sauss06 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 17 hours ago, sauss06 said: speaking of clocks. Springing ahead next weekend 11 hours ago, CarlislePaWx said: @sauss06Daylight saving time begins on the second Sunday (after the second Saturday) of March. That would be March 12th. Thats's what i meant, This Sunday would be March 4th, Next Sunday is the 12th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: My kiddo has surgery to get tubes in his ears on Thursday. As a result, I am off work. Thursday looks like it's going to be a James Spann/Ryan Hall day with the little one. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Best of luck, man. I hope it goes well for him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 8 hours ago, MAG5035 said: That stuff on the doorstep to R-ville looks like it means business. I feel asleep but it was quite windy as it woke me back up. Not much white on the ground but 32 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 My kiddo has surgery to get tubes in his ears on Thursday. As a result, I am off work. Thursday looks like it's going to be a James Spann/Ryan Hall day with the little one. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using TapatalkDon’t sweat it, it’s a 5 min procedure . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Our 7th (that's right) winter "event" is in the books. In East Nantmeal we received 0.3" of sleet/snow. Of the 7 events only 1 event on January 25th (0.8") exceeded the 1 inch mark. Clouds should hang around today with winds increasing this PM. Mild through Friday with more rain again possibly mixed with snow Thursday night into Friday. Daily Records: High 71 (1946) / Low 4 below (1934) / Precipitation 1.82" (1902) / Snow 5.0" (1941) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 28, 2023 Author Share Posted February 28, 2023 The 6z GFS, 6z Euro & 0z Canadian for Friday each have a few inches of front end snow from the turnpike & to the north. The latest Euro starts the snow at the MD line. The 6z Euro ends at 90 hours, so maybe a bit more to go as well for areas further to the north & east. Still a few days to go to see exactly where the front end snow line sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 6z GFS, 6z Euro & 0z Canadian for Friday each have a few inches of front end snow from the turnpike & ti the north. The latest Euro starts the snow at the MD line. Still a few days to go to see exactly where the front end snow line sets up. I am not sure why those maps always show more than any other source I can find. Take Franklin county and the GFS. On Pivotal it shows no show at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 1.3” of snow till it all got obliterated to paste. Still raining this morning, roadways are bare. This storm follows the same pattern for the season. Currently 35 degrees, At one point last evening 40 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 3 hours ago, anthonyweather said: Don’t sweat it, it’s a 5 min procedure . Agreed. Its a simple procedure that'll be a big help for the little one. Good luck @Atomixwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 10 minutes ago, pawatch said: 1.3” of snow till it all got obliterated to paste. Still raining this morning, roadways are bare. This storm follows the same pattern for the season. Currently 35 degrees, At one point last evening 40 degrees. we had a coating of sleet when I went to bed. Was pingin pretty good off the tin roof. While it was nice to see (and yes I counted a handful of snowflakes on way home from work yesterday), still really a meh in my book. This weekend is slippin away (as of last 2 days), so if a reversal is happenin, it better start real soon (fwiw me thinks that aint happenin). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Saw no snow last night - sleet gave way to just heavy rain. .5" rain yesterday. More rain Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 4 hours ago, Atomixwx said: My kiddo has surgery to get tubes in his ears on Thursday. As a result, I am off work. Thursday looks like it's going to be a James Spann/Ryan Hall day with the little one. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Wishing you all the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 36 with drizzle - .62" of rain has fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 27 minutes ago, canderson said: Saw no snow last night - sleet gave way to just heavy rain. .5" rain yesterday. More rain Friday. 12Z's showing more frozen than rain Friday (so far) so jury still out on that one. Everyone seems to be skipping the rain tomorrow night though? The NAM has some areas getting 1/2 to 1". A tad north of Harrisburg for that heavier band Wed night rain on the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: 12Z's showing more frozen than rain Friday (so far) so jury still out on that one. Everyone seems to be skipping the rain tomorrow night though? The NAM has some areas getting 1/2 to 1". A tad north of Harrisburg for that heavier band Wed night rain on the Nam. True, lots of rain tomorrow too. I just kinda meant I fully expect the trend of the warm out to win out Friday - it has for 30 or so consecutive months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, canderson said: True, lots of rain tomorrow too. I just kinda meant I fully expect the trend of the warm out to win out Friday - it has for 30 or so consecutive months. Cannot debate that but the 12Z Nam surprising has all frozen from Friday (Except York and Lanco) so fingers crossed if one wants that. 6Z was a lot more rainy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Cannot debate that but the 12Z Nam surprising has all frozen from Friday (Except York and Lanco) so fingers crossed if one wants that. Friday's storm - I'm a kid sitting in the back of the family sedan in the early 70s uninhibited with no seat belt. Next week's opportunity - fast forward to today when I'm in the car with the buckle is latched and I'm fully secured. