ChescoWx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Below is March average temps since 1894 through last year. Cyclical of course but overall flat to a slight decline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 On 2/14/2023 at 12:52 PM, Mikeymac5306 said: "Buckle Up" has been your favorite phrase this winter. ...or "Two more weeks" Expand "Patience" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 On 2/14/2023 at 12:38 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: March is the new December. Need to change your mindset. 15 years ago I agree with you....I'm usually getting ready for yard work, fishing, etc. But past decade I've been putting those on hold until after April 7. It isn't just cloud talk, it is a real seasonal change. Not sure the scientific reasoning. Might be a question for a red tagger. Expand Don't think the shoulder was 100% but its nice to see the cold air blocking in textbook position. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 12z gfs another weenie run relatively speaking. Think I counted 4 frozen chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 CMC with an historic late season ice/sleet event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Dr. No didn't suck either. But given this "winter", we need to get these inside 48 hours before we declare "Threat Level Midnight". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 Euro has the frozen threat(s) as well alongside either a bit earlier than other guidance. Has a coastal next Wed that just misses us to the south then has a follow up lp in the OV with deep CAD with thump to sleet to slot. Looks loaded beyond this period as well wet NAO...PAC help would be good but we can score in March with that look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 HMU when we're 72 hours out and it's still looking good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 On 2/14/2023 at 1:00 PM, ChescoWx said: Below is March average temps since 1894 through last year. Cyclical of course but overall flat to a slight decline Expand this is all I see for the winter 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 OK posters, Do you really want to go on a serious road trip to see some serious snow? Why hell yea, I say. No snow here in the Philly region. Pack you bags - were going to Vegas baby where it snowed today and the snow will not even melt away by days end like it does here in the Lehigh Valley. Damn ridiculous weather pattern we are in, I say. That major weather pattern that these models are pushing out better produce reproducible results in the next 10 days. In fact Trevor Dane says it the best since the US continues to shoot down "benign" objects out of atmosphere. I really wonder if these benign objects are weather satellites being used by the GFS and other models and why all of sudden we are now seeing snow for our area. This movie clip is one of my favorites since it really depicts whats going on in our military right now. LMAO 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Could see a shower this AM with a warm front with sun returning this PM with temps warming to the low 60's in many spots. Rain by tomorrow afternoon and then sharply but briefly colder by Friday afternoon into Saturday. Records for today: High 75 (1949) / Low 11 below zero (1899) / Precipitation 1.61" (1987) / Snow 13.0" (1958) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/14/2023 at 6:44 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: CMC with an historic late season ice/sleet event Expand Ralph, I'm suprised, do you really think that has a chance of working out? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Let's see what the GFS is doing oh interesting next weeks big storm is now 200 miles north of Chicago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Not to be beat the Canadian snows Virginia beaches to cape Hatty where the storm takes a cruise south of Bermuda. Couldn't make this up. They both agree on some light rain mid week so there's that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15, 2023 Author Share Posted February 15, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 2:58 PM, zenmsav6810 said: Ralph, I'm suprised, do you really think that has a chance of working out? Expand Certainly has a chance....all depends dent on what the NAO does imo. That's what will drive our cold air source and overcome the -PNA and SER combo we've been stuck with. Ops may be too quick with the pattern change as always. Most realistic shot(s) likely the waning days of Feb thru St Patty's as being depicted on the ens means 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 A forecast cloudy day that is sunny omg epic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Too many SSWE in the stream, models don't know which one to focus on (or some weenie wishcast saying like that). 