Winterweatherlover Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: What Cosgrove actually said I agree still two months left of meterological winter, it will snow at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 18 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Another troll The MJO supports it Shut up 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 23 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Another troll The MJO supports it Shut up 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 45 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Another troll The MJO supports it Shut up The mjo will be in 8 next week and we are going to torch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 10, 2023 Author Share Posted January 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: So why do you complain when we weenie you? On 12/1/2021 at 9:36 AM, MJO812 said: A moderator who weenies people What a guy An oldie but a goodie 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 7 hours ago, Rjay said: Take a road trip Greater Lake Tahoe Area- Including the cities of South Lake Tahoe, Truckee, Stateline, and Incline Village 456 AM PST Mon Jan 9 2023 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow. Total snow accumulations through late Tuesday night of 1 to 2 feet, except 2 to 5 feet above 7000 feet. Wind gusts up to 50 mph with exposed ridges gusting in excess of 130 mph at times. Waves up to 4 feet on Lake Tahoe. * WHERE...Greater Lake Tahoe Area. * WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Wednesday. 4 foot waves on Lake Tahoe? WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Main thread is pretty funny right now. Liberty has a conversation with himself, with occasional gloating from snowman (it’s his winter can’t deny it) and the occasional Metsfan looking for hope. I will say at least no ones beating each other up, NE forum is fully of the rails. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Main thread is pretty funny right now. Liberty has a conversation with himself, with occasional gloating from snowman (it’s his winter can’t deny it) and the occasional Metsfan looking for hope. I will say at least no ones beating each other up, NE forum is fully of the rails. I am continually unable to fathom the need to personally attack each other over things literally out of our control.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Main thread is pretty funny right now. Liberty has a conversation with himself, with occasional gloating from snowman (it’s his winter can’t deny it) and the occasional Metsfan looking for hope. I will say at least no ones beating each other up, NE forum is fully of the rails. it's amazing people get so bent out of shape...there's nothing anyone can do about it and there's certainly more important things in life.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Main thread is pretty funny right now. Liberty has a conversation with himself, with occasional gloating from snowman (it’s his winter can’t deny it) and the occasional Metsfan looking for hope. I will say at least no ones beating each other up, NE forum is fully of the rails. The sne forum likes to eat their own if things don’t go well…snow Is serious business up there 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 it's amazing people get so bent out of shape...there's nothing anyone can do about it and there's certainly more important things in life....After the past three years, go hug your wife/girlfriend/boyfriend/kids/friends and tell them you love them and appreciate them.Then remind them the GFS is all alone with next week’s system and that they’re wrong for believing it.. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Figured someone might find this interesting / cool. This is an actual ground level pic of the Hunga Tonga eruption column. The majority of images you can find for the Jan 15th climactic eruption are satellite images, owing to the volcano’s geographic isolation. There are a few close images of sub-plinian / surtseyan eruptions, but those are from the 14th and even earlier. Much smaller events. The Jan 15th blast created an absolutely titanic eruption column, and not visible are the underwater ignimbrite / pyroclastic flows that reached upward of 80KM’s away. Insane. Note that this image was taken something like 60Km away on a nearby island and this was early on in the climactic blast. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Cosgrove saves winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Thaws don't usually last a month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Thaws don't usually last a month and any changes are still in the long range so not much to get excited about next 10 day minimum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 NYC will definitely make a run for the fewest amount of minimum temperatures below 32 in January. Might not see a freeze until the end of the month. Insane to think about, what is usually the coldest month of the year that we can't even get a single freeze 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 39 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: Figured someone might find this interesting / cool. This is an actual ground level pic of the Hunga Tonga eruption column. The majority of images you can find for the Jan 15th climactic eruption are satellite images, owing to the volcano’s geographic isolation. There are a few close images of sub-plinian / surtseyan eruptions, but those are from the 14th and even earlier. Much smaller events. The Jan 15th blast created an absolutely titanic eruption column, and not visible are the underwater ignimbrite / pyroclastic flows that reached upward of 80KM’s away. Insane. Note that this image was taken something like 60Km away on a nearby island and this was early on in the climactic blast. Who named this Hunga Tonga? I always laugh when I see that name Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: Who named this Hunga Tonga? I always laugh when I see that name It’s actually Hunga Tonga Hunga Ha’apai lol. It refers to two separate islands that make up the volcano, or did before getting near completely obliterated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Just now, Volcanic Winter said: It’s actually Hunga Tonga Hunga Ha’apai lol. I love it-- it has a poetic quality to it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 It’s very plausibly the largest eruption in our lifetimes. Small to moderate VEI 6 events happen something like 2-4 times per century, but statistics doesn’t dictate whether a volcano is ready to erupt. The next similarly sized event may not be for fifty years on longer. The 20th century had Santa Maria at the turn of the century then the considerably larger Novarupta a decade later in Alaska, and it wasn’t until 1991’s Pinatubo that the next 6 occurred. Granted there were a couple very high end VEI 5’s that could almost be estimated at a borderline 6 inbetween, but it’s also possible the 20th century featured an above average number of large eruptions. 