paweather Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Elliott's long range forecast released last night was not surprising but certainly discouraging - he sees a chance for a single event late next week that would have a ceiling of a few/several inches if everything worked out perfectly. After a couple of cold days next weekend, he's issuing a spring fever alert for much of February. Basically a full-blown torch for at least a few weeks. Sitting at 3.3" for the season... NYC has 0.0” snow so I guess we are lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 43 minutes ago, paweather said: NYC has 0.0” snow so I guess we are lucky. Rochester - ROCHESTER - has only a trace in January and 9” all season. Like I posted a bit ago, where the hell is the snow? It’s probably because the mid Atlantic and NE are warming faster than any other region on earth. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2022/12/new-england-less-snow-warmer-winter-climate-change/672480/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 16 minutes ago, canderson said: Rochester - ROCHESTER - has only a trace in January and 9” all season. Like I posted a bit ago, where the hell is the snow? It’s probably because the mid Atlantic and NE are warming faster than any other region on earth. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2022/12/new-england-less-snow-warmer-winter-climate-change/672480/ Yes, and this explains a lot as well: Global ocean heat content (OHC) hit a record high: The upper ocean heat content, which addresses the amount of heat stored in the upper 2,000 meters of the ocean, was record high in 2022, surpassing the previous record set in 2021. The four highest OHCs have all occurred in the last four years (2019-2022). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Speaking of heat - 56 and sunny at 1:45 pm on January 28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 On 1/27/2023 at 10:37 AM, ChescoWx said: Seasonal Snow totals for Western Chester County PA from 1888 through 2022 - average seasonal snowfall = 36" This deserves a bump….. Lots of well below normal snow years that happened several decades ago. What happened in 1900, 1919 & 1931 to cause those terrible snow years? We just had an above normal snow year at MDT in 2021….. Up & down snow years are nothing new… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 Speaking of snow… The 12z GFS gave us a chance at a light event on Thursday am by pushing one of the weak waves just far enough north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 Also, The 12z GFS is bringing back the more significant storm potential for next Sunday. This run is front end thump of snow especially for the western half of CTP, but the potential is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 25 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Also, The 12z GFS is bringing back the more significant storm potential for next Sunday. This run is front end thump of snow especially for the western half of CTP, but the potential is there. Me no like right now but 8 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 38 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This deserves a bump….. Lots of well below normal snow years that happened several decades ago. What happened in 1900, 1919 & 1931 to cause those terrible snow years? We just had an above normal snow year at MDT in 2021….. Up & down snow years are nothing new… The below clearly shows the up and down decades since the 1890's 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 This deserves a bump….. Lots of well below normal snow years that happened several decades ago. What happened in 1900, 1919 & 1931 to cause those terrible snow years? We just had an above normal snow year at MDT in 2021….. Up & down snow years are nothing new…I know we’re all complaining about no snow, but that is really not a great indicator of climate change. My comment was more to show the irrefutable evidence that the ocean is way warmer than it used to be and to think that has no effect on climate is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Also, The 12z GFS is bringing back the more significant storm potential for next Sunday. This run is front end thump of snow especially for the western half of CTP, but the potential is there. they always push the snows and cold further back and we look at them. saying its only a week away 2 days later it shows a app or lake cutter and its 50 and rain vs 25 and snow or a mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Mostly sunny and 56. Walked today in a tee shirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 47 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: The below clearly shows the up and down decades since the 1890's Snow is one thing, temps are another. Temp records clearly show warming in more recent times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Mostly sunny and 56. Walked today in a tee shirt. Got to 58 here but down to 54 now as clouds have moved in. Could end up with 3 days in a row of 50+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 56 minutes ago, paweather said: Me no like right now but 8 days away Me like snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Had the kids at the park today. If not for the wind it would have been a perfect March day. I’ll dive in more on the snow chances come Monday. Y’all enjoy championship Sunday. Cheers. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 24 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Me like snow! Not washed away to rain lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 28, 2023 Author Share Posted January 28, 2023 12z NAM says we have a chance at some Winter weather on Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 57 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Mostly sunny and 56. Walked today in a tee shirt. Shorts and a LL Bean fleece for me but the fleece came off abut 15 minutes in to a lightweight long sleeve T. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 That is not as bad as the 30 year punt seen on the MA forum. 2011 to now for them was like giving a drug addict a speedball then taunting him each year while never deliveringSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 The below clearly shows the up and down decades since the 1890's1960s - 31"Harrisburg averaged almost 48" during that decadeSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birdbean Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 The snow is all out west this year as record amounts in CA, AZ and UT. I’m happy I at least was able to experience over a foot in October in Park City UT, Jackson WY and West Yellowstone MT when visiting. Happy for them as heavy precip is putting a serious dent in their drought. Salt Lake had been bone dry when we were out. https://thepointsguy.com/news/california-epic-winter-skiing/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Wow!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Wow!!!!??Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Got to 58 here but down to 54 now as clouds have moved in. Could end up with 3 days in a row of 50+ Thing is, it's not dropping all that quickly with nightfall. Still 47 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Thing is, it's not dropping all that quickly with nightfall. Still 47 here now. Looks like about 43 my way. I have been reduced to one of those bird thermometers you stick to your window. It’s a sad state of affairs over here haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 16 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Thing is, it's not dropping all that quickly with nightfall. Still 47 here now. In the world of modelology, some will not break freezing again until Wed AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 40 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: ?? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Sorry sports LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 This is getting beyond ridiculous. Nearly 75% of the days since November 1st have been below normal, and there's no end in sight...ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 21 minutes ago, Voyager said: This is getting beyond ridiculous. Nearly 75% of the days since November 1st have been below normal, and there's no end in sight...ugh. You could be back here getting a tan these days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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