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 21 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: I will say one thing, this is a tospy turvy winter with Stormchaserchuck now one of the head snow hounds on the MA LR thread. You knew who else is one of the head snow hounds? Ji. He's really...optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Cannot debate that but the 12Z Nam surprising has all frozen from Friday (Except York and Lanco) so fingers crossed if one wants that. 6Z was a lot more rainy. I'm more focused on the severe WX headed for my fam in East Texas Thursday night. SPC will probably have them in a high risk for severe with >25% TOR outbreak. Metrics are ... no bueno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 12Z's showing more frozen than rain Friday (so far) so jury still out on that one. Everyone seems to be skipping the rain tomorrow night though? The NAM has some areas getting 1/2 to 1". A tad north of Harrisburg for that heavier band Wed night rain on the Nam. Hmm. Tomorrow night has NOT been on my radar - CTP has me at a 20% chance of a scattered shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Hmm. Tomorrow night has NOT been on my radar - CTP has me at a 20% chance of a scattered shower. There is a clipper coming through and some models have sig rain, some lesser. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: There is a clipper coming through and some models have sig rain, some lesser. I just checked with Elliott - he's calling for a chance of an isolated shower. He also added this: As meteorological winter comes to a close, here are some astounding climatological stats from @millersvilleu. For the 2nd time in 4 years, no measurable snow fell at MU in Feb. Both #january2023 and #February2023 will be the 2nd-warmest on record but #1, in aggregate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I just checked with Elliott - he's calling for a chance of an isolated shower. He also added this: As meteorological winter comes to a close, here are some astounding climatological stats from @millersvilleu. For the 2nd time in 4 years, no measurable snow fell at MU in Feb. Both #january2023 and #February2023 will be the 2nd-warmest on record but #1, in aggregate. Yea, I am not think we need to head for an Ark Wed/Thur but it has been showing on models for several runs. Some suites have Lanco a good period of rain. I called it a clipper but really just a wave. Unfortunately, I think it is part of our issue for Friday with lack of spacing, Definitely one of the warmest Jan and Feb ever. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 29 minutes ago, canderson said: True, lots of rain tomorrow too. I just kinda meant I fully expect the trend of the warm out to win out Friday - it has for 30 or so consecutive months. 30 or so is a bit of a stretch, C-PA has had below average months as recently as October and December. This was 2022 as a whole. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 15 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, I am not think we need to head for an Ark Wed/Thur but it has been showing on models for several runs. Some suites have Lanco a good period of rain. I called it a clipper but really just a wave. Unfortunately, I think it is part of our issue for Friday with lack of spacing, Definitely one of the warmest Jan and Feb ever. Probably spot on with that assessment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 12Z GFS is Canderson land, CMC more Nam like and more snowy thump though eventually over to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 Someone posted this from their home this morning in Mammoth Lakes - new Blizzard moves in around noon today with 3-4' of additional snowfall by tomorrow: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, I am not think we need to head for an Ark Wed/Thur but it has been showing on models for several runs. Some suites have Lanco a good period of rain. I called it a clipper but really just a wave. Unfortunately, I think it is part of our issue for Friday with lack of spacing, Definitely one of the warmest Jan and Feb ever. Yea that mid-week wave was what was bringing the frontal boundary down to set the edge for Friday. Friday’s event has been timing somewhat faster and the mid-week wave really hasn’t been pressing the front either. Spacing is definitely an issue, but so is the strength of Friday’s system. An already bombed out 976mb coming up the Mississippi out of the Ozarks isn’t ideal. It responds to the block and tries to secondary but the primary is too strong. There’s going to be some kind of a mix event for most or all of C-PA with this, but going to have to figure out thermals. Most guidance places a deep wedge of low level cold east of the Alleghenies all the way up through 850mb. Typically that’s enough to ensure what would be a significant period of front end snow, but there is prolific warm advection all the way up at 700mb (10k feet) due to the very strong 700mb low associated with the mature primary well west that would cut into that potential. That elevated of a warm nose would indicate to me sleet would be a predominant p-type for a while. I will say when it comes to the more mesoscale thermal features that are common around here I personally prefer the Euro when it comes to global guidance over the GFS… and then short range/high res stuff once it’s close enough. So here was 6z Euro. Hr 87 temps at 925mb Same hour at 850mb Same hour at 700mb 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2023 Share Posted February 28, 2023 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 12Z GFS is Canderson land, CMC more Nam like and more snowy thump though eventually over to rain. To the tune of "The Candyman": Who can bring the rainfall? Sprinkle it with winds? Cover it with warmth until it feels like spring, The Canderson can, The Canderson can The Canderson can cause he mixes those things to make it feel like spring... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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