Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 The 18z EPS also improved for the Sunday chance of a Winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 Snow map on the 18z EPS bumped in the right direction as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 It is raining. Cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Reminder that a seventy degree day is more likely in this current setup than snow.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 13 minutes ago, canderson said: It is raining. Cool. Light rain and 37 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 9 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Reminder that a seventy degree day is more likely in this current setup than snow. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Thanks, Elliott! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 1 minute ago, anotherman said: Thanks, Elliott! Mu West Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Mu West I've decided I'm tired of Elliott's gleeful reports on how crappy this winter is. The guy is giddy about potential 50s and 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 I’m staying out of this… Lol! @Itstrainingtime will be on here in no time to straighten you guys out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 8 minutes ago, anotherman said: I've decided I'm tired of Elliott's gleeful reports on how crappy this winter is. The guy is giddy about potential 50s and 60s. He needs an editor. His writing is way too verbose imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 He needs an editor. His writing is way too verbose imo. My guess is he thinks this is all part of a natural ‘cycle’ and therefore is operating like it’s business as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 23 minutes ago, anotherman said: I've decided I'm tired of Elliott's gleeful reports on how crappy this winter is. The guy is giddy about potential 50s and 60s. He has had a good forecasting season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 15 minutes ago, canderson said: He needs an editor. His writing is way too verbose imo. I was surprised about that tweet reply a day or two ago. A bit closed ended in the way he stated his opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 He has had a good forecasting season. Yes, but he doesn’t have to be so excited about record breaking warmth and lack of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Ensembles look real nice tonight. Especially the euro . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Individual euros show some real hard hits . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 3 hours ago, anthonyweather said: Ensembles look real nice tonight. Especially the euro . Yes, the 0z EPS has a good mean track and multiple low tracks on the individual ensemble members that will work for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 3 hours ago, anthonyweather said: Individual euros show some real hard hits . Yes & the 0z EPS mean snow map bumped up again as well for this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 31 and about .05 of an inch of rain last night. 33 at MDT with mist (freezing fog?) Speaking of MDT, 1/4 into Feb and they stand at -3/.03 BN for the month departure wise. So far, only one day of 50 or above and each night has been 30 degrees or less. HRRR says they hit exactly 50 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 !st day of rain for the month last eve. But not even enough to register in the guage...just enough to wet the ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8, 2023 Author Share Posted February 8, 2023 The 6z GFS was close for the LSV this weekend. I think a low taking this track from NC to the DelMarVa would have more precip in general on the northwest side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 6z GFS was close for the LSV this weekend. I think a low taking this track from NC to the DelMarVa would have more precip in general on the northwest side. Everything seems to be against us this winter. Even when it starts looking good for a storm with potential, somehow some way it just seem to go away or misses us. Maybe we should think about spring, then maybe, just maybe we'll get pummeled by a storm thats forecast to miss us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 13 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: !st day of rain for the month last eve. But not even enough to register in the guage...just enough to wet the ground. MDT managed to get .01. Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Some pics showed up on my Facebook from 5 years ago. that was any icy mess all ice under that snow. Maybe that should make the snow lovers reminisce of what it could have been this winter. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Our overnight low was a warm 35.7 (normal is 22.1). Our mild weather continues through Friday with closer to seasonable temperatures by the weekend. Our best rain chance looks to be tomorrow afternoon into the evening but not a wash out. Records for today: High (64) 1965 / Low (4) 1895 / Precipitation (1.00") 1895 / Snow (10.0") 1895. Of note today in 1895 was the 2nd day of a 2-day snowstorm that began at 8am on the 7th and ended at 5am on the 8th with very cold temps being reported as the thermometer remain below 8 degrees fro the entire storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 25 of the 50 6Z EPS members bring appreciable snow to the LSV Sunday into Monday. Temps are an issue still. I am not a big fan of forecasting meso level with the ensembles but something to still watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 As Bubbles suggested above...whoda ever thunk in early feb we'd be worried about temps w/ an slp progged in a rather favorable placement (as per 6z's)? Cant say I'd ever have thought it, but without rates, we may be in trouble, so hope for a flush hit, and not fringe stuff. 540's way above us, so we gotta get into the goods to overcome marginal temps. Ops start to gain traction for 4.5 day lead time, so model watch accordingly. Below graphic tells the tale. LR guidance just doesnt show much of anything favorable.....not 1 of them (well the MJO is progged to "race" thru less than ideal phases, that'll take 2 weeks). But, with AO/NAO well into ++ territory, not sure there's much to hope for. EPO? Dunno, but I'm just not seein much. Somebody help me find somethin, cause I'm all but checked out for this "winter"-snow wise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 looking back in my archives/notes........Tuesday January 25th, 2000. Snow, high winds and Blizzard like conditions. 11-12" hard to measure because of wind. Friday January 28th. Bitter cold -15 wind chill. Super Bowl Sunday, January 30th. Snow started about noon, rates increased as day went along, ending around midnight 12". Over 20" on ground from the last 2 storms. Was a great Super Bowl Sunday that year 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 12 hours ago, anotherman said: I've decided I'm tired of Elliott's gleeful reports on how crappy this winter is. The guy is giddy about potential 50s and 60s. 11 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I’m staying out of this… Lol! @Itstrainingtime will be on here in no time to straighten you guys out! 11 hours ago, canderson said: He needs an editor. His writing is way too verbose imo. 11 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: He has had a good forecasting season. 11 hours ago, anotherman said: Yes, but he doesn’t have to be so excited about record breaking warmth and lack of snow. Interesting conversation I missed last night. Everything that was posted were certainly valid thoughts/opinions. I don't have much to add other than I find it "interesting" the number of degreed mets who are NOT fans of cold and snowy winter. I'll speak for myself and say that in the past I've assumed that being a snow hound is what drives people to become mets. Clearly, some are not. Joe Lundberg is another great example - he used to appear on Weather World and I used to hear him on radio stations here in Lanco as well as a regular blogger on Accuweather's site. Without a doubt one of the best that I ever heard...he despised wintry weather and said as much often. I have no problem with mets expressing their love/disdain for the type of weather they most or least enjoy. Honestly...when Joe Lundberg went big on snow for this area, that's when I'd get excited. Think about it - would you rather have an admitted snow hound (Bastardi) go all in on an impending snowstorm or would you rather have that come from someone who doesn't like it to begin with? I'll take the latter for $1000. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 And to Bubbler's point - Elliott has been exceptional ever since he took over from Horst. When Eric retired I wondered what would happen to our forecasts with the new guy in town - Elliott has more than proven himself. Warminsta or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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