anthonyweather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Switching back and forth between sleet and heavy snow, even in Whitehall Pa. Wrecking havoc on the roads .!!!!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, paweather said: Is the ICON drunk? LOL How can a low that far inland be snow for us? because it is norther stream energy dropping SE and pops a secondary below us. Look at 540 and you'll see that antecedent cold is deep enough and stays below us, and keep our precious column cold enough. Next panel has far SE taintin to rain for a wee bit after most precip falls as snow. Mind you thats a verbatim analysis of 1 model run thats a week out, but since its a week....and a big week....worthy of mention. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Current mean on the GEFS for the 23rd system is very impressive being 8 days out. Some huge hits, and the miss right now would be a SE scraper, not NW and a cutter. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Some flakes mixing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, pasnownut said: because it is norther stream energy dropping SE and pops a secondary below us. Look at 540 and you'll see that antecedent cold is deep enough and stays below us, and keep our precious column cold enough. Next panel has far SE taintin to rain for a wee bit after most precip falls as snow. Mind you thats a verbatim analysis of 1 model run thats a week out, but since its a week....and a big week....worthy of mention. Definitely worthy of a mention! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, Newman said: Current mean on the GEFS for the 23rd system is very impressive being 8 days out. Some huge hits, and the miss right now would be a SE scraper, not NW and a cutter. It’s happening. I’ve called this for weeks. Put your entire bank account* on it. * don’t do this 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Snow and sleet mix 32 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, canderson said: It’s happening. I’ve called this for weeks. Put your entire bank account* on it. * don’t do this I mean...you called 12/22 - 12/24 some time ago. If you nail this, you start all winter threads going forward. You'll have earned that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Snow and sleet mix 32 I'm genuinely happy you're seeing some snow. Now send a little to your southwest. I'm hungry to see my few flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm genuinely happy you're seeing some snow. Now send a little to your southwest. I'm hungry to see my few flakes. yeah I wish I could. I hope you do get some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 33 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: . This is great to see on my lunch break! Sure enough, flakes recently mixed in & I am now transitioning to mostly snow! SPC for the win! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 We lost power in the last hour in Marysville thanks to this freezing rain. Power lines are encased in ice, so that must have done it for my neighborhood! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 The 12z GFS run was beautiful for next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 Radar looks juiced now to the west of the LSV. If this is all snow, I might be in business! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 roads are going to chit in the Harrisburg area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Temp continues to hold steady at 32.2 degrees. The sleet has come to an end and steady snow is rapidly developing. Light, and wet, but steady nonetheless. Mulch/ground whitening progressing nicely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 In a lull in the precip currently, hopefully can get some regen of the precip shield back this way this afternoon. Something the HRRR continues to advertise later this afternoon (after about 19-20z) showing a renewed surge of precip (which should be mostly snow with the cooling aloft) into the central counties likely associated with the deepening of the coastal low. That’s going to play big on what the eventual snow totals end up being in the AOO-UNV-IPT corridor. CTP had already backed off some on totals due to models starting a couple degrees too cold with this initial phase of the precip shield. What’s also likely to happen as the low tracks across the Chesapeake into the Delmarva this afternoon/eve is that will eventually push the R/S line near or more likely above Harrisburg in the Sus Valley, so the next few hours is likely the time to put something on the ground for the LSV’ers that are seeing frozen precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Mix of sleet and snow now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 I forgot to mention that ice accretion continued earlier. My trees easily have over 0.10" of ice covering the branches. Oh, yeah, the snow is getting heavier and the flakes are getting bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Here is the Nam from 24 hours ago showing where it predicted snow for a few hours this afternoon...since we(some) were singing its praises. Cumberland, far Northern Adams and York, Dauphin, N Franklin, etc...even very close to NE Lancaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 And just like that, god turned off the rain...Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Sleet mixing in now. Trees have a decent amount of ice accumulated, looks wintry! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 23 minutes ago, paweather said: Snow and sleet mix 32 did not expect that to be heard this close to my hood. Nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 The only accums are in the mulch area and outside patio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Snowing here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 27 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 12z GFS run was beautiful for next week! Blizz get your tracker on for next week might need to pull some Euro all nighters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, paweather said: Blizz get your tracker on for next week might need to pull some Euro all nighters. i start a 13 day vacation on the 21st, so lets make next week happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 BIG fat flakes flying right now still sitting at 32.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 FirstHand Weather: Good gosh, 12z GFS. As mentioned in other posts, the upcoming pattern on and around Christmas will support low pressure development along the Gulf and/or the Southeast coast, then driving up the eastern seaboard. But model guidance will likely be all over the place over the next few days on who gets wintry precip around Christmas. Nonetheless, it’s been a long time since I’ve been this excited about an upcoming pattern in December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, Anduril said: BIG fat flakes flying right now still sitting at 32.5 And just like that its done lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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