Stormlover74 Posted March 14, 2023 Share Posted March 14, 2023 6 hours ago, nycwinter said: storm is a complete bust for rain in the nyc area a few days ago 1.50 inches was predicted yeah this would've been a 6 to 10" snowstorm for most had it been cold enough. Probably more east as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 enjoyed the snow too much wind anyone who weenies me will be condemned and sanctioned 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 20 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: enjoyed the snow too much wind anyone who weenies me will be condemned and sanctioned 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 2 minutes ago, Nibor said: in 12 hours you will be unable to use the global financial system i hope you have a lot of dogecoins saved up my man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: in 12 hours you will be unable to use the global financial system i hope you have a lot of dogecoins saved up my man Seeing as my financial adviser is @snowboy19 and his reckless capitalistic mindset all I can say is, I have the fascists on my side. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 6 minutes ago, Nibor said: Seeing as my financial adviser is @snowboy19 and his reckless capitalistic mindset all I can say is, I have the fascists on my side. honestly it's the right move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 32 minutes ago, Nibor said: Seeing as my financial adviser is @snowboy19 and his reckless capitalistic mindset all I can say is, I have the fascists on my side. well snowboy19 is the yin to snowman19's yang so that's no surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Since I’m into climo convos and feel this is more appropriate space to discuss than the storm thread what if we broke down NYC metro into following zones that seem to relatively have similar climo. NJ Coast NYC/LI/Central NJ Eastern Bergen/Southern/Westchester/CT Coast Western Bergen, Passaic, Rockland, Northern Westchester/inland SW CT Sussex, Orange, Putnam, Eastern Ulster, Dutchess Sullivan, Western Ulster 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Since I’m into climo convos and feel this is more appropriate space to discuss than the storm thread what if we broke down NYC metro into following zones that seem to relatively have similar climo. NJ Coast NYC/LI/Central NJ Eastern Bergen/Southern/Westchester/CT Coast Western Bergen, Passaic, Rockland, Northern Westchester/inland SW CT Sussex, Orange, Putnam, Eastern Ulster, Dutchess Sullivan, Western Ulster Morris County?. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 22 minutes ago, North and West said: Morris County? . Honestly less familiar with that area but I’d assume similar to western Bergen? Depends also if it has elevation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Honestly less familiar with that area but I’d assume similar to western Bergen? Depends also if it has elevation? Further west than most of Bergen; the climate is similar to Mahwah.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 3 minutes ago, North and West said: Further west than most of Bergen; the climate is similar to Mahwah. . Yea I’d assume similar to other places along 287 corridor. I’d probably lump in it with the 4th zone on my list. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 @donsutherland1 Looks like Joe Bastardi’s forecast of -5F for temps and 20+ inches of snow for NYC from 3/1 - 4/15 is in some trouble….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 6 minutes ago, snowman19 said: @donsutherland1 Looks like Joe Bastardi’s forecast of -5F for temps and 20+ inches of snow for NYC from 3/1 - 4/15 is in some trouble….. IDK why anyone follows him anymore. I haven’t read one of his forecasts in at least 10 years. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 8 minutes ago, snowman19 said: @donsutherland1 Looks like Joe Bastardi’s forecast of -5F for temps and 20+ inches of snow for NYC from 3/1 - 4/15 is in some trouble….. It is. Things are falling apart more and more each day. Only a March 16-April 15, 1956 outcome would produce both the snow and cold he forecasts. In coming days even that won't be enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 5 hours ago, Winterweatherlover said: Since I’m into climo convos and feel this is more appropriate space to discuss than the storm thread what if we broke down NYC metro into following zones that seem to relatively have similar climo. NJ Coast NYC/LI/Central NJ Eastern Bergen/Southern/Westchester/CT Coast Western Bergen, Passaic, Rockland, Northern Westchester/inland SW CT Sussex, Orange, Putnam, Eastern Ulster, Dutchess Sullivan, Western Ulster I wholeheartedly endorse this list. And as much as I love Dons posts, I wish he could take out Philadelphia from the daily updates and any reference to it. Regarding the zones you propose Philadelphia is only relevant to a small portion of zone 2, no others. They have their own forum let them stay there. Maybe substitute HPN for Philadelphia in the temperature references? In the updates it much better serves regions 2-6 than any reference to Philadelphia. Just one Eagle hating persons opinion. