weatherCCB Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 22 low here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Temps already into the 40s around the area. Approved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 I'm not sure exactly what the NAM Nest is doing on Friday. Every other model has us in the 50s, but the NAM is throwing out this ridiculous inversion along 95. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 I would love it if the NAM Nest was correct. But I am not that lucky so it must be an error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: I'm not sure exactly what the NAM Nest is doing on Friday. Every other model has us in the 50s, but the NAM is throwing out this ridiculous inversion along 95. Maybe it seeing thick fog over water bodies northern Chesapeake Bay Susquehanna Havre De Grace northwestern Delaware Bay and up the Delaware River SE pa as very warm air rushes north just above the surface over relative cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Really warmed up today. Just got an outdoor hoops sesh in. Tracking the LR is interesting, but this upcoming pattern is gonna require quite a flip to get back to snowy prospects. I really didn't think entering this season it would be such a struggle to get snow, but I'm starting to think my snowfall forecast is too high (was close to 20"). We shall see...still early and it doesn't take much to reach the average here, so there is that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 1 hour ago, Kevin Reilly said: Maybe it seeing thick fog over water bodies northern Chesapeake Bay Susquehanna Havre De Grace northwestern Delaware Bay and up the Delaware River SE pa as very warm air rushes north just above the surface over relative cold. That certainly could be an explanation at first glance, but that wouldn't explain the overnight lows (image below). It is like the land surface scheme has a foot of snow over us instead of, well, nothing. And the HRRR is having none of it, with highs in the mid-upper 50s on Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 2 hours ago, 87storms said: Really warmed up today. Just got an outdoor hoops sesh in. Tracking the LR is interesting, but this upcoming pattern is gonna require quite a flip to get back to snowy prospects. I really didn't think entering this season it would be such a struggle to get snow, but I'm starting to think my snowfall forecast is too high (was close to 20"). We shall see...still early and it doesn't take much to reach the average here, so there is that. At this point I'd be ecstatic with one warning snow and one minor advisory event. Hell, I'll take a 3-4 incher and call it a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 2 hours ago, Terpeast said: At this point I'd be ecstatic with one warning snow and one minor advisory event. Hell, I'll take a 3-4 incher and call it a winter. Lol, same. Saw your winter prediction...that's looking like a solid, professional forecast so far. We have a tendency to get snow in waves, so maybe the next pattern change will produce while we're in peak climo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 40 minutes ago, 87storms said: Lol, same. Saw your winter prediction...that's looking like a solid, professional forecast so far. We have a tendency to get snow in waves, so maybe the next pattern change will produce while we're in peak climo. Thanks. I’m hoping we get a backloaded winter this time. My monthly temp forecasts are tracking well so far, but my -1 January call may already be in trouble even before it starts. We’re going to have a lot of ground to make up after the second week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 This has happened in the past but a legit question. This morning when I got off work it was foggy/hazy looking. As I drove home I noticed....SNOW!! Yes, it was snowing from an almost clear sky. Now I have a pretty good idea what it was living here for over 50 years. Papermill snow. It is/was only 2nd time I've seen it at my current location, but when I lived closer to town (and mill) when growing up it would happen 3 or 4 times a year when it got cold enough. I reported nothing in my CoCoRaHS report and emailed them asking what I should do. But, what would YOU do? It IS falling from the sky, it does cover the ground and fill the gauge.... BTW, when I looked at the 'night satellite' images between 6 and 8 this morning there was a nice 'streamer' going thru the county and right over the house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Low of 23. Think it was colder than forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 25 for the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Why are the roads so wet? Did I miss something last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 28 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Why are the roads so wet? Did I miss something last night? Weenie tears 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 1 hour ago, nw baltimore wx said: Why are the roads so wet? Did I miss something last night? Road is colder than the air. Condensation just like on a coke can in summer. I think chemicals on the roads aid in this process but not sure of the process though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Road is colder than the air. Condensation just like on a coke can in summer. I think chemicals on the roads aid in this process but not sure of the process though. I was going to say that they were sweating, but figured people already think I’m dumb enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 29 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Road is colder than the air. Condensation just like on a coke can in summer. I think chemicals on the roads aid in this process but not sure of the process though. Basically. Warmer air moving in over paved surfaces that a) have been very cold and b) were treated is causing the condensation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 22 hours ago, MN Transplant said: I'm not sure exactly what the NAM Nest is doing on Friday. Every other model has us in the 50s, but the NAM is throwing out this ridiculous inversion along 95. This is still present on the NAMs. Quite the contrast from temps depicted on the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 2 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: Why are the roads so wet? Did I miss something last night? 57 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Road is colder than the air. Condensation just like on a coke can in summer. I think chemicals on the roads aid in this process but not sure of the process though. 49 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: I was going to say that they were sweating, but figured people already think I’m dumb enough. Yep, the chemicals reacting to the warmer air on the colder road, basically sweating.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Beautiful day for a hike at Swallow Falls. Trails were slippery due to the snow/ice but well worth it to see the falls partially frozen due to the recent extreme cold. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 10 minutes ago, nj2va said: Beautiful day for a hike at Swallow Falls. Trails were slippery due to the snow/ice but well worth it to see the falls partially frozen due to the recent extreme cold. Goodness that's spectacular! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Something happened a bit ago that hadn't since the 9th of this month, thermometer went over 50! Currently 55.3 degrees at 3 pm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 I know deep down some of y’all got to be appreciating how great it feels out there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 55 degrees. Kill me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Beautiful sunset glow tonight. This was 35 minutes post sunset and glow was still going strong! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 River is def f'ing with DCA obs rn. I'm at 46F in Tenleytown, DCA down to 39F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: River is def f'ing with DCA obs rn. I'm at 46F in Tenleytown, DCA down to 39F. Yeah, 45 here. Upper 20s out by Culpeper. Wild temperature distribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 7 hours ago, nj2va said: Beautiful day for a hike at Swallow Falls. Trails were slippery due to the snow/ice but well worth it to see the falls partially frozen due to the recent extreme cold. Wow. That's awesome. We were there back in November and it certainly didn't look like that lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2022 Share Posted December 30, 2022 17 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Wow. That's awesome. We were there back in November and it certainly didn't look like that lol. You need to plan another weekend out here, when the pac puke is gone of course. You just missed the snow during your last visit - maybe you have bad luck so I’ll try to avoid your weekend here lol Hopefully Jan-Mar features some good events where we all can score. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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