Itstrainingtime Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 Meanwhile - The west coast has been, and will continue to get blitzed by AR storms over the next few weeks. Incredible rainfall in the bay area (saw some projections of over 30" of rain near SF) with heavy Sierra snow - @Mount Joy Snowman Mammoth is already well over 200" for the season at the base and they look to pick up at least 8 to 10 feet over the next 7 days. I've been hoping for one of their patented 500-700" winters and it might just work out for me. 131 days until I'm there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 CTP is all dry at the end of the week through the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 19 minutes ago, paweather said: CTP is all dry at the end of the week through the weekend. Typical post frontal upslope snow flurries/showers for the normal folks. Down here....BO RING...but will feel more like the season should. All eyes to Sun/Mon...lol's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 46 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Meanwhile - The west coast has been, and will continue to get blitzed by AR storms over the next few weeks. Incredible rainfall in the bay area (saw some projections of over 30" of rain near SF) with heavy Sierra snow - @Mount Joy Snowman Mammoth is already well over 200" for the season at the base and they look to pick up at least 8 to 10 feet over the next 7 days. I've been hoping for one of their patented 500-700" winters and it might just work out for me. 131 days until I'm there... It's definitely needed out there (here) even if I don't particularly like it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 3 minutes ago, Voyager said: It's definitely needed out there (here) even if I don't particularly like it. It was abnormally dry out there last year, and the valleys (where everyone in CA lives) depend on Sierra snowmelt for their water supply. Not to mention the increased wildfire risks that originates from dry winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 GFS blows up a nor'easter JUST too far east for us next Wednesday - storm forms off the Carolinas and bombs out as it moves NE from there. It's a Garden State mauling on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: GFS blows up a nor'easter JUST too far east for us next Wednesday - storm forms off the Carolinas and bombs out as it moves NE from there. It's a Garden State mauling on this run. Gotta be honest.....with how bad the GooFuS has been lately (see verification scores), I don't trust it at all. If Euro catches on, then I'll be interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: GFS blows up a nor'easter JUST too far east for us next Wednesday - storm forms off the Carolinas and bombs out as it moves NE from there. It's a Garden State mauling on this run. Not sure what you think, but through 226, this is arguably one of the nicest runs we've seen in an while. Verbatim we'd have a few chances at some fun. I'm liking the look. Ridge and trough axis is decent, and storms coming from the south would be most welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 1 minute ago, anotherman said: Gotta be honest.....with how bad the GooFuS has been lately (see verification scores), I don't trust it at all. If Euro catches on, then I'll be interested. Just now, pasnownut said: Not sure what you think, but through 226, this is arguably one of the nicest runs we've seen in an while. Verbatim we'd have a few chances at some fun. I'm liking the look. What I like is we're about to enter a period that should provide us with some opportunities. That's a start -we can figure out details later on, but at least we can potentially see our way to victory. Can't say that in the current pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 3 minutes ago, anotherman said: Gotta be honest.....with how bad the GooFuS has been lately (see verification scores), I don't trust it at all. If Euro catches on, then I'll be interested. for upcoming event we have a general consensus that something is coming. Euro hasnt regained the crown yet. JMO, but i'd take consensus over 1 model. FWIW, the Euro is similar wrt this weekend and is "onboard" for something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 7 minutes ago, anotherman said: Gotta be honest.....with how bad the GooFuS has been lately (see verification scores), I don't trust it at all. If Euro catches on, then I'll be interested. To your point - below is the Canadian depiction for the exact same time as the GFS image I posted above: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: To your point - below is the Canadian depiction for the exact same time as the GFS image I posted above: and to your earlier point about the pattern and how it can deliver, the pic you posted here, is a rather decent look w/ SLP/HP placements into a trough in the east......hand me the dice....I'll roll em with that look...even if a day later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 thru 288....GFS says bowling balls east as the "ridge" out west is somewhat muted (PNA only slightly + as I suggested yesterday). Even though its not a big storm "diggy" kinda look in the east, its surely a fast flow deal and as we all know....if you throw enough chit into da chute....you're eventually gonna get hit by some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 66 here at noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 Yep....from a macro perspective...nicest run of the season IMO. CMC and ICON showing similar features/placements w/ large scale features. Good enough for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 66 here at noon. 62 at home, 64 here at work. Feels like April with extra humidity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 13 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 62 at home, 64 here at work. Feels like April with extra humidity. I am at a Dr appt with shorts and a short sleeve shirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I am at a Dr appt with shorts and a short sleeve shirt. I am sitting at work in a short sleeve polo while texting my wife to ensure that the cooling system is running at home. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I am sitting at work in a short sleeve polo while texting my wife to ensure that the cooling system is running at home. Needless to say, a/c cover salespeople do not bother stopping at your place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 2 hours ago, anotherman said: Gotta be honest.....with how bad the GooFuS has been lately (see verification scores), I don't trust it at all. If Euro catches on, then I'll be interested. ask and ye shall receive. Its a start anyways... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 4 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Meanwhile - The west coast has been, and will continue to get blitzed by AR storms over the next few weeks. Incredible rainfall in the bay area (saw some projections of over 30" of rain near SF) with heavy Sierra snow - @Mount Joy Snowman Mammoth is already well over 200" for the season at the base and they look to pick up at least 8 to 10 feet over the next 7 days. I've been hoping for one of their patented 500-700" winters and it might just work out for me. 131 days until I'm there... Howdy. Yeah I did see the Sierras were in for another walloping and was thinking of you. Things are shaping up nicely for your trip. A solid early pack indeed....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2023 Author Share Posted January 5, 2023 Great signal on the 12z EPS for late next week. Lots of time of course, but we are certainly going to be busy tracking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2023 Author Share Posted January 5, 2023 Here is the 12z EPS snow map for just the period for the late Next week snow chance. Great signal…but a long way to go… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5, 2023 Author Share Posted January 5, 2023 In the shorter term, CTP now has a mention of rain & snow for this Sunday. Sunday A chance of rain and snow after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 40. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday Night A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 Was it suppose to rain today or am I hallucinating Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 It was but the front seems to have broken apart most rain/storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 It was but the front seems to have broken apart most rain/storm. I was forecast to be 68 and rain. 58 is highest I got. No rain. Hard to even make out a front. Are we just doing lows in the 50's for day?Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 High of 67 here today. Some 70's reported a bit east of here. Mdt only made 59 and cxy 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 5, 2023 Share Posted January 5, 2023 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: High of 67 here today. Some 70's reported a bit east of here. Mdt only made 59 and cxy 60. 60 here was the high 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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