Blizzard of 93 Posted February 21, 2023 Author Share Posted February 21, 2023 2 hours ago, Newman said: And there's even a tornado warning now right near Trenton, NJ. What a wild February day The old saying is that Winter thunderstorms bring snow 7 to 10 days later… We will see this year… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 The 18Z GFS has yet another BANG winter storm in early March. One of these has to work out but I am going to go out and say I am punting early Spring as it pertains to the first 7-10 days in March. I think spring flingers (NJ Twins in the MA) are going to have to suffer through some winter in spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The old saying is that Winter thunderstorms bring snow 7 to 10 days later… We will see this year… Another old saying is Nuts and bolts, nuts and bolts....we got screwed. Winter 22/23. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 21, 2023 Author Share Posted February 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The 18Z GFS has yet another BANG winter storm in early March. One of these has to work out but I am going to go out and say I am punting early Spring as it pertains to the first 7-10 days in March. I think spring flingers (NJ Twins in the MA) are going to have to suffer through some winter in spring. Blocking is setting up during the first week of March… It could finally be our time? Maybe? Please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 Blocking is setting up during the first week of March… It could finally be our time? Maybe? Please?Watch it then not leave till july. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 Any comments on the wintry mix that keeps showing up for tomorrow? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Any comments on the wintry mix that keeps showing up for tomorrow? . I think areas north of Harrisburg are going to have a good event. For a winter devoid of real events, this is being ignored a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 6 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Watch it then not leave till july. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Any snow in July counts for 22/23, FYI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 Any comments on the wintry mix that keeps showing up for tomorrow? .Both NAM and gfs with it, and having been trending colder in eastern pa for the past few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol ! Start the mowing count tracker next month! Incorrect- I'm already at 1... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 22, 2023 Author Share Posted February 22, 2023 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Incorrect- I'm already at 1... Snow mow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Snow mow? LOL- no, growing green grass mow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 22, 2023 Author Share Posted February 22, 2023 The 18z Euro came in a bit colder for tomorrow am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Might snow in LA proper. The Hollywood sign in snow will be wild. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 What an April day here at my parents place in Danville. Rain in the morning, then Gusty winds and sunshine, then all of a sudden several rounds of thunderstorms...and then finished the day with clear skies. The northeastern counties near Scranton had a layer of fresh snow from snow showers this morning and then Severe Thunderstorm warnings this afternoon! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Check out this perfect rainbow my friend Don captured in Tamaqua (Hometown) earlier today... 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Hopefully today doesn't set a tone for the remainder of spring - not a drop of rain fell here since the overnight hours. It never threatened to rain and not once did it get windy. (which was fine) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 18z Euro came in a bit colder for tomorrow am. My official spokesman of the weather models just told me this-- You get nothing LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 I remember many years ago when we used to get those 1-3in. or 2-4in snowfalls, but it seemed every winter we could count on getting that one snowfall of 8+. And everyone would be happy. But that don't seem the case anymore. Even Voyager and I would be happy for just that one big snowfall, the warminsta's that we are. If we would get that just one snowfall, then we can move on to spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 On 2/16/2023 at 10:09 PM, Yardstickgozinya said: Maybe you can tell Gene Wilder to go fuck him self with a snow shovel later today . 11 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 18z Euro came in a bit colder for tomorrow am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 35 and Mostly Cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 35 and Mostly Cloudy. 