Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, windycutter said: The problem in SW PA (Pitt area) is the primary. Every time one tracks toward our are, WAA wins out with cold rain. CAD to our east allows for central to some of southeastern Pa to receive more frozen. If you look at snow maps, you will notice a small portion of SW PA with very little in the form of snow. No doubt. I actually face a similar issue here. S/W winds mean any snow falling is limited unless the cold to start was very deep/extensive. But I totally get it, Pitt almost 100% needs the wind to not turn SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, windycutter said: The problem in SW PA (Pitt area) is the primary. Every time one tracks toward our are, WAA wins out with cold rain. CAD to our east allows for central to some of southeastern Pa to receive more frozen. If you look at snow maps, you will notice a small portion of SW PA with very little in the form of snow. If you change your name to windycoastalhugger you might see different results in your area. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Lack of cold air has been a killer this year. For you and me we may be able to get some slop over the next 7 days or so but it still doesn't look great. If I was farther up 81 into PA I'd be feeling alot better for the next few weeks. Yea, I just posted about that. If there is any push from a low going to our west, even if dying/transfering, you and I have a tough road until the transfer turns the flow away from the S/W. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Nam has two areas of low pressure at 66....one over the Fl Panhandle and one over Texarkana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 @81, primary Low is over the NC Outer Banks/Eastern NC. Light to Mod snow south of the M/D Line with a little bit poking into PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Nam looking good: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 @84 Nam I like!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Nam @ 84 is a hit for the LSV with Light to Mod all around. Less north of the LSV at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Nam @ 84 is a hit for the LSV with Light to Mod all around. Yeah it is the Nam at 84 but we hang onto something until the GFS run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Nam @ 84 is a hit for the LSV Snow/rain line rides I95/Delaware River from DC and points north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 NAM with a much colder thermal profile allowing snow to fall well south of any other model at this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Nam @ 84 is a hit for the LSV Indeed it is. Nothing like hanging our hats on the 84 hour NAM haha. Hey, it's happened before. I'm not throwing in the towel on anything at this point, while realizing the odds are against us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: NAM with a much colder thermal profile allowing snow to fall well south of any other model at this time. It never really pushes the inland entity north at all as the 540 line shows little sign of bowing up from a S/W component. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: Looking at the setup on the 6z NAM thermal profiles coupled w/ slp track/placement, I'm gonna hedge a bet and say its coming out swinging as it leads off the nooners. But thats extrapolating..... I'll "nice call" myself..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I'll "nice call" myself..... That is a good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: 36 and it's pouring. I don't think I've ever been so depressed about weather. If it's going to rain, can it at least be 50 degrees? And if it's not going to snow and be cold, can it at least be dry? If it's not going to snow, can it at least be warm? This being in Purgatory is actually being in Hell. I'm teetering on being ready for spring. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk at least all this rain should help with your Marijuana crops this year 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, paweather said: That is a good call. and if one were to further extrapolate.... 700's look fine 850's look fine (but would be getting close down here if we had 2 more panels to view) 2m temps decent and would likely lead to snowglobe stickage to everything kinda snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 CTP wants nothing to do with Sunday and really nothing for Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, paweather said: CTP wants nothing to do with Sunday and really nothing for Wednesday. CTP won't update the weekend until this afternoon's package. They'll finesse today's rain over the next several hours and will then turn their attention to the weekend thereafter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: CTP won't update the weekend until this afternoon's package. They'll finesse today's rain over the next several hours and will then turn their attention to the weekend thereafter. Yeah agree. Let's see what the GFS does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: CTP won't update the weekend until this afternoon's package. They'll finesse today's rain over the next several hours and will then turn their attention to the weekend thereafter. probably wait until Saturday morning maybe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, paweather said: That is a good call. its just funny how some make calls and get ignored, but when others "make the call" the likes are almost instantaneous "likes". I dont post for likes, but its merely an observation that makes me (and I'm sure others) chuckle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, paweather said: Yeah agree. Let's see what the GFS does. I If you want to believe the little to no inland push scenario on the nam, the icon is the leader (IMO) there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: If you want to believe the little to no inland push scenario on the nam, the icon is the leader (IMO) there. It is starting to come together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, paweather said: CTP wants nothing to do with Sunday and really nothing for Wednesday. I'd bet tomorrow earliest...assuming things hold together today. Even though the track is looking favorable, the temps are a concern for us LSV'rs and for next week....thats WAY to far out with lots of time to see where things go after the Churchgoersuntie event IMO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 15 minutes ago, sauss06 said: probably wait until Saturday morning maybe Hey....we(well you anyway) may finally need to make a beer run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 NAM came out swinging. ICON coming in hot....like thermally hot. notable changes at 78 Where did I put that ledge...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 18 minutes ago, paweather said: It is starting to come together. The Icon moved toward the GFS/CMC etc with more prescence west of us. Starts off as rain or slop over the LSV now. Note highlighted 540 giving away below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The Icon moved toward the GFS/CMC etc with more prescence west of us. Starts off as rain over the LSV now. Note highlighted 540 giving away below. HAHAHA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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