pasnownut Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, GrandmasterB said: My extremely low bar of 1” looking like it won’t happen around my area. Just a crazy poor winter! yeah....I smell rats.....lots and lots of rats. Still time for a second half comeback, but man Mo nature needs on hell uv a pep talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 and my distaste for the weekend is still LSV centric....not for the true central/northers. I really came into this weekend deal a bit skeptical and thinking its a bit early for us down here. Looks like that concern may verify. Yall enjoy every friggin flake. With some luck you get snow on snow in the next couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 7 minutes ago, pasnownut said: yeah....I smell rats.....lots and lots of rats. Still time for a second half comeback, but man Mo nature needs on hell uv a pep talk. Thank you for all of your input / comments this week. I enjoy hearing about teleconnections and the indexes. So, when you aren't out frolicking in the snow, feel free to drop in and give us your thoughts! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 At this point I am assuming we will be shut out. If something happens, then I will be pleasantly surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 41 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: You got the WS-5000 station right? No, I'm just talking about my trusty manual cylinder gauge; the one used by all the Cocorahs folks. I do have a very nice weather station (not even sure of the make/model) that my wife's father got me years ago that I need to set up as well, but man, it's just been tough finding time to do anything with moving into a new house and having a baby and a toddler. One of these days..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 5 minutes ago, anotherman said: At this point I am assuming we will be shut out. If something happens, then I will be pleasantly surprised. And before Blizz comes in a says it's not a shut out, in southern York and Lancaster counties it has been so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Today, Lancaster (MU) will tie the all-time record for the latest measurable snowfall in any season. Records go back to 1926, and the previous latest snowfall was January 21, 2007. Tomorrow, new history for the books in Lanco! Yay us! Edit: The existing record for Lanco is 1/21/2007. so tomorrow we'll tie the record. Funny you bring this up, as I've been working on a detailed study of MU's entire POR snowfall data for quite some time. I pretty much have it all wrapped up and will post the results sometime soon, thinking Monday or Tuesday. I think you guys will enjoy it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, anotherman said: And before Blizz comes in a says it's not a shut out, in southern York and Lancaster counties it has been so far. No measurable snow here at work (Conestoga) this season so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: Funny you bring this up, as I've been working on a detailed study of MU's entire POR snowfall data for quite some time. I pretty much have it all wrapped up and will post the results sometime soon, thinking Monday or Tuesday. I think you guys will enjoy it. I can't wait. Thanks in advance for doing it. God I love data... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, anotherman said: And before Blizz comes in a says it's not a shut out, in southern York and Lancaster counties it has been so far. It's not a shutout! I'm at .1" for the season! *shouts the guy from west-central Lanc. Co.* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 12z Icon with a low over Erie next Wednesday that still manages to snow on all of PA except the extreme western counties and SE of I81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 12z Icon with a low over Erie next Wednesday that still manages to snow on all of PA except the extreme western counties and SE of I81. And a Low off the coast on Sunday with rain in mid January, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 With all this January (and upcoming Jan/Feb) rain, one good thing is the two month dry period in June and July won't hurt as much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, paweather said: And a Low off the coast on Sunday with rain in mid January, GFS did the same thing - couldn't ask for a better track. We rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, canderson said: With all this January (and upcoming Jan/Feb) rain, one good thing is the two month dry period in June and July won't hurt as much. Bingo. And that's why I've been appreciating each rain event we've had - it's good to get water in the ground now while we can. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 25 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Thank you for all of your input / comments this week. I enjoy hearing about teleconnections and the indexes. So, when you aren't out frolicking in the snow, feel free to drop in and give us your thoughts! Thanks man. I'm glad someone appreciates my input. I peeked mid week, and put a snippet out about concerns that we are looking at a window of opp and maybe not a prolonged period of favorable, but one thing w/ the tellies is that they too change weekly, and while this weeks concern for a closing window as we turn the calendar may look a bit better/worse next week. Hoping that as the window opens and cold gets a bit better established, that we can hold it here in the east for a spell. For now, i'm going to enjoy what is coming for the next week and hope that you/others get some love from above while things look more favorable for our region. Like I also stated earlier...even if we still lose, we'll be doing it a little different way (Pac reshuffle to more pronounce ridging). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 26 minutes ago, anotherman said: And before Blizz comes in a says it's not a shut out, in southern York and Lancaster counties it has been so far. Im northcentral Lanco, and you can add me to the zippo pile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 GFS rainstorm for Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 24 minutes ago, paweather said: GFS rainstorm for Wednesday. But at a little deeper look, it did trend notably better on front end. Not there yet (and not saying it will get there), but 540's came notably south at 120hr. Front end fun for northern 1/2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Dont look, but beyond mid next week..... the pattern looks decent. I know...doesnt it always? Gut says this SHOULD be legit period of fun. Happy almost weekend to all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Dont look, but beyond mid next week..... the pattern looks decent. I know...doesnt it always? Gut says this SHOULD be legit period of fun. Happy almost weekend to all. I agree I looked as well. It will change for sure. Happy Weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Dont look, but beyond mid next week..... the pattern looks decent. I know...doesnt it always? Gut says this SHOULD be legit period of fun. Happy almost weekend to all. 1 minute ago, paweather said: I agree I looked as well. It will change for sure. Happy Weekend! That certainly seems like our best chance for those us down this way. Have a pretty decent feeling about it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That certainly seems like our best chance for those us down this way. Have a pretty decent feeling about it. Was wondering why no one posted about the GFS Feb 3 threat. I figured it was failed digital blue syndrome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That certainly seems like our best chance for those us down this way. Have a pretty decent feeling about it. All Aboard!!! I am on the train with you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Was wondering why no one posted about the GFS Feb 3 threat. I figured it was failed digital blue syndrome. Need some lift when it hits the coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, paweather said: All Aboard!!! I am on the train with you. Church Train storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Was wondering why no one posted about the GFS Feb 3 threat. I figured it was failed digital blue syndrome. Weary after repeated potential storms that have all (or almost all) had the rug pulled out from under us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Church Train storm. Nice to see the two of them Konecny'd together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 FWIW - MU's Elliott seems to think that Wednesday has a decent chance of bringing Lanco it's first snow of the season: There won't be any snow at @millersvilleu through Sat. night, so the record for latest measurable snow in a #winter season (Jan. 21, 2007) will be broken! There's an outside chance (~15%) for measurable snow at the 'Ville Sun. PM, but the better chance comes late Tues. night/Wed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: FWIW - MU's Elliott seems to think that Wednesday has a decent chance of bringing Lanco it's first snow of the season: There won't be any snow at @millersvilleu through Sat. night, so the record for latest measurable snow in a #winter season (Jan. 21, 2007) will be broken! There's an outside chance (~15%) for measurable snow at the 'Ville Sun. PM, but the better chance comes late Tues. night/Wed. The Euro is rolling....let's see if it goes MU's way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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