64F 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 65.4F high 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 High for the day was 69 here. Current temp 68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 I remember little to no snow winters I’m 57 and I can’t remember a January or February quite like this. This many 50+ degree days has as to be some sort of record no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Annnndddddd that storm in midrange is pretty much nothing but rain now. To the surprise of no one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15, 2023 Share Posted February 15, 2023 Snow in Tucson, snow in Vegas the legend grows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 After a low of 41 this morning I made it up to 65. Expecting a similar high tomorrow too. It was unsettled today though with threatening stratus clouds coming and going much of the day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 On 2/15/2023 at 10:18 PM, penndotguy said: I remember little to no snow winters I’m 57 and I can’t remember a January or February quite like this. This many 50+ degree days has as to be some sort of record no? Expand Don’t forget cloudy days and nights and most nights 8-15 degree above normal lows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 On 2/16/2023 at 12:10 AM, Hurricane Agnes said: After a low of 41 this morning I made it up to 65. Expecting a similar high tomorrow too. It was unsettled today though with threatening stratus clouds coming and going much of the day. Expand I only saw cirrus. High in Media today 66.6 crazy! Devil of a winter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 On 2/16/2023 at 12:43 AM, Kevin Reilly said: I only saw cirrus. High in Media today 66.6 crazy! Devil of a winter! Expand I had some stratus earlier and then some funky Monet-like impressionist clouds that are apparently called asperitas (a new cloud designation as of 2009) - https://www.theguardian.com/environment/gallery/2009/jun/01/2?picture=348217732 This type (above is an example) were off to the west some time this morning around 9:45ish am. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 On 2/16/2023 at 12:41 AM, Kevin Reilly said: Don’t forget cloudy days and nights and most nights 8-15 degree above normal lows. Expand All the cloudy days are preventing me from giving this winter a F-. It's a solid F and probably the most under-performing/boring winter in my life. As of now it ranks #1. Even a shitty March 3" wet snow slop event won't save it... 57F 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 On 2/16/2023 at 2:06 AM, Birds~69 said: All the cloudy days are preventing me from giving this winter a F-. It's a solid F and probably the most under-performing/boring winter in my life. As of now it ranks #1. Even a shitty March 3" wet snow slop event won't save it... 57F Expand what we gets me pissed is that 1. my daffodils are about to bloom- never seen this in my 35 years living in the LV in mid Feb, 2. tornadoes in Memphis Tn tonight - never seen that either and 3. the real ass kicker is a foot of snow in Milwaukee Wi yet we get absolutely Jack crap from this system here in PA but a few rain showers and if we are real lucky a quick clap of thunder tomorrow night LMAO. This winter really sucks. This lady says it all for us on the lower east side of the country 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 On 2/16/2023 at 3:48 AM, Albedoman said: what we gets me pissed is that 1. my daffodils are about to bloom- never seen this in my 35 years living in the LV in mid Feb, 2. tornadoes in Memphis Tn tonight - never seen that either and 3. the real ass kicker is a foot of snow in Milwaukee Wi yet we get absolutely Jack crap from this system here in PA but a few rain showers and if we are real lucky a quick clap of thunder tomorrow night LMAO. This winter really sucks. This lady says it all for us on the lower east side of the country Expand I had texted one of my sisters yesterday about seeing some early forsythia blooming in my neighborhood and how I had a work trip about 20 years ago to San Francisco in February - left Philly in snow boots with the remnants of 8" of snow on the ground and got there to find temps in the 60s during the day and 40s at night (only needed a sweater). They had tulips blooming at their annual "Tulipmania" Festival at Pier 39 (didn't even know that was a "thing") and this was near the end of February (apparently considered a bit "early" back then but now they have pushed the festival earlier and earlier over the years since). This was an article from the year that I was there - https://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/Tulips-spring-to-life-early-this-year-Pier-39-s-2631698.php I know that England also gets those early bulb blooms as a matter of course for their Gulf Stream climate. Am currently mostly cloudy about a half hour before sunrise and am at my low of 49 at the moment with dp 42. The winds have gone calm so may drop a few more degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 On 2/16/2023 at 12:41 AM, Kevin Reilly said: Don’t forget cloudy days and nights and most nights 8-15 degree above normal lows. Expand This is the more impressive/depressive side of this winter. On 2/16/2023 at 1:29 AM, Hurricane Agnes said: I had some stratus earlier and then some funky Monet-like impressionist clouds that are apparently called asperitas (a new cloud designation as of 2009) - https://www.theguardian.com/environment/gallery/2009/jun/01/2?picture=348217732 This type (above is an example) were off to the west some time this morning around 9:45ish am. Expand This is a rare cloud type called an Asperitas: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asperitas_(cloud) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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