Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Hard to remember a summer in the last 5 where the LSV has not had at least D0 or D1. Fortunately, not severe recently. Since July, MDT has been below norms qpf wise 5 out of 6 months (all except Dec) and they are below in Jan right now though I suspect they may catch up in the next week. They finished the second half of 2022 at a 4.5" deficit. That was coming off a great Spring so not a big deal, but it feels like it has rained a lot lately and really has not. Lol, that’s why I said to keep the permanent drought watch…. I’m planning on no mowing & dead grass this year! Less yard work is a win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Hard to remember a summer in the last 5 where the LSV has not had at least D0 or D1. Fortunately, not severe recently. Since July, MDT has been below norms qpf wise 5 out of 6 months (all except Dec) and they are below in Jan right now though I suspect they may catch up in the next week. They finished the second half of 2022 at a 4.5" deficit. That was coming off a great Spring so not a big deal, but it feels like it has rained a lot lately and really has not. Lol, that’s why I said to keep the permanent drought watch…. I’m planning on no mowing & dead grass this year! Less yard work is a win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Also, an 80 degree day in March & April is very rare in PA. MDT has reached 80 every April since 2010 except 2 years and one of those 2 they reached 79 twice in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Hard to remember a summer in the last 5 where the LSV has not had at least D0 or D1. Fortunately, not severe recently. Since July, MDT has been below norms qpf wise 5 out of 6 months (all except Dec) and they are below in Jan right now though I suspect they may catch up in the next week. They finished the second half of 2022 at a 4.5" deficit. That was coming off a great Spring so not a big deal, but it feels like it has rained a lot lately and really has not. Lol, that’s why I said to keep the permanent drought watch…. I’m planning on no mowing & dead grass this year! Less yard work is a win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: MDT has reached 80 every April since 2010 except 2 years and one of those 2 they reached 79 twice in the month. Ok, maybe late April we get a few low 80s every so often, but certainly 80 is well above average for any date in April. 80 in March like that guy just posted is super rare! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Also, an 80 degree day in March & April is very rare in PA. What?!?!? April routinely reaches the 80s...and there have been some 90s as well. I need to check my notes but there was an Easter back in the 80s when I recorded a high of 94. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: What?!?!? April routinely reaches the 80s...and there have been some 90s as well. I need to check my notes but there was an Easter back in the 80s when I recorded a high of 94. Yes, it can happen, but it’s well above average when it does, especially in early to mid April, & absolutely in March, 80 is super rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, it can happen, but it’s well above average when it does, especially in early to mid April, & absolutely in March, 80 is super rare. I was not trying to pick on you but felt like you were being hard on the Albedoman. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 Anyway, someone should contact CTP to have that Drought Watch reposted!!! Lol, we have resorted to drought & torch talk on January 21st!!! I am going to track down some snow for us! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I was not trying to pick on you but felt like you were being hard on the Albedoman. It’s all good, but his post was questionable on many fronts in my opinion… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, it can happen, but it’s well above average when it does, especially in early to mid April, & absolutely in March, 80 is super rare. Good point. I shouldn't have used the word routinely. I'm sorry for getting cranky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Good point. I shouldn't have used the word routinely. I'm sorry for getting cranky. Same here, sorry if I was cranky as well… I’m just frustrated with this Winter. I’m just being sarcastic with my drought comments and just joking around on a Friday night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 12 hours ago, pasnownut said: thanks for confirming..... we were wondering where you stood your very welcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 5 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is the combined 18z storm snow total for both events through Thursday am. This looks a lot like the 1994 type of storm gradient that was mentioned by @psuhoffman recently. I wish my forecast earlier was snow changing to rain maybe a inch or 2. that