Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 20 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: So, our winter really hasn't been that bad because other areas suck more? Again, a lot of regular contributors to this thread are no where near 5" for the season. And some are still under 1". Not saying that whatsoever…you are reading into my comment way too much… Just pointing out the levels of bad are all relative. Our Winter is certainly bad, but it could be worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Not saying that whatsoever…you are reading into my comment way too much… Just pointing out the levels of bad are all relative. Our Winter is certainly bad, but it could be worse. I'm really not trying to be combative with you but for areas of Lancaster that are under 1" - tell me how much worse it can be? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 It felt chilly this AM with our low of 23.5 degrees but that is actually only 1 degree below normal. Our ongoing "non-winter" has us feeling more like North Carolina climate this season! After today we return to more of an Carolinas climate as we see temps back into the 50's to even 60's by Thursday! Best rain chances this week will be Tuesday AM and Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Both the European and GFS models have some accumulating snow by next Saturday....but we know how that has gone this season! The records for today: High 70 (1981) / Low 7 below zero (1903) / Precipitation 1.08" (1960) Snow 10.0" (1979) this was the 1st day of a 2 day storm that brought 15.2" of snow to our County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 This won't end wellSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 33 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm really not trying to be combative with you but for areas of Lancaster that are under 1" - tell me how much worse it can be? It’s pretty bad everywhere in east, but my original comments were pointing out the 5 & 10 in Harrisburg & Williamsport compared to the other disastrous totals in the region. It’s not good anywhere outside of Buffalo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Late nooners in woodsboro MD. 35 and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 hour ago, Jns2183 said: This won't end well Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I looked at many Virginia511 live freeway cameras from DC to Richmond to Norfolk, and all I saw was winter bare and brown grass, so I'm not sure this map is accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 hour ago, Jns2183 said: This won't end well Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Fruit growers are increasingly concerned it’ll be a devastating year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Looks like every day next week is over 50 degreee and potential record warmth Thursday. 70+. Jan was +8 AN, anyone know where MDT is for Feb? Can’t be too far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Sunny and 43. Nice day outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 16 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Sunny and 43. Nice day outside. Tomorrow will be even better - mid 50s and calmer winds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Weeds starting to poke up. This week will really expedite that nonsense. Got mulch down today, might start getting planting done next weekend. If you can’t tell, I’m convinced winter is toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 7 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: It is surprising/amazing places like Syracuse and Albany have that much with what has transpired. 4 hours ago, canderson said: Rochester is the worst. That’s insane. Here in Syracuse we actually have the largest deficit for what is normal though. We're 55 INCHES below normal to this date. Did get a couple inches of lake effect overnight, so make that 53 inches below normal. lol Nice view this morning: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 37 minutes ago, canderson said: Weeds starting to poke up. This week will really expedite that nonsense. Got mulch down today, might start getting planting done next weekend. If you can’t tell, I’m convinced winter is toast. Planting stuff that can freeze in Feb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Planting stuff that can freeze in Feb? Nah more seed-like stuff I can cover of it actually gets cold for more than a night every 10-14 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 By the way, I'm joining you guys for the week of heatwave, as I'm visiting my parents in Danville for Winter Break. Hello, all yas, yous, yinz Pennsylvanians! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 4 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm really not trying to be combative with you but for areas of Lancaster that are under 1" - tell me how much worse it can be? Same even here in my neck of the woods we've gotten maybe 3 inches the entire season so far and this might be one of the most abysmal winters I've ever seen. I didn't realize you guys were doing even worse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Snowstorm now modeled within 6 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 We have the chance at a good ending to this Winter. The -NAO is showing up across most of the models & it is not getting pushed back in time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Snowstorm now modeled within 6 days. Yes, the 12z GFS is the middle ground with a few inches of snow next Saturday. The Euro was a little further north with more rain, while the Canadian was a bit south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 The 12z Euro also has the 27th/28th storm that the GFS has shown a few times in recent days. The 12z Euro has Warning snow for us, but the bullseye this run was in MD & northern VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 GFS has a day where the high is in the 20's in early March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 12z Euro also has the 27th/28th storm that the GFS has shown a few times in recent days. The 12z Euro has Warning snow for us, but the bullseye this run was in MD & northern VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 8 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: If the MA can post the map, so can this forum. All the usual caveats of this being a model discussion and not a forecast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 I will laugh my ass off if this happens just as thee trees are blooming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Here in Syracuse we actually have the largest deficit for what is normal though. We're 55 INCHES below normal to this date. Did get a couple inches of lake effect overnight, so make that 53 inches below normal. lol Nice view this morning: The general consensus I get from talking to other people in the industry is that AT THIS TIME the current winter far out does 2019-2020 due to the large area of record break low snow totals....to basically go along with your thought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: By the way, I'm joining you guys for the week of heatwave, as I'm visiting my parents in Danville for Winter Break. Hello, all yas, yous, yinz Pennsylvanians! We will expect some nooners check ins from you while we are perusing the 12Z's. :-) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Just got a call from family who said they heard we are getting a major snowstorm next weekend. The media must be primed to broadcast this one as they heard it on Channel 8. 18Z GFS looks very snowy with varying rates of snow all day Saturday and temps in the 20's. The combined snowfall for the two storms next weekend and early the following week is 18-24" KUCH for the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 Winter must also be defined by more than just snow. In addition to almost being shutout snow-wise, it has NOT been cold. My lowest temp for the entire month of January was 25 degrees- that is an AN temp for virtually the entire month and that was the coldest morning. Some of our other snowless winters featured some cold weather. Outside of the couple of days around Christmas it's been warm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18, 2023 Author Share Posted February 18, 2023 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Just got a call from family who said they heard we are getting a major snowstorm next weekend. The media must be primed to broadcast this one as they heard it on Channel 8. 18Z GFS looks very snowy with varying rates of snow all day Saturday and temps in the 20's. The combined snowfall for the two storms next weekend and early the following week is 18-24" KUCH for the LSV. Let’s do this! Late Winter save! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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