Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The Icon moved toward the GFS/CMC etc with more prescence west of us. Starts off as rain over the LSV now. Note highlighted 540 giving away below. ICON is slower as well - precip doesn't move in until after dark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: ICON is slower as well - precip doesn't move in until after dark. That is a good point, defintely does seem to dictate a difference between solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, anotherman said: HAHAHA your pessimistic stance shouldnt be shelved yet. oy vey.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 is this a good time for.... its only the ICON..... or pick one.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: your pessimistic stance shouldnt be shelved yet. oy vey.. I just laughed because paweather said "it's all coming together" and then someone posted the ICON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, anotherman said: I just laughed because paweather said "it's all coming together" and then someone posted the ICON. I get ya. I saw that, and hence my comment upon seeing the ICON shart the perverbial bed...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 ICON sends the system on the 25th right up through... Indianapolis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 The Icon went from a dry N/W PA to the jackpot area up there albeit it a limited jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: ICON sends the system on the 25th right up through... Indianapolis. The Icon's gigantic jump from its previous several runs get it a quick 'I do not care" what it says for that storm. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: The Icon's gigantic jump from its previous several runs get it a quick 'I do not care" what it says for that storm. LOL Agreed - just posting what it was showing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Agreed - just posting what it was showing. Oh, sorry was just giving it to the Icon not to your post. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 GFS keeps hope alive for many as it continues its souther adjustments thermally as well as wrt SLP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 GFS continues the trend of a weaker system...I just don't think that weaker cuts it with marginal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 The problem in SW PA (Pitt area) is the primary. Every time one tracks toward our are, WAA wins out with cold rain. CAD to our east allows for central to some of southeastern Pa to receive more frozen. If you look at snow maps, you will notice a small portion of SW PA with very little in the form of snow. I've never understood why people from outside of the Pittsburgh area consider Pittsburgh to be part of the Mid-Atlantic and/or Northeast. Climatologically, Pittsburgh is probably closer to Kentucky than even Erie, State College, or Williamsport. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windycutter Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 well, mid-week system is cutting on GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windycutter Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Phasing in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 well, mid-week system is cutting on GFSThis is where the punter is starting to stretch out LOL.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Canadian with snow N&W of Harrisburg with rain SE of there. (Sunday storm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 I'm pretty convinced it won't snow for the LSV at all in any of these threats. The MA/East Coast needs a significant pattern change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 6 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: This is where the punter is starting to stretch out LOL. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Punter? This more like the Dallas kicker who just keeps missing. Just when you think this can't miss again boom it does. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 The Euro and the CMC started us down this path of hope....the GFS never really showed anything for the LSV (or not often, not 100% sure of my memory). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, canderson said: I'm pretty convinced it won't snow for the LSV at all in any of these threats. The MA/East Coast needs a significant pattern change. have faith my friend. The change you request is ongoing out west. Like I've been saying, its not a light switch and once the ridging gets established, it'll force trough into central/eastern US and SHOULD start showing better looks once this gets established. How long it sticks around is the bigger concern from what I'm seeing. May be short lived window, but thats way too far out for most of us weenies to fret about....yet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Icon, GFS, and now the Canadian send the storm on the 25th on a path that will make Iowans happy. That system looks like it's going to really wind up - if so, that might be what we need to shuffle the deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Punter? This more like the Dallas kicker who just keeps missing. Just when you think this can't miss again boom it does. Good news is he finished with a make. So with your logic, we're going to score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Good news is he finished with a make. So with your logic, we're going to score. We need to get to third down before talking about punting anyway. Significant storm wise reality is that we are still on second down at best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 9 minutes ago, pasnownut said: have faith my friend. The change you request is ongoing out west. Like I've been saying, its not a light switch and once the ridging gets established, it'll force trough into central/eastern US and SHOULD start showing better looks once this gets established. How long it sticks around is the bigger concern from what I'm seeing. May be short lived window, but thats way too far out for most of us weenies to fret about....yet. Yeah, I just don't see that happening in time for the next two storm opportunities. Think we have to wait until the turn of the month, but I'm an idiot who is skeptical of snow when the winter has been non-existant for like 92 percent of the US' population. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Elliott's thoughts: After one of the warmest first 18 days of #January on record, two storm systems bear watching for the first winter-weather threats of the month in south-central PA. The first comes Sunday afternoon through Monday morning w/the second slated for the middle of next week.. The exact track of each system will be critical in determining precip types, but the odds favor both being "snow-to-rain" or "plain rain" events in Lancaster County. With no high-latitude blocking in place, both systems will move quickly, limiting how much precip can fall.. Areas north of I-76 and west of I-81 have a better chance of receiving a slushy accumulation of snow from one or both systems, but it's too early to start discussing potential amounts. Any N/W shift in the storms' tracks would mean even less snow.. or thwart snow entirely.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Elliott's thoughts: After one of the warmest first 18 days of #January on record, two storm systems bear watching for the first winter-weather threats of the month in south-central PA. The first comes Sunday afternoon through Monday morning w/the second slated for the middle of next week.. The exact track of each system will be critical in determining precip types, but the odds favor both being "snow-to-rain" or "plain rain" events in Lancaster County. With no high-latitude blocking in place, both systems will move quickly, limiting how much precip can fall.. Areas north of I-76 and west of I-81 have a better chance of receiving a slushy accumulation of snow from one or both systems, but it's too early to start discussing potential amounts. Any N/W shift in the storms' tracks would mean even less snow.. or thwart snow entirely.. Thwart is a good a word for 12Z runs sans the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Early nooners: Rain and still 36°FSent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, Atomixwx said: Early nooners: Rain and still 36°F Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Light rain and 38 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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