 6 days! Buckle up!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 ECM spitting out the Blutarsky time to start drinking heavily run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Still a frigged Christmas though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 The EURO does not look right at all!! A bomb to lakes does not make sense....this will shift east in future runs although not saying it will be enough to bring a SECSy finish!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Puke at the euro. Run to run was it even a step in the right direction at least? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 The 23rd yesterday was a whiteout blizzard in the 20's, today it's Jimmy Buffet boiling shrimp tickling 60F 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Hopefully Ralph has life saving EPS data in a bit lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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