anotherman Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 This is not going to be the vibe of a typical post of mine. This winter is wearing on me. We had one snow at home (about 1") which I missed entirely while I was at work. It snowed a second time (about .25") while I slept and missed again. (though I did see some remnants in the morning. Today I started my day at home as I got home very late last night and had early meetings this morning, which I took from home. I was up at 5:30 and saw rain. It rained up until the time I left. Between 7 and 8 there was a mix, but it never flipped to snow (I clearly was lacking rates at this point) and it was never even close to moderate. On my way to work I did see the hills south of Wrightsville were VERY white...clearly more than a coating. The only other evidence of snow I saw was a little bit on Chickies between the trail parking lot and the day care center on the south side. Nothing at all anywhere else, and nothing at home other than some mixed flakes with the rain. Happy that you got to see some nice snow falling. But this winter just flat out sucks. And there's nothing anyone can say at this point to convince me otherwise. I feel for those down here in the southern part of Lanco who are STILL shutout on the season. On to Wednesday...Agreed. It’s so frustrating and we are not the only ones frustrated. I’ve had multiple people ask me when it was going to snow. That they missed it. It’s just not normal for this area of the world to be without it for this long. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 18Z NAM is the fail scenario where the main precip waits until the warm air gets here. Certainly can’t discount that possibility. It would be quite a nut punch considering how bad our run has been. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 18Z NAM is the fail scenario where the main precip waits until the warm air gets here. Certainly can’t discount that possibility. It would be quite a nut punch considering how bad our run has been.Yup. 18z NAM is terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 20 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: Great melt this morning! (Which I respect) I promise to better it if I don’t see at least 2” Wednesday. Personally, if I was a betting man, I'll be awaiting your new and improved meltdown. (And I posted that before seeing the latest NAM) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 27 minutes ago, Anduril said: Have you picked up a heavier gauge chain for your garbage bin? I put in my garage now. But I do have a roofer coming to replace shingles that were blown off two weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 I was caught on company security cameras watching today's models: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HtTUsOKjWyQ 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was caught on company security cameras watching today's models: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HtTUsOKjWyQ absolutely hysterical....and rather fitting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was caught on company security cameras watching today's models: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HtTUsOKjWyQ Haha i love that one, a true classic! But yeah, I’m not getting that warm and fuzzy feeling about the Wednesday potential anymore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 6 minutes ago, pasnownut said: absolutely hysterical....and rather fitting I was laughing so hard that the guy unloading my truck paused and looked at me... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 18 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was caught on company security cameras watching today's models: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HtTUsOKjWyQ Classic!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Doesn’t look that bad to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, paweather said: Doesn’t look that bad to me That is how Major Tom sees our snow maps when he is floating in a most peculiar way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Happy Hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 GFS trimmed the southeast edge in a disconcerting way but still implies a nice front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, GrandmasterB said: GFS trimmed the southeast edge in a disconcerting way but still implies a nice front end thump. It somehow knows where the M/D line is on the 48hr panel. I plan to sit out on my porch and mock all the people getting rain 500 feet away. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 @Bubbler86Jackpot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 WGAL update: #WINTERWEATHER UPDATE: Here's what to expect for our Wednesday! This could be the first plowable #snow for much of the Valley! The farther north you live, the heavier snow you'll see. 2-6" is possible! Stay tuned for our latest! #pawx #weather wgal.com/weather WGAL News 8 Storm Team WGAL News Channel 8 Susquehanna Valley, Pa. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 HH GFS showing a big 'ole snowstorm later next week - I'll be in Arkansas, so this one might have legs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 31 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: HH GFS showing a big 'ole snowstorm later next week - I'll be in Arkansas, so this one might have legs. My condolences for going to pigville. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 hour ago, paweather said: @Bubbler86Jackpot! I wouldn't know, I feel like I am looking at it from the space station with that map. LOL 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 @Blizzard of 93hope you have 0z covered the morning and afternoon group are tired Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Winds picked up. ~30 mph now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 24, 2023 Author Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, paweather said: @Blizzard of 93hope you have 0z covered the morning and afternoon group are tired I passed out when I saw the full 18z GFS snow total map through 384 hours….wow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: I passed out when I saw the full 18z GFS snow total map through 384 hours….wow! LOL Love it!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 11 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I passed out when I saw the full 18z GFS snow total map through 384 hours….wow! How about passing out to this!!! Those arctic temperatures could only be achieved with a deep snowpack and calm winds. I've personally never seen these negative numbers ever! It's interesting that 2 days ago on the 21st was the 29th anniversary of the all-time record low temperature at MDT of -22F. Those temps which last occurred back in January of 1994 was during the incredible snowy and icy winter of '93-'94. Speaking of icy, it was during January when my friend who lived up just a few miles from High Point NJ reported freezing rain with a temperature of 4 degrees F above zero! Unreal. I'm going to save this map for posterity even though I know there's almost no chance of this happening. We'll see. The ground hog will definitely not see his shadow because he'll be too cold to venture outside of his hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 The key to bigger amounts in the southern half of PA and specifically the LSV continues to be the placement of the initial band of WAA snows that breaks out and how expansive it is. 18z Euro gets it into northern half of PA initially Making for a shorter period of snow/frozen up front for the southern counties/LSV, but still good rates especially south central when the primary area of precip associated with the best forcing/southerly flow arrives. Hr 46 and 47 The heavy snowfall rates precedes the changeover/dry slot and moves through C-PA from SW to NE during the late morning-early afternoon hours. 10:1 Snow totals from the Euro 18z run. The Kuchera is lower around the edges of the snowfall swath, especially in SW PA and JST but the LSV is also about an inch or so higher using 10:1. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Slipping away down here as others predicted. Well at least I have a great melt lined up for Wednesday morning! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 9 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: Slipping away down here as others predicted. Well at least I have a great melt lined up for Wednesday morning! Not sure what that means great melt most models have 3-4” for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 16 minutes ago, paweather said: Not sure what that means great melt most models have 3-4” for the area Melt - Short for meltdown like trainingtime’s this morning. I’m selling 3-4 down here. State College? Sure. But since last night’s great Euro run all trends have been to hold off on precip down here until it’s too warm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 30 minutes ago, paweather said: Not sure what that means great melt most models have 3-4” for the area Not many models show 3-4" where we live. We don't all live north of the turnpike. Also, the trend is not our friend. Right now I'd be highly skeptical of 3-4" in Palmyra but I don't know anything. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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