Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: To the tune of "The Candyman": Who can bring the rainfall? Sprinkle it with winds? Cover it with warmth until it feels like spring, The Canderson can, The Canderson can The Canderson can cause he mixes those things to make it feel like spring... LOL! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 45 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Yea that mid-week wave was what was bringing the frontal boundary down to set the edge for Friday. Friday’s event has been timing somewhat faster and the mid-week wave really hasn’t been pressing the front either. Spacing is definitely an issue, but so is the strength of Friday’s system. An already bombed out 976mb coming up the Mississippi out of the Ozarks isn’t ideal. It responds to the block and tries to secondary but the primary is too strong. There’s going to be some kind of a mix event for most or all of C-PA with this, but going to have to figure out thermals. Most guidance places a deep wedge of low level cold east of the Alleghenies all the way up through 850mb. Typically that’s enough to ensure what would be a significant period of front end snow, but there is prolific warm advection all the way up at 700mb (10k feet) due to the very strong 700mb low associated with the mature primary well west that would cut into that potential. That elevated of a warm nose would indicate to me sleet would be a predominant p-type for a while. I will say when it comes to the more mesoscale thermal features that are common around here I personally prefer the Euro when it comes to global guidance over the GFS… and then short range/high res stuff once it’s close enough. So here was 6z Euro. Hr 87 temps at 850mb Same hour at 700mb This is real meteorology and not modelology, love it. We may be using @Coop_Mason's @Cashtown_Coopgood rain/snow line radar Fri AM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: This is real meteorology and not modelology, love it. We kay be using @Coop_Mason's @Cashtown_Coopgood rain/snow line radar Fri AM. I also added the 925mb to that post as well, I had hit post before I was done with it haha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coop_Mason Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 22 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: This is real meteorology and not modelology, love it. We kay be using @Coop_Mason's @Cashtown_Coopgood rain/snow line radar Fri AM. I still haven't been able to resolve my email issue. Any idea who I should reach out to? I simply tried updating my email and never received a confirmation for my new email. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Just now, Coop_Mason said: I still haven't been able to resolve my email issue. Any idea who I should reach out to? I simply tried updating my email and received a confirmation email for my new email. Shoot PMs to @Ian, @ORH_wxman and @dendrite 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Also @Itstrainingtime I have that song now stuck in my head! I'd like a version of that recorded with AutoTune. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 5 minutes ago, canderson said: Also @Itstrainingtime I have that song now stuck in my head! I'd like a version of that recorded with AutoTune. I just came back from the office lunchroom - I got a lot of strange looks (okay...not really, everyone here knows I'm a goofball) because I was singing it while heating up my lunch. And not the "Candy Man" lyrics either...I was singing the Canderson lyrics! LOL 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Does the Euro hold the front end thump and side with the CMC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Euro has two waves in the next 36 hours. Very scattered showers tomrorow then a 1/4" type rain for the central LSV Wed night...since that was a topic of discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Slight improvement in critical thickness numbers over PA at hour 60...will see if it makes a difference shortly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Onset of precip delayed by a good bit of time. No rpecip in PA at 7AM FRiday where as 1/3 of PA had it at 0Z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Snowing or mixed over about 1/2 of PA Friday mid-day. Light to moderate. LSV all frozen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Friday evening, most of LSV over to rain. MAG and Northern 1/2 of PA still frozen. Main point here is the precip is MUCH lighter than at 0Z. No WSW totals throughout the state at this point whereas there were plentiful by this point at 0Z. LSV is 1/2-2" of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 All of PA transitions to rain at the end. Total QPF generally 35-50% less than 0Z. Really cuts back the snow totals at the start. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: All of PA transitions to rain at the end. Total QPF generally 50-75% less than 0Z. Really cuts back the snow totals at the start. That's exactly what Chuck said was going to happen with this storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That's exactly what Chuck said was going to happen with this storm... What did Kenny and Shaq say? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: What did Kenny and Shaq say? They defer to Chuck in Earniest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: What did Kenny and Shaq say? Shaq said 4-7 to turnpike 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Winter Storm ITT is alive and well at the end of the EC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Info from Pitt board. Not one blue in the MA and the only blues anywhere in the Northeast are at the tops of ski resorts (snicker), Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 The first half of March is still looking colder than Jan or Feb.,..not talking depatures taking actual temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The first half of March is still looking colder than Jan or Feb.,..not talking depatures taking actual temps. Not much to get excited about on the long range GFS - does look like a lot dry weather until the end of the run when yet another cutter is taking shape. Sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Not much to get excited about on the long range GFS - does look like a lot dry weather until the end of the run when yet another cutter is taking shape. Sigh. Check out the "no worry of discrete threats" area of the MA Thread. We have the cold so that is something we have not had since Dec. The NJ and Balt twins are started to get irritated as well. They were counting on an early Spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Check out the "no worry of discrete threats" area of the MA Thread. We have the cold so that is something we have not had since Dec. The NJ and Balt twins are started to get irritated as well. They were counting on an early Spring. I've been following. I just want the moisture stream to be available to us once the new pattern settles in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I've been following. I just want the moisture stream to be available to us once the new pattern settles in. Definitely but if we cannot have snow then I do not want 70's and 80's either. LOL. But I am happy with the cold right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Screw that. If we can't have snow it better be in the 70s and 80s. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 1, 2023 Author Share Posted March 1, 2023 8 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: To the tune of "The Candyman": Who can bring the rainfall? Sprinkle it with winds? Cover it with warmth until it feels like spring, The Canderson can, The Canderson can The Canderson can cause he mixes those things to make it feel like spring... Lol, This is a classic! I can’t wait to hear the second verse! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 1, 2023 Author Share Posted March 1, 2023 6 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Winter Storm ITT is alive and well at the end of the EC. The @Itstrainingtime storm is alive & well towards the end of the 18z GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 Winter Storm ITT buried hundreds of thousands of 90s kids in student debt. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 1, 2023 Share Posted March 1, 2023 CTP has me at less than half an inch of snow Friday. I’ll go with the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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