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Central PA Winter 2022/2023


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It looks like we warm to above normal temperatures on Thursday. This warm up should last for a week or so.

There is light at the end of the tunnel. The last few days, the ensembles have been showing a turn to a more favorable pattern beginning between the 7th & 10th.
There is fairly good agreement on the GEFS, EPS & Canadian ensembles to have some confidence that a pattern with chances for Winter weather should be underway for the second week of January.

80281855-7B62-42CB-BB5E-FE44619F71B0.png

10183B42-6701-4112-9B13-225B2CDFF4A7.png

3DF83142-69D0-4EE9-ADAB-753DA4777981.png

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22 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

It looks like we warm to above normal temperatures on Thursday. This warm up should last for a week or so.

There is light at the end of the tunnel. The last few days, the ensembles have been showing a turn to a more favorable pattern beginning between the 7th & 10th.
There is fairly good agreement on the GEFS, EPS & Canadian ensembles to have some confidence that a pattern with chances for Winter weather should be underway for the second week of January.

80281855-7B62-42CB-BB5E-FE44619F71B0.png

10183B42-6701-4112-9B13-225B2CDFF4A7.png

3DF83142-69D0-4EE9-ADAB-753DA4777981.png

Hopefully Blizz! 

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Just now, canderson said:

Our cat passed away this morning.  This is brutal. 

Oh man, SO sorry to hear that. Had a recent bereavement here too and while it’s soul-crushing whenever it happens, it hits particularly hard around the holidays. This internet stranger is feeling your loss. 

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20 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

It looks like we warm to above normal temperatures on Thursday. This warm up should last for a week or so.

There is light at the end of the tunnel. The last few days, the ensembles have been showing a turn to a more favorable pattern beginning between the 7th & 10th.
There is fairly good agreement on the GEFS, EPS & Canadian ensembles to have some confidence that a pattern with chances for Winter weather should be underway for the second week of January.

80281855-7B62-42CB-BB5E-FE44619F71B0.png

10183B42-6701-4112-9B13-225B2CDFF4A7.png

3DF83142-69D0-4EE9-ADAB-753DA4777981.png

The 0z and 6z GFS both show a storm potential way out in fantasy land around January 8th.

We can only hope at this point that we are back in business right away when the pattern turns more favorable.

Lots of time of course, but it’s better to see this showing up as a possibility instead of a continuing torch.

EF15A522-4902-4803-A284-4A75C5F426A4.png

C0BA0152-7CF3-42DD-A447-7430D036005A.png

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06 GFS model run is the biggest fricking fantasy event if I ever saw one in the five years-- double barrel LP coastal - one after another. First one rain to mix then to snow. Second LP- all snow. Clown maps say 2 ft of snow-  most of freezing rain and sleet cut it by 2/3 and you may have our first legit warning event. This run beats them all for an ultimate fantasy game.  Throw it out. Demonstrates how reliable 15 day models are   ---NOT. All this indicates is a possible pattern change.

 

 

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40 minutes ago, Albedoman said:

06 GFS model run is the biggest fricking fantasy event if I ever saw one in the five years-- double barrel LP coastal - one after another. First one rain to mix then to snow. Second LP- all snow. Clown maps say 2 ft of snow-  most of freezing rain and sleet cut it by 2/3 and you may have our first legit warning event. This run beats them all for an ultimate fantasy game.  Throw it out. Demonstrates how reliable 15 day models are   ---NOT. All this indicates is a possible pattern change.

 

 

Looking forward to get back to at least colder weather.

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