LibertyBell Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 12 hours ago, coastalplainsnowman said: I've wondered about the whole feast or famine thing here on LI. Anecdotally, at least, it seemed true. I started messing with some data I scrounged from a newsday web page showing annual snowfall totals since the 1950s. I tried standard deviation first from 1950-1985, then 1986-2020, that showed a larger SD for the latter, but it was tough to visualize. Then I tried taking the range of min to max annual snowfall for each decade. That had surprising results, with the only real outlier being the 1980s. Lastly, I threw out the min and max for each decade, figuring you'll have an anomaly on each end every decade, and then repeated the exercise. I think this captures best what LibertyBell describes: I realize everything about this approach is probably an abomination to any scientist on here, but I figured what the heck, it's so slow right now I'll post it. This is absolutely fascinating! Just out of sheer curiosity, can you do the average SD per decade? I bet that would have some interesting results too. It could be a per 30 year average SD too, but I'd also like to see a per decade approach like you did above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 19 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: A strong nino actually isn’t what you want. 82/83 and 15/16 lucked out with one big storm. 97/98 is more typical of what to expect with a strong nino. What you want is a weak to moderate nino. But we got 2/3 really good storms, so I'm not sure why 82-83 and 15-16 would be bad luck and not 97-98? Those were two amazing HECS with the south shore getting the most snow of all in those events so I'd gamble on that. Also there were other borderline strong el ninos too, like 57-58, 02-03 and 09-10, that were also very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 19 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: A strong nino actually isn’t what you want. 82/83 and 15/16 lucked out with one big storm. 97/98 is more typical of what to expect with a strong nino. What you want is a weak to moderate nino. weak el nino is better for new england, we want a moderate and preferably a high end moderate to borderline strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 19 hours ago, North and West said: One of my nerd friends shared this with me, for reference. . Ask him to do one for la ninas and for la ninas after el ninos please lol...I think we have time before our next (errr I mean first) snowstorm, don't we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 12 hours ago, vegan_edible said: i thought i was the only one under 30 on this thing jk guys i like it here dont ban me Is this mic working lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 13 minutes ago, North and West said: My grandfather had the heart of a lion and a lifetime ban from the zoo. . Well at least he wasn't like the guy who got banned from the zoo....he got banned for doing stupid stuff like jumping into the tiger enclosure to impress his girlfriend. The girlfriend snuck out the back way and said she didn't even know who the guy was, that she was only sitting next to him because that was the only seat left lmao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 14 hours ago, Nibor said: Boomer humor... 13 hours ago, vegan_edible said: i thought i was the only one under 30 on this thing jk guys i like it here dont ban me 40 minutes ago, North and West said: My grandfather had the heart of a lion and a lifetime ban from the zoo. . Good morning Nibor, Vegan, N&W. No chance V. Actually many of us, behaviorally, are a lot younger than you. Stay well, as always ….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 It's coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 It's coming . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Here you go Ant @MJO812 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 house needs an orthodontist 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Here you go Ant [mention=186]MJO812[/mention] That’ll buff right out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 10 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: It's coming I am at the "wake me when it is showing within 5 days for any snow/prolonged cold" stage right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 12 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: It's coming Oh nooooo way. Release the hounds! There's BITTER cold air on 1/20 above the Arctic Circle??!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 21, 2023 Author Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: Lol. It looks just like something but they went with UFO. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 hour ago, Rjay said: Lol. It looks just like something but they went with UFO. A Rose by any other name is but a Rose 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 4 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: This is a clear violation of site conduct rules. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Oh nooooo way. Release the hounds! There's BITTER cold air on 1/20 above the Arctic Circle??!!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uniblab Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 8 hours ago, jm1220 said: Oh nooooo way. Release the hounds! There's BITTER cold air on 1/20 above the Arctic Circle??!! Lurking no less! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 8 hours ago, Rjay said: Lol. It looks just like something but they went with UFO. Good Rjay. Even at my age I got it. Thank you. As always ….. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 snow weenie suffering is delightful 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 1 minute ago, Will - Rutgers said: snow weenie suffering is delightful Sometimes you need snow to keep it functional. Stay well Will. As always …. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 14 hours ago, USCG RS said: A Rose by any other name is but a Rose That definitely looks like a rose floating in the sky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 My friends in Germany have told me they have not seen a single snowflake fall in Berlin and the Alps are barren of snow with only small patches in Austria and Switzerland where people are being sent to the ER because they are "skiing" on small patches of snow and getting severely injured (as in dislocated spine injuries!) These are the same places that had historic heat over the summer. On the plus side the problems they could have faced with a cold winter and fuel shortages have not materialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 16 hours ago, jm1220 said: Oh nooooo way. Release the hounds! There's BITTER cold air on 1/20 above the Arctic Circle??!! Been hearing that it's coming for 8 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 16 hours ago, Rjay said: Lol. It looks just like something but they went with UFO. I was looking for a place to post this and this seems like as good a place as any. I saw a fascinating documentary about ball lightning and why scientists were so skeptical about it for so long. It really can't be replicated in the lab for any long duration-- they do reproduce the ball but it lasts for a vanishingly small amount of time before it disappears. But they got the ultimate embarassment when a ball of lightning passed right through an airplane which contained scientists returning from a convention, it literally passed right down the aisle and from the nose of the plane right out the back. Now they couldn't be skeptical of it any longer. THE MORAL OF THE STORY IS NOT EVERYTHING THAT OCCURS IN NATURE IS REPRODUCIBLE IN A LAB..... SOME THINGS CAN'T BE EXPLAINED BY SCIENCE AND WE HAVE TO BE COMFORTABLE WITH THAT. NATURE >>>>> SCIENCE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Eagles 2-0 against the Giants this season. Giants: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Just now, Nibor said: Eagles 2-0 against the Giants this season. Giants: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 took everything i won from NYC u0.5 inches of snow 2022 and put it on giants +7.5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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