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Central PA Winter 2022/2023


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9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Wow, wow, wow at the potential the 0z runs are showing for the 22/23 !!!

This is trending into a possible very special couple of days of Winter weather right before Christmas!

I'm feeling kind of optimistic about it. It's looking more likely that the cold will be there. All we need is a storm

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5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 6z GFS is still insisting that areas north of the PA turnpike flip to snow later on today.

The GFS is on its own right now, but it’s fascinating to see if it will score a win or take a loss on this event. I’m rooting for the GfS upset win, but I’m also not expecting it…

3F0A2494-DAAA-4044-BD80-4A7BA0473674.png

DDCC38BE-7965-4EA3-9C33-F427A06046F4.png

When is this flip to snow suppose to occur if it does?

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Here is the updated WWA from CTP.

They actually upped the snow/sleet amount in this Advisory to up to 4 inches to the north of I-81.

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
348 AM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-160000-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-221216T0000Z/
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
348 AM EST Thu Dec 15 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Snow and sleet accumulations of up
  to 4 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions will impact the morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The gradient in snow and sleet accumulation
  will increase from southeast to northwest across the warning
  area with maximum snow and sleet to the north of I-81. Less than
  one inch of snow and sleet is expected to the south of US-30. A
  changeover to rain is expected in most places from south to
  north this afternoon.

 

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1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

That’s towards the end of the Euro event next week after a lot of snow has fallen across the entire region even down into MD.

The trend overnight was very positive & the look at H5 is drool worthy.

That panel is one of the worst pre-Christmas panels I have ever seen.   Thousands without power.  Let's get the snow without an inland Hurricaine. 

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