buckeye Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 11 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Wishful thinking again. Does @hardypalmguy get complimentary breakfast with that free rent in your head? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 5 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Looks like the same corridor that just cashed in with this past system (CR to Dubuque/Madison) will be ground zero for the Thursday system. Areas just to the southeast will continue the screwage. There's a pretty big model spread regarding how robust this system will be. The Euro is still showing a healthy wave, but other models are trending flatter and strung out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: There's a pretty big model spread regarding how robust this system will be. The Euro is still showing a healthy wave, but other models are trending flatter and strung out. In other words, the ushe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 yeah euro only wrong with qpf when it's wetter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 the fear of starting a thread for the incoming Thursday system is real. I thought model trends looked a tad better so far this AM. I'm still waiting for that event that strengthens as it approaches. Been awhile. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 15 minutes ago, Baum said: the fear of starting a thread for the incoming Thursday system is real. I thought model trends looked a tad better so far this AM. I'm still waiting for that event that strengthens as it approaches. Been awhile. Over/under on ORD snow amount: 1.35" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 DAB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 It's gonna change, and when it does, it's gonna catch all of us off guard....even A-L-E-K! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 12 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Over/under on ORD snow amount: 1.35" over/ under: 5.5 " MKE 4.2" Rockford 6.5" Madison 4.0 " Cary,IL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 6 hours ago, buckeye said: Does @hardypalmguy get complimentary breakfast with that free rent in your head? Nah. I just like to troll the troll once in a while when the weather is boring (and it's definitely boring right now). It would be too exhausting to do all the time. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 6 hours ago, buckeye said: and it’s not like we’re south of you either… I only pointed that out because rogue mentioned a model trend in recent years of snow to the north and snow to the south of us, implying that south of us had more snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 15 hours ago, hardypalmguy said: People respond when they are scared of the outcome. Morch is michsnowfreaks worst nightmare. And yet we've not come remotely close to a Morch since 2012. It's actually pretty sad that anybody in a northern climate like this would wish for that when so many in our states make a living off of growing fruit. Morch was a year long disaster for crops. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 19 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Nah. I just like to troll the troll once in a while when the weather is boring (and it's definitely boring right now). It would be too exhausting to do all the time. Gotta admit I lol'd at that little montage you put together. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 15 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: And yet we've not come remotely close to a Morch since 2012. It's actually pretty sad that anybody in a northern climate like this would wish for that when so many in our states make a living off of growing fruit. Morch was a year long disaster for crops. This was a pretty wild swing back to back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 hour ago, Baum said: over/ under: 5.5 " MKE 4.2" Rockford 6.5" Madison 4.0 " Cary,IL under on all of them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 3 hours ago, Baum said: the fear of starting a thread for the incoming Thursday system is real. I thought model trends looked a tad better so far this AM. I'm still waiting for that event that strengthens as it approaches. Been awhile. Did you see the UKMET? Go start that thread... Chicago gon reel her in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: Did you see the UKMET? Go start that thread... Chicago gon reel her in 2/13/23 update on "The storm with no thread" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 While we are all wasting our time on this Thursday the fantasy GFS has this next wednesday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 and I know that this has a 0% chance of verifying but great screensaver!!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 1 hour ago, ILSNOW said: While we are all wasting our time on this Thursday the fantasy GFS has this next wednesday Classic "Bowling Ball" storm. Haven't seen one of those in a long time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 31 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Classic "Bowling Ball" storm. Haven't seen one of those in a long time! 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 1 hour ago, Frog Town said: Classic "Bowling Ball" storm. Haven't seen one of those in a long time! Those are my FAVORITE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 On 2/12/2023 at 4:11 PM, michsnowfreak said: Not really. We've gotten far more advisory and warning criteria snowstorms than Indiana and Ohio. It's the model fantasy storms that turn to dust that annoy us all. One of these days a storm is not gonna shear out and it will be like the boy who cried wolf. No one will believe it and someone will get absolutely buried. We just had one that didn't fall apart, but actually held serve. Wasn't as big as it could have been with mid-20s temps, but it was a legit warning level event. For me personally, I cannot count the 3 other warned events as legit (all were sub-6" and more like a good WWA). Going back to Feb '21 that gets me 2 legit storms in two calendar years. I'm not on fire, lol. As you noted, those just south have had it even worse overall. There's always that to beat our chests over I suppose. As you also said, the model trash has been brutal making things feel worse than it actually is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 14, 2023 Author Share Posted February 14, 2023 1 hour ago, Frog Town said: Classic "Bowling Ball" storm. Haven't seen one of those in a long time! not that it matters, but that's not a bowling ball. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 Soooo close! yet so far away for Chicago Peeps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 39 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: We just had one that didn't fall apart, but actually held serve. Wasn't as big as it could have been with mid-20s temps, but it was a legit warning level event. For me personally, I cannot count the 3 other warned events as legit (all were sub-6" and more like a good WWA). Going back to Feb '21 that gets me 2 legit storms in two calendar years. I'm not on fire, lol. As you noted, those just south have had it even worse overall. There's always that to beat our chests over I suppose. As you also said, the model trash has been brutal making things feel worse than it actually is. Models absolutely make it seem worse than it actually is. In the 23 years of this century, I've only seen 3 winters without a 6"+ snowstorm (2015-16, 2011-12, 2003-04). For me, 6+ storms the last 10 winters: Jan 25, 2023: 6.2" Feb 17/18, 2022: 6.8" Feb 2/3, 2022: 9.3" (2 waves 6.0+3.3) Feb 15/16, 2021: 10.8" Jan 18, 2020: 7.0" Nov 11/12, 2019: 8.8" Jan 19, 2019: 6.1" Feb 9, 2018: 9.2" Dec 13/14, 2017: 6.7" Dec 11, 2016: 10.9" Feb 1/2, 2015: 16.5" Mar 12, 2014: 6.8" Feb 5, 2014: 8.3" Jan 26/27, 2014: 6.1" Jan 5/6, 2014: 10.3" Jan 1/2, 2014: 11.6" Dec 13/14, 2013: 8.4" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 16 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: And yet we've not come remotely close to a Morch since 2012. It's actually pretty sad that anybody in a northern climate like this would wish for that when so many in our states make a living off of growing fruit. Morch was a year long disaster for crops. That month was nutty I remember being in high school and when I seen that forecast and how the temps went into the 80s I could not believe it. I sat in one of my Pc classes and seen the temp was 86 and I was wearing shorts and a t shirt. I like warm weather but that was too much and as stated it was horrible for our crops. Then look 2 years later we froze that winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 4 hours ago, SolidIcewx said: That month was nutty I remember being in high school and when I seen that forecast and how the temps went into the 80s I could not believe it. I sat in one of my Pc classes and seen the temp was 86 and I was wearing shorts and a t shirt. I like warm weather but that was too much and as stated it was horrible for our crops. Then look 2 years later we froze that winter lol It was definitely crazy. The warmth came with very low humidity so it's not like it was uncomfortable it was just very out of place. March 2012 finished with a departure here of +13.5ﾟ. Then of course as you mentioned the most epic Winter of all time hit in 2013-14. But one thing that doesn't get enough credit is February 2015 for its brutal cold. Between the winter of 2013-14 & a record snowstorm to start Feb 2015, many forget just gow cold it was. DTW finished -13.9°, a greater departure than March 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 is something trying to happen? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted February 14, 2023 Share Posted February 14, 2023 31 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: is something trying to happen? Yeah, unfortunately the key words are something and trying. 12z Canadian op has a crazy temp gradient at hour 180…80s in TX, 20s here, subzero in MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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