same local forecast now rose the temps up 5 to 42 and now a cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 April is def shorts weather for part of it. It can get humid and warm fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 The 0z RGEM looks decent for the Sunday event and even brings a couple of inches to parts of the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 The 0z ICON has some decent front end snow for us on Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 in this pattern, it is very possible for 80+ degree days in April as evident in 2002 April 2002 Allentown Weather Day High (°F) Low (°F) Precip. (inches) Snow (inches) April 1 56 37 0.01 0.0 April 2 63 31 0.00 0.0 April 3 68 37 0.18 0.0 April 4 50 30 0.00 0.0 April 5 43 26 0.00 0.0 April 6 44 27 0.00 0.0 April 7 50 21 0.00 0.0 April 8 62 35 0.01 0.0 April 9 72 54 0.33 0.0 April 10 64 43 0.01 0.0 April 11 64 37 0.00 0.0 April 12 55 34 0.07 0.0 April 13 70 54 0.05 0.0 April 14 76 53 0.84 0.0 April 15 77 59 0.23 0.0 April 16 89 57 0.00 0.0 April 17 91 60 0.00 0.0 April 18 87 61 0.00 0.0 April 19 87 59 0.19 0.0 April 20 68 45 0.01 0.0 April 21 54 44 0.03 0.0 April 22 55 39 0.12 0.0 April 23 55 36 0.00 0.0 April 24 60 30 0.00 0.0 April 25 54 37 0.33 0.0 April 26 59 34 0.00 0.0 April 27 61 31 0.08 0.0 April 28 59 46 1.13 0.0 April 29 57 41 0.01 0.0 April 30 59 34 0.20 0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, Albedoman said: in this pattern, it is very possible for 80+ degree days in April as evident in 2002 April 2002 Allentown Weather Day High (°F) Low (°F) Precip. (inches) Snow (inches) April 1 56 37 0.01 0.0 April 2 63 31 0.00 0.0 April 3 68 37 0.18 0.0 April 4 50 30 0.00 0.0 April 5 43 26 0.00 0.0 April 6 44 27 0.00 0.0 April 7 50 21 0.00 0.0 April 8 62 35 0.01 0.0 April 9 72 54 0.33 0.0 April 10 64 43 0.01 0.0 April 11 64 37 0.00 0.0 April 12 55 34 0.07 0.0 April 13 70 54 0.05 0.0 April 14 76 53 0.84 0.0 April 15 77 59 0.23 0.0 April 16 89 57 0.00 0.0 April 17 91 60 0.00 0.0 April 18 87 61 0.00 0.0 April 19 87 59 0.19 0.0 April 20 68 45 0.01 0.0 April 21 54 44 0.03 0.0 April 22 55 39 0.12 0.0 April 23 55 36 0.00 0.0 April 24 60 30 0.00 0.0 April 25 54 37 0.33 0.0 April 26 59 34 0.00 0.0 April 27 61 31 0.08 0.0 April 28 59 46 1.13 0.0 April 29 57 41 0.01 0.0 April 30 59 34 0.20 0.0 I’m seeing 4 days over 80 on here in mid April. 8 out of the last 10 days of the month stayed in the 50s with almost 2 inches of rain… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 Back to snow tracking….in January… The 0z GFS has a very nice front end thump of snow on Wednesday for all of CTP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Back to snow tracking….in January… The 0z GFS has a very nice front end thump of snow on Wednesday for all of CTP Nice to see the Highs showing up to our north funneling in cold enough air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Nice to see the Highs showing up to our north funneling in cold enough air. Here is the 0z GFS snow map- just for the Wednesday event time period. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 Warning level snow for MDT this GFS run! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 16 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is the 0z GFS snow map- just for the Wednesday event time period. how in the hell can I believe this snow map when a penile looking amount of accumulation is depicted in the middle of the Adirondacks? These models are becoming hilarious in their own mind. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 Overnight runs scaled back The “Church” Sunday storm, but still give MDst around 1 inch of snow, with more to the north & west. This is the 6z GFS & 0z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 For Wednesday, the 0z Euro has a good front end thump of snow for all of CTP, including the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 Here is the 0z Euro Wednesday snow map for this storm 24 hr period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 6 hours ago, Albedoman said: how in the hell can I believe this snow map when a penile looking amount of accumulation is depicted in the middle of the Adirondacks? These models are becoming hilarious in their own mind. LOL The Great Peter North Storm of 23. I would take it , you can believe that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 The 6z GFS still looks great for the Wednesday front end thump of snow for all of CTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 6z GFS still looks great for the Wednesday front end thump of snow for all of CTP. High pressure in southern Canada seems to stick around longer this 6z GFS run, which helps to pull the snow line even further south into MD. The “blue” now gets into northern MD this run, which @Itstrainingtime likes to see, which gives us some cushion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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