Bubbler86 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 CFS took a big jump toward a snowy solution at 12Z. Has its own strange two wave way to do it so not even going to try and break it down. Most of the snow comes on Christmas EVE morning. This is a snow depth map. Not a huge fan of the CFS but this goes to show options are on the table. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 On 12/17/2022 at 10:12 PM, Bubbler86 said: The LSV does anafrontal snow like no ones business (not). No offense to your thoughts.... Expand It just worked last March, I think around March 10th or so. Temps dropped from the 40s to the 20s in the span of an hour or 2. Brief rain turned to moderate to heavy snow as soon as the front passed through. I scored around 5 inches of snow from about 6 hours of good snow. I think MDT recorded 2 or 3 inches. Most of us had a good Advisory event out of anafront snow…in March, just last year! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 On 12/17/2022 at 10:26 PM, TheDreamTraveler said: Hopefully not :/ Euro is showing us torching the beginning of January Expand It’s likely a brief reshuffle & then back to a favorable pattern with chances by the end of the first week of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/17/2022 at 10:23 PM, pasnownut said: gfs at 144 takes SLP to Buffalo, then pops a secondary off Chessy bay at 150 and saves us all w/ a turnover to give a white christmas to most of the state. huhhh Expand Yes, like you & @MAG5035 and I said earlier, we can at least possibly score in the front end with the initial coastal & then after the front passes on the back end. Here is more from the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Hopefully some snow tonight in buffalo I want to feel festive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 12:05 AM, paweather said: Hopefully some snow tonight in buffalo I want to feel festive Expand It’s snowing at the Cleveland game now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 12:05 AM, paweather said: Hopefully some snow tonight in buffalo I want to feel festive Expand The field looks as green as my yard 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/17/2022 at 11:53 PM, Blizzard of 93 said: It just worked last March, I think around March 10th or so. Temps dropped from the 40s to the 20s in the span of an hour or 2. Brief rain turned to moderate to heavy snow as soon as the front passed through. I scored around 5 inches of snow from about 6 hours of good snow. I think MDT recorded 2 or 3 inches. Most of us had a good Advisory event out of anafront snow…in March, just last year! Expand I do not recall that one, was there a wave involved? I do not keep records like some of you guys. But my comment was more based on the theory that cold air chasing moisture is often "over modeled". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 12:29 AM, Cashtown_Coop said: The field looks as green as my yard Expand Don’t ruin it for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 12:40 AM, paweather said: Don’t ruin it for me Expand I’m rooting for Miami. My fantasy football opponent has Buffalo defense going. Sounds like a lot of us in here have a fantasy football team. Might need to start a league next year of weather weenies 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/17/2022 at 10:41 PM, Ruin said: We look to go back to the 40s right after the only 2 days of cold Expand dont see that on any maps that I'm looking at. Solid week of cold to follow next weeks grinch stole our white christmas storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 12:35 AM, Bubbler86 said: I do not recall that one, was there a wave involved? I do not keep records like some of you guys. But my comment was more based on the theory that cold air chasing moisture is often "over modeled". Expand Yes, most of the time it is over modeled, but it worked last March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 12:35 AM, Bubbler86 said: I do not recall that one, was there a wave involved? I do not keep records like some of you guys. But my comment was more based on the theory that cold air chasing moisture is often "over modeled". Expand It snowed on March 12th (I measured 3") and it came after temps dropped from the 50s the previous day, but I can't remember all the details of the setup going in. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 12:02 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, like you & @MAG5035 and I said earlier, we can at least possibly score in the front end with the initial coastal & then after the front passes on the back end. Here is more from the 18z GFS Expand there is still enough variance showing in run to run differences, to not write off some white. Heck, HH GFS is a couple moves away from trying give us backend lovin. Would be great to see the gulf low deal start to show on a couple models as so much energy is involved, its not outside the rhealm of possibilities. Or it starts to cut further west like what we just went through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 1:06 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, most of the time it is over modeled, but it worked last March. Expand It very, very rarely works for us. But not never. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 1:08 AM, pasnownut said: there is still enough variance showing in run to run differences, to not write off some white. Heck, HH GFS is a couple moves away from trying give us backend lovin. Would be great to see the gulf low deal start to show on a couple models as so much energy is involved, its not outside the rhealm of possibilities. Or it starts to cut further west like what we just went through. Expand The 18z EPS is showing the front end potential from the initial coastal low. It also shows the back end snow as the front moves through with a low popping near Cape May, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 Complicated set up with lots still to be resolved 5 to 6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 What happened to the snow in Buffalo? Band set up to the north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 1:45 AM, canderson said: What happened to the snow in Buffalo? Band set up to the north? Expand City and north right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 1:56 AM, Itstrainingtime said: City and north right now. Expand Hope it drifts south. I’m nit watching but would of it did (watching the Texas women in the volleyball championship game) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 This stinks can’t even get snow where the stadium is boo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 2:31 AM, paweather said: This stinks can’t even get snow where the stadium is boo! Expand Even fake snow fails us, eh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 @Atomixwx...Waddle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 3:12 AM, Bubbler86 said: Even fake snow fails us, eh? Expand Yes what the heck! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Texas won the ncaa volleyball championship. Hook ‘em! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 I’m not looking at the 0z GFS I’m afraid to look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 3:45 AM, paweather said: I’m not looking at the 0z GFS I’m afraid to look. Expand Icon was 'nado's again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 On 12/18/2022 at 12:54 AM, Cashtown_Coop said: I’m rooting for Miami. My fantasy football opponent has Buffalo defense going. Sounds like a lot of us in here have a fantasy football team. Might need to start a league next year of weather weenies Expand Defintely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Weather not sports report - snowing in Orchard Park NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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