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Central PA Winter 2022/2023


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I remember. My records show that I received 5.75" of rain. Unlike Lee when I was literally in the bullseye, with Eloise the heaviest was west of me in Lanco.
Im surprised how similar they were.


Heres all pa reporting stations for both eloise and lee made a pivot table on each for easier viewing

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSG3cq2VZXT6ZDKcs1SmfMIFLDGUInqyjqY7qfBP6XT0w2rfGisgyfs_Jt_EV_Qy_5LZXMOcve8P4f0/pubhtml

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vRr_IA1TY1XxnPd_SOHaGoxNb0-iCjE2QEFbgDfy1C22aycfduX9xHUMSTswPxvN30QrIRL3xOQtb7U/pubhtmlb5342424de90cf9c199721f046c1c1dd.jpg

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

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Interesting signal on the 3 major ensembles through the end of their 15 or 16 day runs.

I look at these snow maps every day to just monitor the trends. I have not seen this look at any point this season!

The southern extent of the “blue” on the snow maps on each of the 3 major ensembles reaches well to the south in VA and into northern NC on the Canadian.

The amounts over CTP are not prolific, but I think it’s a great signal seeing the “blue” so far south. Most days this season, the blue has not made it to the MD line & the better looks maybe had the blue getting to near DC. 
Again, seeing the blue this far south is a great signal to me that we are in the game for the next 2 weeks or so.

0298BC6E-522D-45FA-9E7C-3AD62A1EA0B9.png

D8FECD6D-B3A4-48BC-A665-D5C70561A706.png

7F3BAF6E-72DD-4E64-95C3-06DAFE1156E4.png

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CTP seems confident with the first chance for next week.

Tuesday Night
Rain, snow, and freezing rain likely, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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8 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

CTP seems confident with the first chance for next week.

Tuesday Night
Rain, snow, and freezing rain likely, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Temps look slightly better for Tamaqua. Whatever accumulates should at least stick around and not be washed away by rain and warming temps as Thursday looks to be cold...

Tuesday Night
A chance of snow and freezing rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday
A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 35. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 20.
Thursday
Partly sunny, with a high near 28.
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42 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Head Fake ,cut, slide ,dip, , cut, slide , slip, dip , head fake, upper cut , stiff jab below the belt, bite to the ear.  The Real Deal Blizz93 Holyfield  wont quit . We belive in you. Bring home the Belt !!!

Your post sounds like commentary from the mid 80's arcade game called Punch Out.  I wasted a lot of $$$ at the Carlisle MJ Mall on it. 

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31 minutes ago, anotherman said:

I think the clouds are due to the heavy Pacific influence this winter.  When you have that Canadian arctic air (which we've barely had) it is associated with high pressure which equals less clouds.  

I can remember totally sunny days in January but I also remember them as cold also.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
845 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

PAZ026>028-035-036-050-056-063-064-271445-
Perry PA-Fulton PA-Adams PA-Franklin PA-Cumberland PA-Juniata PA-
Huntingdon PA-Mifflin PA-Snyder PA-
845 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF
PERRY...FULTON...ADAMS... FRANKLIN...CUMBERLAND...JUNIATA...
HUNTINGDON...MIFFLIN...AND SNYDER COUNTIES...

HAZARDS...Snow which can reduce visibility below one mile.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 843 AM EST, a large area of snow showers
was along a line extending from near Lewistown to 20 miles northwest
of Carlisle to Greencastle and moving east at 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Chambersburg, Carlisle, Waynesboro, Lewistown, Gettysburg,
Shippensburg, Greencastle, Guilford, Plainfield, St. Thomas,
Schlusser, Carroll Valley, Boiling Springs, Fayetteville, Wayne
Heights, Mount Union, Burnham, Mount Holly Springs, Belleville and
Mont Alto.

This includes the following Interstates...
 The Pennsylvania Turnpike from mile markers 177 to 230.
 Interstate 81 from mile markers 3 to 54.

SAFETY INFO... Use extra caution when traveling through this area as
changes in visibility and road conditions will be encountered. Slow
down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

&&

LAT...LON 3982 7802 4011 7800 4039 7805 4073 7785
      4068 7768 4070 7771 4073 7768 4086 7707
      4026 7707 3972 7728 3972 7755
TIME...MOT...LOC 1343Z 285DEG 17KT 4073 7764 4036 7752 3983 7772
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2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
845 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

PAZ026>028-035-036-050-056-063-064-271445-
Perry PA-Fulton PA-Adams PA-Franklin PA-Cumberland PA-Juniata PA-
Huntingdon PA-Mifflin PA-Snyder PA-
845 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF
PERRY...FULTON...ADAMS... FRANKLIN...CUMBERLAND...JUNIATA...
HUNTINGDON...MIFFLIN...AND SNYDER COUNTIES...

HAZARDS...Snow which can reduce visibility below one mile.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 843 AM EST, a large area of snow showers
was along a line extending from near Lewistown to 20 miles northwest
of Carlisle to Greencastle and moving east at 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Chambersburg, Carlisle, Waynesboro, Lewistown, Gettysburg,
Shippensburg, Greencastle, Guilford, Plainfield, St. Thomas,
Schlusser, Carroll Valley, Boiling Springs, Fayetteville, Wayne
Heights, Mount Union, Burnham, Mount Holly Springs, Belleville and
Mont Alto.

