paweather Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Nooner 39 and Partly Sunny. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 12z GFS OP run...yikes. No snow for the SE half of PA through hour 384. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: 12z GFS OP run...yikes. No snow for the SE half of PA through hour 384. The CMC is just a cutter. GFS really suppressed from the bully PV. No real energy in the Northern Stream to yank anything up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: The CMC is just a cutter. GFS really suppressed from the bully PV. No real energy in the Northern Stream to yank anything up. Yes - suppression city on the GFS. Given seasonal trends, maybe not a bad thing for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Yes - suppression city on the GFS. Given seasonal trends, maybe not a bad thing for us? Yea, agree. The run is a disaster digital blue wise but cold around and lows going by to our south. Any wind over your way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Yea, agree. The run is a disaster but cold around and lows going by to our south. Any wind over your way? It's breezy here at work, work campus is on top of a hill so it's often somewhat breezy. Nothing really to speak of here at all though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: It's breezy here at work, work campus is on top of a hill so it's often somewhat breezy. Nothing really to speak of here at all though. Surprised the wind has not played out. Precip staying away from the LSV so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 After pouring over approximately 3,749 reports from various sources, I am going with a total snowfall yesterday of 1.2" on .7" liquid. All evidence of said event is gone. I think we're going to end up with the third warmest January on record at MDT. 1932 will be tough to ever beat for warmest, not sure what went down that year ha. National high of 88 at multiple locations in Florida and low of -28 in Angel Fire, NM. Cool beans. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Surprised the wind has not played out. Precip staying away from the LSV so far. Was there precip in the forecast? I haven't seen any mention of anything for my area specifically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Was there precip in the forecast? I haven't seen any mention of anything for my area specifically. It was not forecast to get down to us, but it was close on some models last night....so I was commenting that so far the forecast has verified. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: After pouring over approximately 3,749 reports from various sources, I am going with a total snowfall yesterday of 1.2" on .7" liquid. All evidence of said event is gone. I think we're going to end up with the third warmest January on record at MDT. 1932 will be tough to ever beat for warmest, not sure what went down that year ha. National high of 88 at multiple locations in Florida and low of -28 in Angel Fire, NM. Cool beans. That is pretty hot for most areas of Florida in Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 FYI, if anyone wants to hear PSU give his forecast you need to go over to the MA LR thread and give him a heart before 1PM. A hot dog means no forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: After pouring over approximately 3,749 reports from various sources, I am going with a total snowfall yesterday of 1.2" on .7" liquid. All evidence of said event is gone. I think we're going to end up with the third warmest January on record at MDT. 1932 will be tough to ever beat for warmest, not sure what went down that year ha. National high of 88 at multiple locations in Florida and low of -28 in Angel Fire, NM. Cool beans. One of those Florida locations was Titusville - always get excited going across the Indian River near Titusville on all of our cruises out of Port Canaveral. I can't help but smile every time I think of Titusville. There's your useless info for the day in response to your super-useful temp post. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It was not forecast to get down to us, but it was close on some models last night....so I was commenting that so far the forecast has verified. It's mainly cloudy and dark here - perfect late fall day out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 GFS is a disaster 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, paweather said: GFS is a disaster I jokingly called you Ji yesterday...but what you just posted sure sounds exactly like Ji... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Not much wind here either. Weird but thankful. I’ll say I got 3” yesterday since that’s what MDT got. That puts me at 6.5” for the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 models always do this I mean 2023 cant we have models that actually work more then 1 storm. I often say bad data in bad data out. but it feels like more and more models have feed back errors or strange solutions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, paweather said: GFS is a disaster check out the 186 hr panel then toggle back 6-8 runs (if you want a good laugh). Fret not bud. This could still end up in Cuba or Chicago if one puts faith in mid/lr GFS. Still looks like colder press looming, and as we've seen the WAR winning the winter war, that could create some fun if/when the GFS moderates the cold dome and we end up north enough of the boundary for colder sides of southern sliders (again if anyone believes we are headed into a period of suppression) -till that 300+ cutter locks in and slams Ottawa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 I like rolling the dice with a well defined boundary to our south. Often times we get multiple chances and some of them can be significant. Might also see a cutter that hits a deeper cold airmass than what we had yesterday leading to a better front end thump. There are still ways to fail of course but that’s the case in every pattern. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: I like rolling the dice with a well defined boundary to our south. Often times we get multiple chances and some of them can be significant. Might also see a cutter that hits a deeper cold airmass than what we had yesterday leading to a better front end thump. There are still ways to fail of course but that’s the case in every pattern. Agree 100% with this - I could be disappointed once again, but I'll say right now that I'd be surprised if we don't have at least one accumulating snow in the next 10-14 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Euro with flurries (though will have a good Kuch ratio) mid next week...then something better brewing for weekend. Still running! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 47 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I jokingly called you Ji yesterday...but what you just posted sure sounds exactly like Ji... I take it as a compliment. Thanks! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Snow breaking out in SW Va at 204 as a great Cad signature is evident. Does it move north or scoot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 BANG!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 6 minutes ago, paweather said: I take it as a compliment. Thanks! I'm sincerely glad that you do. Personally, he is a top 5 favorite poster of mine on the entire board. He's one of a very select few that can actually make me literally laugh out loud just by reading what he says. Thing is - he's very smart/knowledgeable about the weather. He's not just some weenie. He's a smart, funny as hell weenie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: BANG!!! Welcome home, itstrainingtime! That map is mere hours after landing at MDT coming home from Dallas/Ft. Worth. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 haha im thinking this thing will turn into a lake cutter lol or way south with cold air suppression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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