5’s are once per decade or so, but most are borderline 4/5’s. There’s an order of magnitude between each step of eruptive volume on the VEI scale. .1-1km^3 = 4, 1-10km^3 = 5, and then 10-100km^3 = 6. High end VEI 6 are almost unfathomably large and would instigate a notable to severe volcanic cooling episode, though it always depends on several variables. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 9 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: It’s very plausibly the largest eruption in our lifetimes. Small to moderate VEI 6 events happen something like 2-4 times per century, but statistics doesn’t dictate whether a volcano is ready to erupt. The next similarly sized event may not be for fifty years on longer. The 20th century had Santa Maria at the turn of the century then the considerably larger Novarupta a decade later in Alaska, and it wasn’t until 1991’s Pinatubo that the next 6 occurred. Granted there were a couple very high end VEI 5’s that could almost be estimated at a borderline 6 inbetween, but it’s also possible the 20th century featured an above average number of large eruptions. 5’s are once per decade or so, but most are borderline 4/5’s. There’s an order of magnitude between each step of eruptive volume on the VEI scale. .1-1km^3 = 4, 1-10km^3 = 5, and then 10-100km^3 = 6. High end VEI 6 are almost unfathomably large and would instigate a notable volcanic cooling episode. I dont think people here will be impressed until we get another Krakatoa or Tambora lol Krakatoa = Boxing Day Blizzard Tambora = January 1996 / January 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 7 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Main thread is pretty funny right now. Liberty has a conversation with himself, with occasional gloating from snowman (it’s his winter can’t deny it) and the occasional Metsfan looking for hope. I will say at least no ones beating each other up, NE forum is fully of the rails. Usually is because they expect every winter to be cold and snowy. And they do not take kindly to dissenting points of view. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 9 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Usually is because they expect every winter to be cold and snowy. And they do not take kindly to dissenting points of view. Yeah, I’ve been looking more closely at average snow / location throughout the northeast and while some places do average quite a lot (60+, not talking about north NE), some places really don’t get that much more than we do around NYC and north Jersey. I think they’ve had an incredible run of winters the past twenty years and we’re all getting spoiled. It is fun though how we can all share some of the same nor’easters, like 1/29 last year. Definitely bulls-eyed NE, but the Jersey shore received very nice totals as well. And at least NYC saw nearly a foot IIRC. I can’t wait to be present here on the forum for the next large northeast-wide coastal. I am positive SNE will get theirs this year, likely before we do if we go back to a canonical Niña pattern. Guys just have to hang in there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 1 minute ago, Volcanic Winter said: Yeah, I’ve been looking more closely at average snow / location throughout the northeast and while some places do average quite a lot (60+, not talking about north NE), some places really don’t get that much more than we do around NYC and north Jersey. I think they’ve had an incredible run of winters the past twenty years and we’re all getting spoiled. It is fun though how we can all share some of the same nor’easters, like 1/29 last year. Definitely bulls-eyed NE, but the Jersey shore received very nice totals as well. And at least NYC saw nearly a foot IIRC. I can’t wait to be present here on the forum for the next large northeast-wide coastal. I am positive SNE will get theirs this year, likely before we do if we go back to a canonical Niña pattern. Guys just have to hang in there. I've never liked the overall pattern going back to late October. As long as the parade of storms continues in the west it is going to be next to impossible to establish a long(3+weeks) lasting winter pattern in the east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 1 hour ago, Volcanic Winter said: It’s actually Hunga Tonga Hunga Ha’apai lol. It refers to two separate islands that make up the volcano, or did before getting near completely obliterated. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 Where the hell is the “nice and warm” weather we were assured since the pattern sucks for snow? Ive been stuck in clouds and 30s for like 8 months now. Rjay sucks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 34 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Where the hell is the “nice and warm” weather we were assured since the pattern sucks for snow? Ive been stuck in clouds and 30s for like 8 months now. Rjay sucks. It’s coming. Actual footage of Snowman19 in Allsnow’s backyard: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 On 1/10/2023 at 1:07 PM, Great Snow 1717 said: I've never liked the overall pattern going back to late October. As long as the parade of storms continues in the west it is going to be next to impossible to establish a long(3+weeks) lasting winter pattern in the east. There was a time when a parade of storms into the west went straight east and produced a lot of snow for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 There was a time when a parade of storms into the west went straight east and produced a lot of snow for us. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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