Jns2183 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Here is a super geeky report. I read it was a thunderstorm. http://www.appliedweatherassociates.com/uploads/1/3/8/1/13810758/smethport-asdso_paper-final.pdfIf i am reading this correctly they had 34" in 5 hours and according to stream gauges significantly more falling just east of town in the mountains. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: If i am reading this correctly they had 34" in 5 hours and according to stream gauges significantly more falling just east of town in the mountains. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Their conclusion suggests it could have happened but "not sure" as there was a high degree of spatial variability (different but closely related locations had very different results.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 23 minutes ago, paweather said: WOW! This is 100 no need to change locked in The actual snow map (why am I even talking about stupid snow maps, but I digress) is much less than that...though still impressive. There is a lot of mixed precip in that storm that is not snow but is counted in those maps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: You mention USV and I was corrected on that earlier this year so curious what you guys call the USV? Apparently the USV is actually in NY per a NY'er that corrected me. I never knew that, but I think my view was PA specific. Interesting! I have never truly lived in Danville, as my parents moved here after I was an adult. They've been in this area 19 years. I always remember WGAL when I was growing up in the 80s and 90s in the LSV referring to this area up here as the "Upper Susquehanna Valley" when discussing winter storms and referring to their snowfall maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Interesting! I have never truly lived in Danville, as my parents moved here after I was an adult. They've been in this area 19 years. I always remember WGAL when I was growing up in the 80s and 90s in the LSV referring to this area up here as the "Upper Susquehanna Valley" when discussing winter storms and referring to their snowfall maps. Yep, basically the same here until one of your NY brethren corrected me. That one map I posted suggested Williamsport was not actually in the main Susquehanna Valley at all. But, like @Itstrainingtime said if the local NWS uses their own designation maybe there is more than one interpretation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yep, basically the same here until one of your NY brethren corrected me. That one map I posted suggested Williamsport was not actually in the main Susquehanna Valley at all. But, like @Itstrainingtime said if the local NWS uses their own designation maybe there is more than one interpretation. Yeah, obviously there are different interpretations. Williamsport is sort of in its own little world. The Scranton stations include them in their news and weather reports, but they're sort of far over from there. It sort of gets "semi-included" in the newscasts out of Harrisburg, Scranton, and Elmira. I would almost consider them more a part of the Corning/Elmira/Mansfield area. But considering it is located ALONG the West Branch of the Susquehanna, it's ridiculous that some think it is not part of the Susquehanna River Valley. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 12Z Euro has a nice snow for the Northern 1/3 of PA early next week as cutter gets blocked East. Boston is drilled. It does have the March 3rd system just south of PA but not impressive and mostly wet for PA this run. A cutter on the 4th and 5th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Id be happy with 1/2" of ice accretion at this pointSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Ill always remeber the mid atlantic forum from 2010. They seemed to take more glee that supression killed the srorms for boston and NYC as they did from the storms themselvesSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Id be happy with 1/2" of ice accretion at this point Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Beat back the weeds and bugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Just now, Jns2183 said: Ill always remeber the mid atlantic forum from 2010. They seemed to take more glee that supression killed the srorms for boston and NYC as they did from the storms themselves Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk When we were all one forum, just Northeast which included Richmond to Maine, it was ugly. There was a subset of people who tried to talk about everyone but for the most part it was people talking to others in their area but on a wide-open forum so it led to lots of angst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 18Z GFS is a lot more interesting for Tue. LSV is still not golden but northern half of PA has a full scale winter storm on their hands. Bostonians are probably getting amped up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 The 18Z GFS March 3/4th storm is a winter all wrapped up in a couple days for the northern 2/3 of PA. Close to 30" for some including Voyagers house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 The 18Z GFS March 3/4th storm is a winter all wrapped up in a couple days for the northern 2/3 of PA. Close to 30" for some including Voyagers house. 1/3 that id be happySent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 30-40 mph winds Thursday night and all day Friday, most of Sunday, and Monday night through all day Tuesday. Super. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 22, 2023 Author Share Posted February 22, 2023 21 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The 18Z GFS March 3/4th storm is a winter all wrapped up in a couple days for the northern 2/3 of PA. Close to 30" for some including Voyagers house. Hopefully this is the one that finally gets it done! The blocking is in place by this point. What a long duration Winter storm. Verbatim this run for southern PA is snow to mix back to heavy snow. It starts next Friday am & does not end until eating afternoon next Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 22, 2023 Author Share Posted February 22, 2023 Here is the snow map for just the period of the March 3rd/4th snow on the Happy Hour GFS. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is the snow map for just the period of the March 3rd/4th snow on the Happy Hour GFS. Good example of why I said upper 2/3's of PA. Rou and ITT do not get a winters worth of snow on the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 55 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 18Z GFS is a lot more interesting for Tue. LSV is still not golden but northern half of PA has a full scale winter storm on their hands. Bostonians are probably getting amped up. According to my NWS forecast, their is no precip in their forecast at all for Tuesday next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 5 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: According to my NWS forecast, their is no precip in their forecast at all for Tuesday next week. That is pretty odd. There has always been something brewing for the tue-wed time frame. Here is the GFS from 48 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 22, 2023 Author Share Posted February 22, 2023 17 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Good example of why I said upper 2/3's of PA. Rou and ITT do not get a winters worth of snow on the GFS. Lol, if this would somehow verify, I think most of us would happily settle for 8 to 19 inches of snow in CTP! I am good with the 17 inches at MDT! That would probably make their top 20 all time snow storm list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 22, 2023 Author Share Posted February 22, 2023 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That is pretty odd. There has always been something brewing for the tue-wed time frame. Here is the GFS from 48 hours ago. The 28th storm might not be done trending into a mixed mess for many in CTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 Monday A chance of rain or freezing rain before 1pm, then rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday Night Rain. Low around 38. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. Breezy. Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 30. Breezy. Wednesday Mostly sunny, That's my NWS forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2023 Share Posted February 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Monday A chance of rain or freezing rain before 1pm, then rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday Night Rain. Low around 38. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. Breezy. Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 30. Breezy. Wednesday Mostly sunny, That's my NWS forecast. I believed you, I was saying the zones were odd. You are a great poster so sorry if you took it that I did not believe you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 18 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I believed you, I was saying the zones were odd. You are a great poster so sorry if you took it that I did not believe you. No I didn't say that you didn't believe me. It's just that the models show a storm, but their forecast shows something entirely different. Talk About discrepancies with their model and their forecast. I guess they don't believe the models anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is the snow map for just the period of the March 3rd/4th snow on the Happy Hour GFS. Tamaqua jackpot? That'll never happen... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 28th storm might not be done trending into a mixed mess for many in CTP. The 18z GEFS says we are still in the game for some winter weather on the 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, if this would somehow verify, I think most of us would happily settle for 8 to 19 inches of snow in CTP! I am good with the 17 inches at MDT! That would probably make their top 20 all time snow storm list. Over half of Lanco is in the 4-5" area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 23, 2023 Author Share Posted February 23, 2023 10 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Over half of Lanco is in the 4-5" area. Lol, my apologies to Lancaster! Every other county In CTP got crushed this run & Lancaster airport got 10 inches on the 18z GFS. Lol, Don’t worry, only about 36 more runs to go until game time… plenty of time for changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 23, 2023 Share Posted February 23, 2023 2 hours ago, Jns2183 said: 1/3 that id be happy Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk i really wish but this will either go to the lakes or out to sea. same broken record shows giant storm 10 days out only to shit on your chest and be like maybe next time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now