pasnownut Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Newman said: Def moderate snow here. Meso models fail, should've known better myself While they struggled with this event, they nailed one earlier this season, so I'd say the takeaway is that models are just that...models, and we use accordingly and blend our own logic/consensus and go from there knowing bias/variables/tendencies thereof. That IS part of the fun of this sport. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 at 1030 stopped into the mall to grab a few things no snow. came out 15 mins later to light snow on the drive home for a early lunch white out almost went to dry pavement to covered in 10 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Carrolls Tract New band just popped up, great rates moving over us again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 it honestly felt like a lake effect band how fast and hard it came in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Looks like a nice event for you guys! State College looks like a snow globe on the webcams. CC on radar looks like the mix will stay west of the Allegheny Ridge until it’s over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: New band just popped up, great rates moving over us again. When I talked to NWS they said 5” seemed likely this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 While they struggled with this event, they nailed one earlier this season, so I'd say the takeaway is that models are just that...models, and we use accordingly and blend our own logic/consensus and go from there knowing bias/variables/tendencies thereof. That IS part of the fun of this sport. Dare I say the GFS won this round? It locked in and never wavered for the last couple days. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 GFS and Euro for the win! Mod snow 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 And just like that the snow has stopped. It's not raining either, so maybe just a dry pocket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 @Mount Joy Snowman - Chickies is a mess. I'm watching Penn Dot going up and down treating it, but the rates over the past 30 minutes or so was outdoing their efforts. Snow has come down to moderate intensity now for sure, so hopefully they can catch up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, paweather said: GFS and Euro for the win! Mod snow 1" GFS for sure if Cashtown’s saying he has almost 4”. That was about the only model that was consistently showing that kind of snow that far into the LSV while keeping the widespread advisory totals in the rest of central PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: GFS for sure if Cashtown’s saying he has almost 4”. That was about the only model that was consistently showing that kind of snow that far into the LSV while keeping the widespread advisory totals in the rest of central PA. I got a quick 2 inches first hour. it slowed up a bit but still coming down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 We have started some light snow again. Temp up to 33. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 SN+ in grays woods/port Matilda. (Greater State College) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: We have started some light snow again. Temp up to 33. The roads are incredibly bad in some spots around my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Between 1/2 - 1" in Columbia...definitely shy of 1" though. Snow is light to moderate but doesn't seem to be accumulating much. Roads are improving quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: The roads are incredibly bad in some spots around my neck of the woods. They are definitely covered here. it came down fast for a good 45 min here. I think we missed a band that may have been better directed east of us. And like I said, the sleet. I think @Chris78 had similar totals as me. I do not use a snow board so not a professional measurement but about 1 1/2". Not 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: They are definitely covered here. it came down fast for a good 45 min here. I think we missed a band that may have been better directed east of us. And like I said, the sleet. I think @Chris78 had similar totals as me. I do not use a snow board so not a professional measurement but about 1 1/2". Not 2" Over 2” in CV/Fairfield via the mrs and yeah it's interesting to see some other spots with the jack this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 At 12:00pm here in Carlisle, the very heavy snow for most of the past hour has tapered down to just light. The temp has risen to 32.5 degrees. During the past hour, 1.5" of new snow has fallen bringing the storm total thus far to 2.3". The average snowfall rate of the past hour has been 1.5" / hour which consisted of a rate of 2.4"/hr during the first 15 minutes between 11:00 and 11:15am. Overall, exceeding 2" with the grass totally covered makes this a "win" regardless of the final outcome. With the temp slightly above freezing now it will be harder/slower to accumulate as we are also at the peak sun angle of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Between 1/2 - 1" in Columbia...definitely shy of 1" though. Snow is light to moderate but doesn't seem to be accumulating much. Roads are improving quickly. Yep went from heavy to mod snow here. 441 over Chickies always is bad at the onset of heavy snow burst like we had. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, DDweatherman said: Over 2” in CV/Fairfield via the mrs and yeah it's interesting to see some other spots with the jack this time. Sometimes I am in a prime spot. There was one last year (I think) where I got over 20" and Cashtown was nowhere near that total despite being so close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Sometimes I am in a prime spot. There was one last year (I think) where I got over 20" and Cashtown was nowhere near that total despite being so close. I think you’re talking about the storm 2 years ago? Haha we didn’t have that last year, but Thurmont up to you got 20” while Westminster got like 8 and Fairfield maybe 12-14” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 28 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Dare I say the GFS won this round? It locked in and never wavered for the last couple days. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Dare I say I agree. It has done pretty well wrt how this has unfolded. That's good, cause the 12z says, lots more model watching to come in the next couple weeks. Not a fabulous look, but enough cold and storms looming that we should be able to have a couple more chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Anyone have any good obs/pics out of Harrisburg? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Still mod to heavy snow. 30.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: I think you’re talking about the storm 2 years ago? Haha we didn’t have that last year, but Thurmont up to you got 20” while Westminster got like 8 and Fairfield maybe 12-14” Yes, I was losing track. Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Still mod snow in Etown. Closing in on 1.5. NWS said 1-2 so nice job. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 I'm ready when is our next chance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, paweather said: I'm ready when is our next chance? Easy there Ji... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yes, I was losing track. Ha. It’s dumping right now, all snow as well. 1”/hr stuff just think, if it did this until tonight we’d have a lot of snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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