This includes the following Interstates...
 The Pennsylvania Turnpike from mile markers 177 to 230.
 Interstate 81 from mile markers 3 to 54.

SAFETY INFO... Use extra caution when traveling through this area as
changes in visibility and road conditions will be encountered. Slow
down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

&&

LAT...LON 3982 7802 4011 7800 4039 7805 4073 7785
      4068 7768 4070 7771 4073 7768 4086 7707
      4026 7707 3972 7728 3972 7755
TIME...MOT...LOC 1343Z 285DEG 17KT 4073 7764 4036 7752 3983 7772

Nothing like surprise snow

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MJS alluded to this the other day, but MDT now stands at a 39.7 degree average for January.  A Canderson fav 8.8 AN. After today there are 3 days forecast where MDT may get near or up to 50 and stay above or near freezing at night so tying or beating the number two of 39.8 in 1950 is still in play.  January 31 may save it from happening though.  MDT has only averaged 39 or over, in Jan, 3 times since records have been kept.   One would have to be at least 73 to have been alive during the last one. 

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20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

MJS alluded to this the other day, but MDT now stands at a 39.7 degree average for January.  A Canderson fav 8.8 AN. After today there are 3 days forecast where MDT may get near or up to 50 and stay above freezing at night so tying or beating the number two of 39.8 in 1950 is still in play.  January 31 may save it from happening though.  MDT has only averaged 39 or over in Jan 3 times since records have been kept.   One would have to be 73 to have been alive during the last one. 

My avg. So far:

 

 

Screenshot_20230127-092508_Ambient Weather.jpg

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42 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
845 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

PAZ026>028-035-036-050-056-063-064-271445-
Perry PA-Fulton PA-Adams PA-Franklin PA-Cumberland PA-Juniata PA-
Huntingdon PA-Mifflin PA-Snyder PA-
845 AM EST Fri Jan 27 2023

...AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF
PERRY...FULTON...ADAMS... FRANKLIN...CUMBERLAND...JUNIATA...
HUNTINGDON...MIFFLIN...AND SNYDER COUNTIES...

HAZARDS...Snow which can reduce visibility below one mile.

LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 843 AM EST, a large area of snow showers
was along a line extending from near Lewistown to 20 miles northwest
of Carlisle to Greencastle and moving east at 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Chambersburg, Carlisle, Waynesboro, Lewistown, Gettysburg,
Shippensburg, Greencastle, Guilford, Plainfield, St. Thomas,
Schlusser, Carroll Valley, Boiling Springs, Fayetteville, Wayne
Heights, Mount Union, Burnham, Mount Holly Springs, Belleville and
Mont Alto.

This includes the following Interstates...
 The Pennsylvania Turnpike from mile markers 177 to 230.
 Interstate 81 from mile markers 3 to 54.

SAFETY INFO... Use extra caution when traveling through this area as
changes in visibility and road conditions will be encountered. Slow
down and allow extra time to reach your destination.

&&

LAT...LON 3982 7802 4011 7800 4039 7805 4073 7785
      4068 7768 4070 7771 4073 7768 4086 7707
      4026 7707 3972 7728 3972 7755
TIME...MOT...LOC 1343Z 285DEG 17KT 4073 7764 4036 7752 3983 7772

MU responds:

A few light #snow showers are moving across northern parts of the Lower Susquehanna Valley this morning, & a quick coating is possible on non-paved surfaces. Otherwise, today will just be mostly cloudy & seasonably chilly (highs near 40°F) with a 10-15 mph westerly breeze.

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12 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

MU responds:

A few light #snow showers are moving across northern parts of the Lower Susquehanna Valley this morning, & a quick coating is possible on non-paved surfaces. Otherwise, today will just be mostly cloudy & seasonably chilly (highs near 40°F) with a 10-15 mph westerly breeze.

I was surprised to see the highs on the meso's for Sat-Mon.   RGEM has Mid 50's for the LSV on Mon.   That is why I looked at the MDT numbers and thought #2 may still be in play.   Might as well get something to remember this torch by. 

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12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I was surprised to see the highs on the meso's for Sat-Mon.   RGEM has Mid 50's for the LSV on Mon.   That is why I looked at the MDT numbers and thought #2 may still be in play.   Might as well get something to remember this torch by. 

CTP has me near 50 for that time period. I'd imagine any if any of those days feature more sun that forecast, 50 should be a lock.

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Today will be a near normal day today with highs in the mid to upper 30's. The weekend looks mostly cloudy with a slight chance of some showers on Sunday night (Go Birds!) It looks like we will start off February with below normal temperatures and maybe a couple shots at some snow....but the way this season has gone I would not hold my breath for snow!
The record high for today is 71 degrees from 1916. Our record low is 2 below zero from 1987. Daily precipitation record is 1.46" from 1990. The daily snow mark is the 6.5" that fell today in 1941.
image.png.da53fc67290134d0916c41df9474f9a3.png
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