CheeselandSkies Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 8 minutes ago, frostfern said: A beefier SE ridge combined with a Greenland block might do that. For severe I'd rather see it in May than March though. Indeed. Although Winterset last year reminded me not to sleep on severe threats in early March at 40N, even with dewpoints barely touching the mid-50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Looks like a good chance that areas south of I-80 will get skunked in the upcoming regime. Better chances the farther north you go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 26 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Looks like a good chance that areas south of I-80 will get skunked in the upcoming regime. Better chances the farther north you go. you could have posted this at any point during the winter and it would be true 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 Good general model agreement on a winter storm with significant snow and ice potential next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 16, 2023 Share Posted February 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Good general model agreement on a winter storm with significant snow and ice potential next week. Yeah, I noticed that too. I won't get too hung up on placement yet but if this one ends up being a miss that will be a major disappointment. Either way, I'll be welcoming Spring after next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted February 18, 2023 Share Posted February 18, 2023 The fantasy hours GFS wants to keep demolishing the northern parts of the forum apparently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 48 minutes ago, Geoboy645 said: The fantasy hours GFS wants to keep demolishing the northern parts of the forum apparently. Rip my roof 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 19, 2023 Share Posted February 19, 2023 I mean...it's plausible that much snow will fall in that timeframe, but it will melt off between each storm. a @beavis1729 nightmare 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Hello darkness my old friend 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Is this January or early March? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Looks like a couple more needle threaders that will all fail to satisfy are coming up after the big dog. Yay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Malacka11 said: Looks like a couple more needle threaders that will all fail to satisfy are coming up after the big dog. Yay. Yep. I'll get my full 1" of that GFS run as usual 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 Ready for 15 degrees below normal in April and frequent RN/SN mix 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, mimillman said: Ready for 15 degrees below normal in April and frequent RN/SN mix not happening this year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, hardypalmguy said: not happening this year Hah, watch. Trust me I’d rather it didn’t 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 20, 2023 Share Posted February 20, 2023 22 minutes ago, mimillman said: Ready for 15 degrees below normal in April and frequent RN/SN mix The new climo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 12z Euro had a 969mb low going through Iowa next weekend, with it being primarily a rainer for most of the sub. Even though from a snow standpoint this winter has been beyond abysmal, at least it has been active for the most part. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 5 hours ago, cyclone77 said: 12z Euro had a 969mb low going through Iowa next weekend, with it being primarily a rainer for most of the sub. Even though from a snow standpoint this winter has been beyond abysmal, at least it has been active for the most part. and there it is.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 13 hours ago, hardypalmguy said: not happening this year it's a lock friend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 16 hours ago, hardypalmguy said: not happening this year Feb SSWE/-NAO combo says hold my beer. Although similar patterns don't always play out in the same fashion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 lake levels way down from recent highs, need to bump it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 56 minutes ago, UMB WX said: It's gonna look like Ireland in a month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 good luck melting your Pack out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 If we get substantial rain on top of the snowpack up north after this system. We are going to be in serious trouble for flooding on the stem rivers like the Upper Mississippi, Wisconsin, Wolf, Black, and Chippewa. That's how you get Nebraska 2019 but even worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 1 minute ago, Geoboy645 said: If we get substantial rain on top of the snowpack up north after this system. We are going to be in serious trouble for flooding on the stem rivers like the Upper Mississippi, Wisconsin, Wolf, Black, and Chippewa. That's how you get Nebraska 2019 but even worse. Been awhile since a good spring flood. Let's do it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 4 hours ago, hardypalmguy said: Been awhile since a good spring flood. Let's do it. 2018 had pretty widespread/significant river flooding in southern Wisconsin, although it started later in the summer and continued into spring 2019 in some areas. Then there was 2008... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 Let's see if we get a big March snowstorm. All guidance looking cold mid March. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 38 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Let's see if we get a big March snowstorm. All guidance looking cold mid March. Indications are March won't be tame. Just a question of details and who gets what. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 21, 2023 Share Posted February 21, 2023 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: Let's see if we get a big March snowstorm. All guidance looking cold mid March. That'll be EC time. You might get swiped further east in DTW. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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