44 and severely depressed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 22, 2023 Author Share Posted February 22, 2023 24 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: I remember many years ago when we used to get those 1-3in. or 2-4in snowfalls, but it seemed every winter we could count on getting that one snowfall of 8+. And everyone would be happy. But that don't seem the case anymore. Even Voyager and I would be happy for just that one big snowfall, the warminsta's that we are. If we would get that just one snowfall, then we can move on to spring. This CTP chart for Harrisburg seasonal snow totals since 1980 shows that we have had years in each decade that struggle with poor snow amounts. We just had an above normal Snow season in 20-21 in a Winter that featured 2 storms that brought nearly 1 foot each to Harrisburg. We also had a few of the 2-4 type events that year as well. This chart also shows a few examples that a bad snow year this year does not mean that next year cannot be a great snow Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 22, 2023 Author Share Posted February 22, 2023 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: This CTP chart for Harrisburg seasonal snow totals since 1980 shows that we have had years in each decade that struggle with poor snow amounts. We just had an above normal Snow season in 20-21 in a Winter that featured 2 storms that brought nearly 1 foot each to Harrisburg. We also had a few of the 2-4 type events that year as well. This chart also shows a few examples that a bad snow year this year does not mean that next year cannot be a great snow Winter. Also, 6 of the last 10 years at Harrisburg have featured above average snow seasons…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Now that that I got my wake n bake in its 37°f, and Its a great day to be alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Blizzard Warning.... for Los Angeles County, California. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 30/23ºF here with precip pretty close to arriving. I’m expecting more frozen (probably sleet) over ZR during the mixed phase of this event this morning. Short range guidance like the 3k NAM show a lot of freezing rain despite wet bulbing 925 and even 850mb temps below zero pretty far down into the central mountains.. so I don’t buy the widespread ice accrual outside of the ridge tops and the eastern Allegheny Front. I dunno if it’ll happen here, but I wouldn’t be surprised if a place like UNV sees a period of snowfall up front. Like I said yesterday, could be pingers mixed in with rain for a time outside of the advisory area (Sus Valley) as 925mb temps cool below zero with precip arrival but surface temps probably stay above freezing. As it looks currently, probably the Harrisburg area is the non-advised area in the LSV that has the best chance of that scenario. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Blizzard Warning.... for Los Angeles County, California. #Snowtown #BaseState #NewNormal lol LOX’s discussion is pretty fun. Also mentioned in their full discussion in addition to 2-5feet of snow above 4k feet is the possibility that downtown LA goes 8 consecutive days without cracking 60ºF if the temp forecasts are correct. Quote All eyes on Thursday night through Saturday morning when a slow moving fetch of moist dynamic SSW flow moves over the area. This system will bring a broad swath of moderate to locally heavy rain and snow the area. This precipitation will be further enhanced by the orographic uplift provided by the south flow and transverse ranges. Snow levels will fluctuate quite a bit as the southerly flow will raise levels to about 4500 ft briefly on Friday afternoon. This could create a mixture of rain/snow at the I-5 Grapevine area before precipitation turns back to all snow Friday evening. Rainfall rates will range from 0.50-1.0" per hour near the main precip band on Friday bringing a threat of urban flooding and issues near recent burn scars. The precipitation totals for the majority of the south Santa Barbara coast, Ventura, and Los Angeles coasts/valleys will be in the 2-4 inch category. Low snow levels will mean that this could be the largest amount of 24-48 hour snowfall seen in decades (likely rivaling the 1989 storm) for our Ventura and Los Angeles County mountains. Depending on the snow-line, rainfall in the foothills will be from 4-6 inches, but the mountains above 4000 ft could see upwards of 2-5 FEET of snow with isolated amounts to 7 feet at higher elevations. Snowfall of this rate and amount could lead to damage to structures and trees with an immense threat of avalanches, especially in the eastern San Gabriel Mountains by Saturday. While the main precip band will exit the area Saturday morning and the steady rain will stop. But then the upper low will move directly over the area. 500 mb temps are near -35 degrees C which will make for a very unstable atmosphere. The cold, unstable air will be conducive to development of heavy showers, lightning, and small hail or graupel. Cyclonic spin would allow for waterspout activity over the ocean with brief small tornadoes near the coast. Precipitation coverage would not be as widespread, but most areas are likely to see additional showers through the day Saturday and snow levels will remain below 3000 ft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 9 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: #Snowtown #BaseState #NewNormal lol LOX’s discussion is pretty fun. Also mentioned in their full discussion in addition to 2-5feet of snow above 4k feet is the possibility that downtown LA goes 8 consecutive days without cracking 60ºF if the temp forecasts are correct. #WeWereVoyager'ed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Precip just started. Pingers and 31/23ºF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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