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 58 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I wholeheartedly endorse this list. And as much as I love Dons posts, I wish he could take out Philadelphia from the daily updates and any reference to it. Regarding the zones you propose Philadelphia is only relevant to a small portion of zone 2, no others. They have their own forum let them stay there. Maybe substitute HPN for Philadelphia in the temperature references? In the updates it much better serves regions 2-6 than any reference to Philadelphia. Just one Eagle hating persons opinion. I could go on forever about the different LI climate zones by themselves and what’s favored here vs NYC but I digress lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 6 hours ago, Winterweatherlover said: Since I’m into climo convos and feel this is more appropriate space to discuss than the storm thread what if we broke down NYC metro into following zones that seem to relatively have similar climo. NJ Coast NYC/LI/Central NJ Eastern Bergen/Southern/Westchester/CT Coast Western Bergen, Passaic, Rockland, Northern Westchester/inland SW CT Sussex, Orange, Putnam, Eastern Ulster, Dutchess Sullivan, Western Ulster You know the big problem this would solve, the constant references like "oh boy just saw the Euro we're done". And I always think who's done? It's a big forum, is Suffolk done Nassau, the Jersey coast, SW CT, Orange Sussex and Putnam, NYC? I dream of a world where we can declare the GFS says we're done for zones 1 & 2, but 5 & 6 get buried. Rgem just annihilated zones 3 & 4, 5 & 6 not so much. That is my Utopia, a man can dream can't he? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 19 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said: enjoyed the snow too much wind anyone who weenies me will be condemned and sanctioned Good evening Will. GasX …… never leave home without it. Stay well and deflated, as always …. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 You know the big problem this would solve, the constant references like "oh boy just saw the Euro we're done". And I always think who's done? It's a big forum, is Suffolk done Nassau, the Jersey coast, SW CT, Orange Sussex and Putnam, NYC? I dream of a world where we can declare the GFS says we're done for zones 1 & 2, but 5 & 6 get buried. Rgem just annihilated zones 3 & 4, 5 & 6 not so much. That is my Utopia, a man can dream can't he?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 With respect to the extreme forecast that March 1-April 15 would see New York City have a temperature anomaly of 5° below normal and 20" of snow, here's where things currently stand as far as temperatures are concerned. To achieve the -5.0° anomaly, the temperature would need to average 7.7° below normal from March 16 through April 15. Just 11 years out of New York City's 154-year climate record or 7% of years saw the temperature average 7.7° below the current normal figure for that timeframe. 82% of those years occurred in the 19th century. The last such year was 1956. To achieve 20" snowfall, New York City would need 19.9" of snow during that period. Only 1956 (23.7") had sufficient snowfall. The second highest figure was 13.9" in 2018. The third highest figure was 13.6" in 1967. All said, just one year out of New York City's climate record had both the cold and snowfall necessary to verify the extreme forecast. In coming days, the City would need not just a rare outcome, but an unprecedented one for the extreme forecast to verify. As noted back in February when the extreme forecast was issued, that forecast was never likely to verify. It was detached from New York City's climate and disconnected from the evidence. At that time, none of the long-range guidance (ECWMF weeklies or CFSv2) had anything close to such an outcome. At present, the steep hill for verification has grown into a towering mountain. By the end of this week, that mountain will reach heights that puts its summit out of reach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 2 hours ago, jm1220 said: I could go on forever about the different LI climate zones by themselves and what’s favored here vs NYC but I digress lol. I acknowledge could have broken it down way more in depth than I did but then we’d have like 10+ different micro climates. I mean literally there’s a bit of a climo shift everytime you go about 5-10 miles further from the ocean and/or a few hundred feet higher in elevation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterweatherlover Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: You know the big problem this would solve, the constant references like "oh boy just saw the Euro we're done". And I always think who's done? It's a big forum, is Suffolk done Nassau, the Jersey coast, SW CT, Orange Sussex and Putnam, NYC? I dream of a world where we can declare the GFS says we're done for zones 1 & 2, but 5 & 6 get buried. Rgem just annihilated zones 3 & 4, 5 & 6 not so much. That is my Utopia, a man can dream can't he? Exactly this would actually be so helpful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 15, 2023 Share Posted March 15, 2023 Or, hear me out….people learn that this isnt their own personal blogs and they post accordingly? Lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 Or, hear me out….people learn that this isnt their own personal blogs and they post accordingly? LolPlease share whatever drugs you’re on. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 1 hour ago, BxEngine said: Or, hear me out….people learn that this isnt their own personal blogs and they post accordingly? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 7 minutes ago, North and West said: Please share whatever drugs you’re on . Aleve and caffeine 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 14 hours ago, BxEngine said: Or, hear me out….people learn that this isnt their own personal blogs and they post accordingly? Lol nobody outside of this zone matters 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 6 minutes ago, forkyfork said: nobody outside of this zone matters That's a larger area than I expected. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 16, 2023 Share Posted March 16, 2023 9 minutes ago, forkyfork said: nobody outside of this zone matters Nobody in nj matters ever. Your premise is incorrect. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts